{"schema_version":1,"assessment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp03_opportunity320_20260801","source_experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp03_full320_20260801","cell_id":"computability_boundary_mapping__agricultural_science","archetype_slug":"computability_boundary_mapping","domain_slug":"agricultural_science","title":"Scope-Enforced Verification for Adaptive Crop-Management Policies","opportunity_summary":"Evaluate an offline mechanism that limits exact agronomic-policy verdicts to proved, enforced fragments and preserves UNKNOWN or OUT_OF_SCOPE elsewhere. The candidate could prevent unsupported binary recommendations, but the packet does not establish that relevant systems accept unrestricted executable models, promise universal terminating verdicts, or lack equivalent controls.","adopter_authorizer":"A decision-support system owner and accountable agronomic safety lead could authorize the offline classification work; any operational use remains subject to existing farm and regulatory authorities.","scores":{"meaningful_impact":{"score":3,"rationale":"False SAFE or UNSAFE verdicts could materially affect crops, inputs, workers, neighbors, and environmental resources, but the packet provides no evidence that the alleged universal-verification practice occurs or is prevalent."},"stakeholder_pull":{"score":2,"rationale":"Affected parties and potential authorizers are named, but no stakeholder demand, procurement interest, incident history, or requirement for universal exact verdicts is established."},"incremental_advantage":{"score":4,"rationale":"Compared with larger benchmark suites and conservative timeouts, enforced fragment membership plus UNKNOWN and OUT_OF_SCOPE states directly addresses unsupported binary verdicts and guarantee drift; useful coverage remains unproven."},"distinctiveness_plausibility":{"score":3,"rationale":"The composition of formal boundary analysis, enforced scope, explicit unresolved states, and guarantee versioning is coherent, but prior-art status is explicitly UNSEARCHED and world distinctiveness cannot be inferred."},"technical_implementability":{"score":3,"rationale":"A frozen offline classifier, corpus replay, and four-state output appear bounded, while the required domain-specific reduction, decidable fragment, sound abstraction, and propagation behavior remain unresolved."},"adoption_authority_feasibility":{"score":4,"rationale":"The packet identifies the system owner and agronomic safety lead as offline authorizers and preserves existing deployment authority, although actual organizational roles and downstream integrations require confirmation."},"evidence_readiness":{"score":3,"rationale":"The candidate supplies falsifiers, negative tests, exclusions, halt conditions, and a bounded offline step, but lacks the frozen language specification, checked reduction, preregistered corpus, label-audit rules, and coverage criteria."},"safety_net_benefit":{"score":4,"rationale":"Explicit UNKNOWN and OUT_OF_SCOPE outputs, prohibition of timeout-based labels, independent review, and rollback to advisory simulation provide a strong procedural safety net; they cannot establish biological adequacy or field safety."},"scalability":{"score":3,"rationale":"The routing and guarantee-versioning pattern could be reused, but each language, property, extension, and abstraction may require separate proof review and consequential cases may fall outside the decidable fragment."}},"score_confidence":"MODERATE","costs":{"first_evidence":{"band_2026_usd":"50K_TO_250K","scope":"Freeze one model-policy language and agronomic property; document the asserted universal requirement; independently review one proposed impossibility reduction and one decidable fragment; preregister and replay a bounded representative and adversarial corpus against the current timeout-based baseline.","confidence":"MODERATE","assumptions":["One vendor or research system participates.","Existing verifier code and representative cases are accessible.","The work is offline and includes no live crop-management trial.","Formal-methods, agronomy, software, coordination, and independent review labor are included."]},"initial_deployment_startup":{"band_2026_usd":"250K_TO_1M","scope":"For one system, implement enforceable fragment membership, SAFE/COUNTEREXAMPLE/UNKNOWN/OUT_OF_SCOPE routing, guarantee versioning, audit records, downstream propagation checks, and reviewed integration with existing advisory workflows.","confidence":"LOW","assumptions":["A validated fragment and property are available before implementation.","The existing architecture can expose four-state results without replacement.","One language and one principal property are initially supported.","Compliance, security, documentation, and integration labor are included."]},"operational_launch":{"band_2026_usd":"250K_TO_1M","scope":"Conduct independent proof and agronomic review, acceptance testing, adversarial corpus evaluation, operator training, downstream-interface remediation, governance approval, and a controlled non-authoritative launch for one product or organization.","confidence":"LOW","assumptions":["No field-safety claim or autonomous farm action is authorized.","A single organization and limited integration set are in scope.","UNKNOWN propagation and rollback can be tested before operational reliance.","Partner coordination and evaluation costs are included."]},"annual_recurring":{"band_2026_usd":"50K_TO_250K","scope":"Maintain guarantee records, review language and capability changes, rerun regression and adversarial corpora, audit unresolved-state propagation, and obtain periodic formal and agronomic review.","confidence":"LOW","assumptions":["One deployed system with infrequent language changes is maintained.","Major new model languages or properties trigger separate startup work.","No continuous field-monitoring program is included.","Labor, software, audit, and partner-review resources are included."]}},"research_burden":"HIGH","earliest_credible_horizon":"3_TO_12_MONTHS","pipeline_gates":{"recognizable_externally_supportable_problem":{"status":"UNCERTAIN","reason":"The failure mode and consequences are clearly specified, but the packet does not establish that any relevant interface accepts unrestricted executable models, demands universal exact terminating verdicts, or collapses unresolved results into binary recommendations."},"identifiable_adopter_or_authorizer":{"status":"YES","reason":"The system owner and accountable agronomic safety lead are explicitly identified as potential authorizers of the frozen offline classification, with operational authority left unchanged."},"distinct_testable_incremental_claim":{"status":"YES","reason":"The intervention makes a comparative claim that enforced scope and four-state outputs will reduce unsupported binary verdicts and guarantee drift relative to benchmark-and-timeout practice while retaining useful coverage."},"bounded_next_evidence_step":{"status":"YES","reason":"The packet authorizes a frozen, non-operational review of one property, one language, one proposed reduction, one decidable fragment, and a bounded corpus with explicit output classes."},"no_unresolved_safety_or_authority_stop":{"status":"YES","reason":"The first step changes no live management plan, separates formal from field safety, preserves existing authority, prohibits timeout-based recommendations, and includes halt and rollback conditions."},"implementation_cost_scope_and_range":{"status":"YES","reason":"The candidate identifies the principal proof, engineering, integration, review, governance, and maintenance activities sufficiently to assign broad conditional resource bands, although system-specific estimates remain low-confidence."}},"blocking_evidence":["Evidence that a relevant deployed or proposed system accepts an open-ended executable model-policy class and promises exact, always-terminating universal verdicts or collapses unresolved states into binary action.","An independently checked, property-preserving reduction or other valid boundary argument for the exact frozen language and agronomic property, together with a constructive total verifier for the claimed restricted fragment.","A preregistered representative and adversarial corpus with baseline labels, audit rules, UNKNOWN propagation tests, useful-coverage criteria, and downstream handling outcomes."],"next_evidence_step":"On one frozen, non-operational verifier, compare the current benchmark-and-timeout workflow with enforced fragment routing on a preregistered corpus containing ordinary, adversarial, out-of-scope, and nonterminating cases. Independently review one reduction and one decidable fragment; falsify progression if the interface never makes the alleged universal claim, the proof does not validate, unsupported binary verdicts do not decline, UNKNOWN is collapsed downstream, or useful coverage becomes unacceptable.","research_questions":["What exact model and policy language is accepted, and which features determine whether the unrestricted boundary argument applies?","What precise agronomic property and quantifiers are being verified, and does the formalization preserve the intended meaning?","Do any stakeholders or interfaces require universal exact terminating verdicts, and how are timeouts, unknowns, and out-of-scope inputs currently handled?","Can independent reviewers validate both the claimed restriction and the domain-specific reduction for the frozen language?","How much consequential workload remains inside the decidable fragment, and what false-alarm burden do sound abstractions create?","Do all downstream systems preserve UNKNOWN and OUT_OF_SCOPE without converting them into operational binary actions?","How does the mechanism compare with the current workflow on unsupported verdicts, guarantee drift, review effort, and useful coverage?","What changes to language or capabilities require renewed proof, classification, or rollback?"] ,"recommendation":"PARTNERED_RESEARCH","uncertainty_constraints":["Problem prevalence, stakeholder pull, market size, realized impact, and adoption willingness are unmeasured.","Prior art and world distinctiveness are unsearched and cannot be inferred from the structural coherence of the proposal.","The target language's computational expressiveness and the alleged universal interface requirement are unverified.","No domain-specific property-preserving reduction or independently validated decidable fragment is supplied.","Offline formal results cannot establish crop-model adequacy, weather completeness, causal validity, biological safety, or field safety.","Cost bands are conditional resource estimates for one language, property, and participating system; architecture, compliance, corpus, and review complexity are unknown."],"closed_book_prior_art_boundary":"No conclusion is made about novelty, prevalence, existing products, published methods, market size, realized impact, or exact cost. The assessment treats prior art as unsearched and evaluates only the sealed candidate's internal specification, comparisons, falsifiers, authority controls, and stated uncertainties."}