{"schema_version":1,"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp03_full320_20260801","cell_id":"deadweight_loss_reduction__sport_science","trajectory_id":"R","attempt_index":0,"archetype_slug":"deadweight_loss_reduction","domain_slug":"sport_science","decision":"CANDIDATE","problem_id":"stale_team_quota_lab_capacity_misalignment","causal_lever_id":"protected_dynamic_lab_slot_reallocation","proposal":{"problem":"Fixed team quotas, eligibility rules, and approval paths for shared sport-science laboratories can leave qualified athletes and studies waiting during contested periods while compatible equipment, staff, or off-peak slots remain unused. The recognizable problem is allocation misalignment, not necessarily insufficient total capacity; safety supervision, protocol integrity, equitable access, and research-priority protections remain legitimate constraints.","actors_substrate":["athletes and participants","coaches and sport-science practitioners","research teams","laboratory technicians and safety officers","facility schedulers","institutional research and sport-governance bodies"],"observable_state":"Simultaneous waitlists or rejected qualified requests and unused compatible slot-hours, repeated manual exceptions, quota holders failing to use reserved slots, and demand shifting to lower-value substitutes or unsuitable times.","consequence":"Potentially valuable testing, rehabilitation monitoring, training feedback, and research observations are delayed or forgone while scarce personnel and equipment are allocated by stale category rather than current feasible use.","affected_objective":"Increase safe, equitable, scientifically valid utilization and timely access without weakening supervision, protocol, recovery, consent, or research-governance protections.","structural_mapping":[{"archetype_element":"value-blocking wedge","domain_realization":"Fixed team quotas, nontransferable reservations, coarse eligibility categories, and serial approval create a gap between feasible slot use and realized testing.","claim_kind":"HYPOTHESIS"},{"archetype_element":"blocked beneficial activity","domain_realization":"Qualified requests cannot use compatible equipment-staff-time combinations despite mutual institutional benefit.","claim_kind":"INFERENCE"},{"archetype_element":"protected purpose","domain_realization":"Safety staffing, participant welfare, consent, protocol validity, equitable access, and research-priority commitments constrain reallocation.","claim_kind":"INFERENCE"},{"archetype_element":"avoidable distortion","domain_realization":"Unused reservations and category-based exclusion persist where protected constraints could still be satisfied by reassignment.","claim_kind":"HYPOTHESIS"},{"archetype_element":"bounded redesign","domain_realization":"Release unused slots after a notice threshold and rematch only prequalified requests within protected capacity limits.","claim_kind":"HYPOTHESIS"}],"component_map":[{"component":"Distortion Map","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Trace quota, reservation, eligibility, and approval rules to blocked requests and unused compatible capacity."},{"component":"Protected Constraint Safeguard","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Hold staffing ratios, equipment limits, consent, recovery windows, protocol requirements, and equity floors constant."},{"component":"Surplus Estimate","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Estimate recovered qualified test-hours, avoided delays, and usable observations with uncertainty; do not monetize athlete welfare."},{"component":"Affected-Party Incidence Map","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Record access, workload, delay, and risk changes for each actor group."},{"component":"Redesign Lever","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Add timed release of unused reservations and constraint-aware reassignment of prequalified requests."},{"component":"Distributional Review","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Test whether smaller teams, para-athletes, rehabilitation cases, or low-budget studies lose predictable access."},{"component":"Behavioral Response Model","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Anticipate speculative booking, late cancellation, demand migration, gaming, and technician overload."},{"component":"Implementation Boundary","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Limit the pilot to one facility, selected equipment, prequalified users, and a fixed period."},{"component":"Monitoring and Rebound Check","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Track utilization, waits, cancellations, adverse events, protocol deviations, workload, and access by group."},{"component":"Rollback or Adjustment Rule","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Restore existing reservations or tighten release thresholds when safety, validity, workload, or equity gates fail."},{"component":"Cost–Benefit Assessment Frame","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Compare recovered access with transition cost, staff burden, scientific-quality changes, and protected harms."},{"component":"Price-Wedge Diagnostic","status":"incompatible","domain_realization":"Test and document whether fees drive exclusion; the proposed lever assumes the primary wedge is allocation rather than price."},{"component":"Friction Source Breakdown","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Separate substantive safety/protocol review from redundant routing, quota lock-in, and scheduling delay."},{"component":"Compensating Adjustment Plan","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Preserve minimum allocations and priority windows for groups harmed by dynamic reassignment."},{"component":"Legitimacy and Authority Review","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Confirm who may release reservations, change priorities, and approve research-related access."},{"component":"Sensitivity Analysis","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Vary no-show rates, release lead time, demand, staff availability, and equity weights."},{"component":"Pilot or Sunset Path","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Run a time-limited pilot that expires unless predefined safety, access, and validity criteria are met."}],"mechanism_dispositions":[{"slug":"congestion_or_capacity_pricing_adjustment","disposition":"considered_rejected","contribution_type":"NONE","adaptation_or_rejection":"Payment-based sorting could undermine equitable or clinically urgent access and does not address nontransferable quotas.","counterfactual_removal":"No change; the proposal uses constraint-aware reassignment rather than price."},{"slug":"cost_benefit_assessment_protocol","disposition":"selected_supporting","contribution_type":"TEST_DESIGN","adaptation_or_rejection":"Use a multidimensional ledger including access, workload, validity, safety, and distribution, with contested values unmonetized.","counterfactual_removal":"The pilot could still operate, but continuation decisions would be vulnerable to utilization-only claims."},{"slug":"distortion_reduction_review","disposition":"selected_load_bearing","contribution_type":"CORE_CAUSAL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Diagnose whether unused compatible capacity and blocked qualified demand coexist after protected constraints are applied.","counterfactual_removal":"The intervention could mistake genuine scarcity or safety limits for avoidable waste."},{"slug":"impact_assessment_table","disposition":"selected_supporting","contribution_type":"SAFETY_GUARDRAIL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Track group-level access, workload, scientific-quality, and harm signals.","counterfactual_removal":"Aggregate utilization could conceal concentrated access loss or staff burden."},{"slug":"matching_improvement_program","disposition":"selected_load_bearing","contribution_type":"CORE_CAUSAL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Match prequalified requests to feasible equipment-staff-time combinations after reserved slots are released.","counterfactual_removal":"Released capacity could remain unused because compatibility and timing constraints would still block reassignment."},{"slug":"permit_or_approval_streamlining","disposition":"selected_supporting","contribution_type":"OPERATIONAL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Parallelize administrative scheduling checks while retaining substantive safety, consent, and protocol review.","counterfactual_removal":"Reallocation remains possible but may be too slow to fill released slots."},{"slug":"price_control_redesign","disposition":"incompatible","contribution_type":"NONE","adaptation_or_rejection":"No administered price control is posited as the causal wedge.","counterfactual_removal":"No change."},{"slug":"quota_or_allocation_rule_review","disposition":"selected_load_bearing","contribution_type":"CORE_CAUSAL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Separate legitimate capacity and priority limits from stale, nontransferable team assignments.","counterfactual_removal":"The fixed allocation wedge remains, so matching cannot access stranded slots."},{"slug":"regulatory_simplification_pilot","disposition":"selected_supporting","contribution_type":"TEST_DESIGN","adaptation_or_rejection":"Adapt to a bounded facility-governance pilot with live safety and equity gates.","counterfactual_removal":"The redesign loses its bounded evidence-generating path and becomes harder to authorize safely."},{"slug":"sunset_clause_review","disposition":"selected_supporting","contribution_type":"SAFETY_GUARDRAIL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Make the pilot allocation rule expire unless evidence supports renewal or revision.","counterfactual_removal":"A weakly evaluated experimental rule could persist by inertia."},{"slug":"tariff_fee_or_toll_redesign","disposition":"considered_rejected","contribution_type":"NONE","adaptation_or_rejection":"Facility charges may be measured as a covariate, but fee recalibration is not justified without evidence of a price wedge.","counterfactual_removal":"No change to the proposed causal chain."}],"causal_chain":["Fixed, nontransferable reservations and coarse eligibility rules prevent feasible reassignment.","Qualified requests wait or substitute while compatible slot-hours expire unused.","A timed-release rule exposes unused reservations without increasing physical or physiological limits.","Constraint-aware matching reallocates released slots only among prequalified requests.","More qualified activity occurs within unchanged safety, protocol, workload, and equity gates.","Monitoring and expiry determine adjustment, rollback, or renewal."],"baseline":"Team or project quotas remain fixed; staff handle conflicts and unused slots through first-come requests, informal exceptions, or no reallocation.","nearest_rival":"Add equipment, extend operating hours, or hire staff. That is preferable if total compatible capacity, rather than allocation, remains binding across periods.","authority_safety":{"affected_parties":["athletes and participants","coaches","researchers","technicians and safety officers","teams with reserved access","underserved user groups"],"decision_authority":"The facility director may alter scheduling only with safety-officer, research-governance, labor/workload, and institutional access-policy approval where applicable.","authorized_first_step":"Audit eight to twelve weeks of one facility's de-identified requests, reservations, releases, staffing constraints, and group-level access; then run a four-week shadow allocation followed, if gates pass, by a four-week capped pilot on low-risk equipment.","excluded_actions":["selling priority access","overriding consent or research approval","relaxing equipment or supervision limits","reallocating rehabilitation or protected-equity slots below their floors","using performance data beyond authorized purposes"],"halt_rollback":"Immediately suspend reassignment after a pilot-attributable serious safety event, material protocol breach, staffing-limit breach, or predefined protected-group access deterioration; revert affected slots to the baseline rule and review causation."}},"negative_tests":{"strongest_counterevidence":"Apparent idle time may be required for calibration, maintenance, cleaning, recovery separation, technician availability, or protocol-specific setup; nominally waiting requests may therefore be incompatible rather than blocked surplus.","analogy_break":"Laboratory slots are not interchangeable market goods: athlete welfare, scientific comparability, equipment setup, confidentiality, and team commitments can make reassignment unsafe or illegitimate even when a calendar appears empty.","failure_condition":"The redesign fails if it raises headline utilization while increasing adverse events, protocol deviations, technician overload, inequitable access, or unusable measurements.","problem_falsifier":"After classifying maintenance, setup, staffing, recovery, protocol, and protected-priority constraints, there is no material overlap between unused compatible capacity and unmet qualified demand attributable to the allocation rule.","intervention_falsifier":"Shadow and live pilots show that timed release plus matching does not reduce qualified-request delay or unused compatible slot-hours versus baseline, or violates any safety, validity, workload, or equity gate.","risks":["speculative reservations or strategic late release","loss of predictable access for smaller or protected groups","technician overload and rushed setup","cross-protocol contamination or reduced measurement comparability","privacy leakage through centralized matching","pressure to relabel substantive safeguards as scheduling friction"]},"null_rationale":null,"classification":{"candidate_kind":"MECHANISM_COMPOSITION","prior_art_status":"UNSEARCHED","evidence_maturity":"HYPOTHESIS"},"revision_change_log":{"revision_kind":"ORIGINAL","prior_problem_id":null,"prior_causal_lever_id":null,"problem_changed":false,"causal_lever_changed":false,"conceptual_changes":[],"operational_changes":[],"repairs_addressed":[]},"confidence":0.82,"generator_notes":"Closed-book structural inference from the supplied packet. Empirical prevalence, effect sizes, and local feasibility are unverified; the candidate depends on demonstrating compatible idle capacity rather than genuine scarcity."}