{"schema_version":1,"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp03_full320_20260801","cell_id":"layer_decay_and_expiration_management__disaster_management","trajectory_id":"R","attempt_index":0,"archetype_slug":"layer_decay_and_expiration_management","domain_slug":"disaster_management","decision":"CANDIDATE","problem_id":"disaster_response_superseded_artifact_exposure","causal_lever_id":"operational_artifact_lifecycle_state_and_supersession_gate","proposal":{"problem":"HYPOTHESIS: During prolonged or multiagency disaster operations, successive situation reports, maps, resource lists, contact rosters, and action-plan drafts remain co-visible after supersession. Responders can mistake an obsolete artifact for current direction, while indiscriminate deletion would impair investigation, reimbursement, learning, or legal review.","actors_substrate":["incident-command and emergency-operations staff","field responders and partner agencies","records, legal, and recovery personnel","repositories containing sequential operational artifacts"],"observable_state":"HYPOTHESIS: The same incident has multiple discoverable artifacts with unclear current, superseded, held, or archived status; stale references and duplicate identities persist, and staff cannot readily explain which copies may be removed.","consequence":"HYPOTHESIS: Obsolete operational information consumes attention and may influence time-critical action, while deferred cleanup raises search and stewardship burdens and unsafe cleanup can erase reconstruction evidence.","affected_objective":"Keep operational information unambiguous and rapidly accessible while preserving accountable reconstruction and required records.","structural_mapping":[{"archetype_element":"sequential deposits","domain_realization":"Successive situation reports, maps, rosters, plans, and assessments deposited throughout an incident.","claim_kind":"HYPOTHESIS"},{"archetype_element":"stale layers remain active","domain_realization":"Superseded artifacts remain searchable or linked without a conspicuous lifecycle state.","claim_kind":"HYPOTHESIS"},{"archetype_element":"retention-versus-removal tension","domain_realization":"Operational clarity favors demotion, while investigation, reimbursement, legal, and learning needs can require preservation.","claim_kind":"INFERENCE"},{"archetype_element":"dependency-aware lifecycle governance","domain_realization":"Artifacts move among current, superseded, archive, quarantine, and destroyed states only after reference and hold checks.","claim_kind":"INFERENCE"},{"archetype_element":"bounded yet reconstructable stack","domain_realization":"Current operational surfaces contain authoritative material while historical packages remain restorable and audited.","claim_kind":"HYPOTHESIS"}],"component_map":[{"component":"layer_inventory_and_identity_map","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Registry of each incident artifact and duplicate identity."},{"component":"deposition_order_and_age_index","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Creation, effective, supersession, and incident-phase timestamps."},{"component":"retention_policy_matrix","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Artifact-class retention and disposition table."},{"component":"decay_function_or_aging_rule","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Age raises review urgency but never alone authorizes destruction."},{"component":"expiration_trigger_definition","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Incident closure, supersession, or review-date lapse triggers reclassification."},{"component":"layer_value_and_risk_score","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Separate operational-harm, evidentiary-value, sensitivity, and recreation-cost fields."},{"component":"dependency_and_reconstruction_check","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Check live links, workflows, claims, investigations, and reconstruction paths."},{"component":"pruning_or_archival_pathway","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Refresh, supersede, archive, quarantine, compact, or destroy."},{"component":"preservation_exception_register","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Named evidentiary, historical, safety, and investigation exceptions."},{"component":"deletion_audit_and_rollback_window","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Reasoned deletion record plus recoverable quarantine."},{"component":"resource_budget_and_storage_tier","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Capacity and retrieval targets for operational and archival repositories."},{"component":"review_cadence_and_revalidation_loop","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Reviews at operational transitions and scheduled post-incident intervals."},{"component":"legal_hold_or_compliance_override","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Legal, reimbursement, investigation, and public-record holds."},{"component":"hot_warm_cold_access_state","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Current operations, recent incident support, and deep archive."},{"component":"orphan_layer_detection","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Candidate has no live operational, evidentiary, or reconstruction dependency."},{"component":"supersession_marker","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Visible marker naming current successor and effective time."},{"component":"layer_compaction_candidate_flag","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Flag duplicate drafts for lossless incident-package bundling."},{"component":"rehydration_or_restore_procedure","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Documented restoration into a segregated review workspace."},{"component":"deletion_impact_estimate","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Estimate operational, evidentiary, privacy, and recovery harm."},{"component":"stale_context_detector","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Detect contradicted facts, expired validity periods, broken links, and departed owners."}],"mechanism_dispositions":[{"slug":"age_weighted_value_score","disposition":"considered_rejected","contribution_type":"NONE","adaptation_or_rejection":"Reject a composite rank because age and subjective weights could obscure safety or evidentiary vetoes; retain separate fields.","counterfactual_removal":"No material loss; explicit triggers, holds, and dependency gates remain."},{"slug":"archive_restore_test","disposition":"selected_supporting","contribution_type":"TEST_DESIGN","adaptation_or_rejection":"Sample archived incident packages across age and format bands and execute end-to-end restoration.","counterfactual_removal":"Archival recoverability would remain assumed rather than demonstrated."},{"slug":"cache_eviction_rule","disposition":"incompatible","contribution_type":"NONE","adaptation_or_rejection":"Access recency cannot safely decide which disaster record leaves an operational surface.","counterfactual_removal":"No loss; governed state transitions replace capacity-triggered eviction."},{"slug":"dependency_safe_delete_check","disposition":"selected_load_bearing","contribution_type":"SAFETY_GUARDRAIL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Trace operational, claims, legal, investigation, and reconstruction references before destruction.","counterfactual_removal":"Cleanup could silently break response or accountability paths, hard-gating viability."},{"slug":"lifecycle_storage_tiering_policy","disposition":"selected_supporting","contribution_type":"OPERATIONAL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Move superseded material off operational surfaces while retaining it in progressively colder incident archives.","counterfactual_removal":"Authority separation could persist, but affordable long-term retention would weaken."},{"slug":"log_rotation_and_cleanup_job","disposition":"considered_rejected","contribution_type":"NONE","adaptation_or_rejection":"Generational purge is too content-blind for heterogeneous incident artifacts.","counterfactual_removal":"No loss; class-specific lifecycle actions provide boundedness."},{"slug":"retention_schedule","disposition":"selected_load_bearing","contribution_type":"SAFETY_GUARDRAIL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Map disaster-record classes to minimums, maximums, actions, exceptions, and holds.","counterfactual_removal":"Disposition would lack defensible authority and consistent preservation rules."},{"slug":"soft_delete_quarantine_window","disposition":"selected_load_bearing","contribution_type":"SAFETY_GUARDRAIL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Hide approved candidates, preserve audit evidence, and allow impact-sized restoration before destruction.","counterfactual_removal":"An erroneous cleanup would become immediately irreversible."},{"slug":"stale_layer_detection_dashboard","disposition":"selected_load_bearing","contribution_type":"CORE_CAUSAL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Inventory artifacts and surface semantic staleness, ownership, and lifecycle state without acting automatically.","counterfactual_removal":"Superseded artifacts would remain difficult to identify and prioritize."},{"slug":"time_to_live_ttl_policy","disposition":"considered_rejected","contribution_type":"NONE","adaptation_or_rejection":"Reject blind self-expiry; use dates only as review triggers subject to holds and dependencies.","counterfactual_removal":"No loss; review triggers remain without automatic expiry."},{"slug":"tombstone_or_deletion_marker","disposition":"selected_load_bearing","contribution_type":"CORE_CAUSAL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Leave a marker stating supersession or deletion and directing users to the authoritative successor.","counterfactual_removal":"Absence would be ambiguous and stale copies or references could restore obsolete authority."}],"causal_chain":["Inventory and identity resolution expose accumulated incident artifacts.","Staleness signals and explicit lifecycle states distinguish current from superseded material.","Supersession markers redirect operational retrieval toward authoritative artifacts.","Retention, hold, dependency, and impact checks constrain disposition.","Archive or quarantine removes obsolete material from active surfaces without immediate irreversible loss.","Restore drills and revalidation preserve reconstruction while the operational stack stays bounded."],"baseline":"Shared drives, email attachments, and incident folders governed by filenames, local convention, manual end-of-incident archiving, and cautious keep-everything behavior.","nearest_rival":"A mandatory single-current-version folder with immutable historical storage; it improves authority signaling but lacks class retention, dependency checks, quarantine, and archive validation.","authority_safety":{"affected_parties":["responders relying on current instructions","people exposed to disaster decisions","partner agencies and artifact owners","investigators, claimants, auditors, and records subjects"],"decision_authority":"Incident command controls operational authority; the designated records officer administers lifecycle actions with legal, privacy, security, and artifact-owner review where applicable.","authorized_first_step":"Run a shadow-mode retrospective pilot on one closed incident: inventory artifacts, propose states, test redirects and restoration, and compare retrieval tasks without deleting or changing live records.","excluded_actions":["automatic hard deletion","altering current operational guidance during the pilot","overriding legal or investigation holds","compacting records when evidentiary fidelity cannot be proven","exposing sensitive archives to unauthorized users"],"halt_rollback":"Halt on any missed hold, broken reference, incorrect successor, unauthorized disclosure, or failed restore; undo proposed visibility changes from the preserved manifest and restore quarantined artifacts."}},"negative_tests":{"strongest_counterevidence":"A representative audit could show that existing incident systems already enforce one authoritative operational view, segregate history, apply complete holds, and reliably restore archives, leaving no meaningful stale-artifact exposure.","analogy_break":"Disaster artifacts are heterogeneous evidence and instructions, not interchangeable storage objects; old material can regain operational or legal value after a new event, so age cannot reliably represent decay.","failure_condition":"The proposal fails if lifecycle states cannot be attached consistently across partner repositories or if authoritative-successor and dependency information is too incomplete to govern disposition safely.","problem_falsifier":"Across representative incidents, superseded artifacts are not co-visible in operational retrieval, are not mistaken for current information, and accumulated history creates no material search, stewardship, or reconstruction problem.","intervention_falsifier":"In the bounded pilot, lifecycle labels and redirects do not reduce selection of superseded artifacts or retrieval time versus baseline, or they increase missed dependencies, failed reconstruction, or unauthorized access.","risks":["False stale classifications could hide valid guidance.","Incomplete dependency discovery could break claims or investigations.","Tiering could delay urgent historical retrieval.","Quarantine could conflict with mandatory destruction or privacy limits.","Cross-agency authority disputes could produce inconsistent states.","Lifecycle metadata could expose sensitive incident details."]},"null_rationale":null,"classification":{"candidate_kind":"MECHANISM_COMPOSITION","prior_art_status":"UNSEARCHED","evidence_maturity":"HYPOTHESIS"},"revision_change_log":{"revision_kind":"ORIGINAL","prior_problem_id":null,"prior_causal_lever_id":null,"problem_changed":false,"causal_lever_changed":false,"conceptual_changes":[],"operational_changes":[],"repairs_addressed":[]},"confidence":0.78,"generator_notes":"Closed-book structural transfer. The candidate is contingent on empirical confirmation that superseded disaster artifacts remain operationally discoverable and consequential."}