{"schema_version":1,"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp03_full320_20260801","cell_id":"layer_decay_and_expiration_management__environmental_climate","trajectory_id":"R","attempt_index":0,"archetype_slug":"layer_decay_and_expiration_management","domain_slug":"environmental_climate","decision":"CANDIDATE","problem_id":"stale_climate_map_version_accumulation","causal_lever_id":"provenance_gated_climate_layer_lifecycle","proposal":{"problem":"HYPOTHESIS: Successive editions of climate-hazard and vulnerability map layers remain simultaneously discoverable in planning portals after their assumptions, observations, or model vintages have been superseded. Users can mistake an obsolete edition for current evidence, while indiscriminate deletion would impair reproducibility, audit, and historical comparison.","actors_substrate":["climate-data custodians and portal operators","scientists producing map editions","planners and adaptation officials consuming maps","communities whose risk decisions use the maps","versioned geospatial layers, metadata, indexes, citations, and archives"],"observable_state":"Multiple editions of the same mapped variable are exposed without consistent current, superseded, archived, or held states; old editions retain live links or search prominence, and dependencies and restorability are incompletely known.","consequence":"Planning or scientific interpretation may rely on superseded assumptions, while storage and maintenance grow and improvised cleanup risks breaking citations or reproducibility.","affected_objective":"Keep operational climate evidence current and unambiguous while preserving the minimum history needed for reconstruction, accountability, and lawful retention.","structural_mapping":[{"archetype_element":"sequential deposits","domain_realization":"Successive editions of hazard, exposure, and vulnerability map layers","claim_kind":"HYPOTHESIS"},{"archetype_element":"stale layers masquerading as current","domain_realization":"Superseded map editions remain searchable or linkable without authoritative status labels","claim_kind":"HYPOTHESIS"},{"archetype_element":"differentiated retention value","domain_realization":"An old edition may be operationally obsolete yet valuable for trend analysis, citation, litigation, or reproducibility","claim_kind":"INFERENCE"},{"archetype_element":"dependency-sensitive deletion","domain_realization":"Reports, models, permits, and public links may reference a specific map edition","claim_kind":"HYPOTHESIS"},{"archetype_element":"managed lifecycle","domain_realization":"Each edition moves among current, superseded, archived, held, quarantined, and destroyed states","claim_kind":"INFERENCE"},{"archetype_element":"bounded active stack with recoverable memory","domain_realization":"Only authoritative editions remain prominent while retained history is archived and restore-tested","claim_kind":"INFERENCE"}],"component_map":[{"component":"layer_inventory_and_identity_map","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Registry of map-layer identifiers, editions, owners, and duplicates"},{"component":"deposition_order_and_age_index","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Publication date and edition lineage"},{"component":"retention_policy_matrix","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Map class and decision use mapped to active and archival periods"},{"component":"decay_function_or_aging_rule","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Review urgency rises with elapsed time, model replacement, or changed inputs; age alone does not erase value"},{"component":"expiration_trigger_definition","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Supersession, failed validation, or ended decision mandate triggers review"},{"component":"layer_value_and_risk_score","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Separate operational relevance, reproducibility value, misuse risk, and recreation cost"},{"component":"dependency_and_reconstruction_check","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Trace citations, workflows, models, and historical reconstruction needs"},{"component":"pruning_or_archival_pathway","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Relabel, archive, compact, quarantine, or destroy"},{"component":"preservation_exception_register","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Named scientific, historical, evidentiary, or safety exceptions"},{"component":"deletion_audit_and_rollback_window","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Recorded soft deletion with time-limited restoration"},{"component":"resource_budget_and_storage_tier","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Fast portal storage versus lower-cost archive"},{"component":"review_cadence_and_revalidation_loop","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Periodic owner review and sampled restoration"},{"component":"legal_hold_or_compliance_override","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Public-record, litigation, permit, or mandated-preservation hold"},{"component":"hot_warm_cold_access_state","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Current, infrequent-access, and deep-archive tiers"},{"component":"orphan_layer_detection","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Edition with no known live dependency"},{"component":"supersession_marker","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Durable notice naming the authoritative successor"},{"component":"layer_compaction_candidate_flag","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Flag related editions for lossless packaging or deduplication"},{"component":"rehydration_or_restore_procedure","status":"direct","domain_realization":"Retrieve, parse, render, and reconnect an archived map edition"},{"component":"deletion_impact_estimate","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Estimate affected citations, decisions, users, and reconstruction loss"},{"component":"stale_context_detector","status":"adapted","domain_realization":"Detect replaced models, invalid references, changed baselines, or ended mandates"}],"mechanism_dispositions":[{"slug":"age_weighted_value_score","disposition":"considered_rejected","contribution_type":"NONE","adaptation_or_rejection":"Reject composite age discounting because scientific and historical value need not decline monotonically and false precision could hide distinct risks.","counterfactual_removal":"No loss; multidimensional review replaces it."},{"slug":"archive_restore_test","disposition":"selected_load_bearing","contribution_type":"SAFETY_GUARDRAIL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Sample editions across age and format bands and test retrieval, parsing, rendering, and lineage reconnection.","counterfactual_removal":"Archival could silently become irreversible loss, hard-gating safe demotion."},{"slug":"cache_eviction_rule","disposition":"incompatible","contribution_type":"NONE","adaptation_or_rejection":"Portal evidence is not a fungible fixed-capacity cache; access recency cannot authorize disposition.","counterfactual_removal":"No causal change."},{"slug":"dependency_safe_delete_check","disposition":"selected_load_bearing","contribution_type":"SAFETY_GUARDRAIL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Gate destruction on live inbound citations, workflows, and reconstruction paths; uncertainty blocks deletion.","counterfactual_removal":"Cleanup could break decisions or reproducibility."},{"slug":"lifecycle_storage_tiering_policy","disposition":"selected_supporting","contribution_type":"OPERATIONAL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Demote superseded retained editions to cheaper tiers, with lossless compaction where appropriate.","counterfactual_removal":"Status control remains, but retained history consumes more active capacity."},{"slug":"log_rotation_and_cleanup_job","disposition":"incompatible","contribution_type":"NONE","adaptation_or_rejection":"Map editions are content-sensitive products, not a homogeneous append-only log chain.","counterfactual_removal":"No causal change."},{"slug":"retention_schedule","disposition":"selected_load_bearing","contribution_type":"CORE_CAUSAL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Define class-specific active, archive, review, and destruction rules plus named holds.","counterfactual_removal":"Disposition lacks legitimate, consistent authority and exceptions become ad hoc."},{"slug":"soft_delete_quarantine_window","disposition":"selected_supporting","contribution_type":"SAFETY_GUARDRAIL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Hide an approved deletion candidate while retaining a recoverable copy for an impact-scaled grace period.","counterfactual_removal":"Mistaken removals become immediately irreversible."},{"slug":"stale_layer_detection_dashboard","disposition":"selected_load_bearing","contribution_type":"CORE_CAUSAL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Expose identity-resolved inventory, owner, lineage, status, and evidence-based staleness flags without acting automatically.","counterfactual_removal":"The stale active population remains unobservable and cannot be governed systematically."},{"slug":"time_to_live_ttl_policy","disposition":"considered_rejected","contribution_type":"NONE","adaptation_or_rejection":"Reject automatic fixed-lifetime expiry; supersession, validation, obligations, and dependencies are better triggers.","counterfactual_removal":"No loss; event-based review remains."},{"slug":"tombstone_or_deletion_marker","disposition":"selected_supporting","contribution_type":"OPERATIONAL","adaptation_or_rejection":"Preserve edition identity, deletion reason, date, and successor route after removal.","counterfactual_removal":"Missing editions become ambiguous and stale replicas or links can misresolve."}],"causal_chain":["Inventory editions and resolve identity and lineage.","Detect context staleness and mark an authoritative current edition.","Apply class-specific retention rules and preservation holds.","Gate destruction on dependency, reconstruction, and impact checks.","Archive retained history; quarantine approved deletions and leave successor-aware tombstones.","Test restoration periodically, keeping obsolete layers out of current search while preserving needed memory."],"baseline":"New map editions are published alongside old ones; maintainers manually relabel or remove obvious obsolete layers when complaints, capacity pressure, or broken links arise.","nearest_rival":"Add a current-version badge and improve search ranking while leaving all editions in the active portal indefinitely.","authority_safety":{"affected_parties":["map producers and custodians","scientists and planners citing specific editions","communities subject to climate-risk decisions","records, legal, and public-accountability stakeholders"],"decision_authority":"The designated climate-data custodian may change lifecycle state under an approved retention schedule; destruction additionally requires records/legal clearance and accountable owner review.","authorized_first_step":"Run a read-only shadow pilot on one map family in one portal: inventory editions, infer lineage and staleness, trace dependencies, propose states, and restore-test a sample archive; make no public-status or deletion changes.","excluded_actions":["automatic destruction from age, access frequency, or a composite score","removing a layer with unresolved dependencies or an active hold","lossy compaction of scientifically distinct editions","hiding status changes from affected users","claiming a successful sample proves every archive recoverable"],"halt_rollback":"Halt if lineage is ambiguous, a live dependency or hold appears, false-stale classifications exceed the predeclared tolerance, or any sampled restore fails. Preserve the existing portal state, withdraw proposed classifications, and repair inventory or restore procedures before retesting."}},"negative_tests":{"strongest_counterevidence":"The candidate weakens if portals already expose one unambiguous authoritative edition, users reliably select vintages by metadata, archived editions are routinely recoverable, and accumulated active editions cause neither misuse nor material maintenance burden.","analogy_break":"Climate-map editions are not interchangeable cache objects: older observations may gain historical value, scientific differences may be irreducible, and public decisions can require stable access to the exact edition originally used.","failure_condition":"Lifecycle labels are inaccurate or ignored, archives cannot be restored, preservation exceptions become permanent by default, or demotion merely moves ambiguity into another searchable interface.","problem_falsifier":"A bounded audit finds no superseded edition presented as current, no consequential version-selection errors, no unresolved ownership, and no meaningful active-stack burden across the scoped map family.","intervention_falsifier":"Compared with badge-and-ranking alone, the shadow pilot does not improve blinded users' selection of the authoritative edition or dependency coverage, or it produces unacceptable false-stale flags or failed restores.","risks":["A current-looking label could confer false authority on a scientifically contested edition.","Archival latency could impede urgent historical comparison.","Dependency scans may miss external downloads or informal citations.","Retention rules could erase minority, local, or historically important evidence.","Quarantined data may conflict with a binding destruction requirement."]},"null_rationale":null,"classification":{"candidate_kind":"MECHANISM_COMPOSITION","prior_art_status":"UNSEARCHED","evidence_maturity":"HYPOTHESIS"},"revision_change_log":{"revision_kind":"ORIGINAL","prior_problem_id":null,"prior_causal_lever_id":null,"problem_changed":false,"causal_lever_changed":false,"conceptual_changes":[],"operational_changes":[],"repairs_addressed":[]},"confidence":0.84,"generator_notes":"Closed-book structural inference from the supplied archetype, domain context, and mechanisms; domain-specific prevalence and effect claims remain hypotheses."}