{"schema_version":1,"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp06_four_proposal_generalization60_20260803","source_assessment_id":"representation_independent_interface_contract__futurism_foresight:P3:v0","cell_id":"representation_independent_interface_contract__futurism_foresight","proposal_index":3,"qualification":"EMPIRICAL_PARTNER_CANDIDATE","criteria":{"specific_differentiated_claim":{"status":"YES","reason":"The remaining claim is specific and contrastive: a representation-neutral behavioral contract should make two independent signpost implementations agree on governed states, alerts, errors, and audit events while detecting more seeded semantic defects than schema validation plus manual spot-checking. Predeclared failure conditions make it falsifiable."},"credible_problem_signal":{"status":"YES","reason":"Primary research and official operational guidance establish that adaptive pathways require reliable, timely signpost monitoring and explicit trigger governance. The exact prevalence of representation-induced alert divergence remains uncertain, but the external signal is credible rather than merely speculative."},"identifiable_partner_or_adopter":{"status":"YES","reason":"Coastal authorities operating adaptive-pathway monitoring, including Environment Agency-type programs and local councils assigned monitoring and trigger-review authority, are concrete adopter classes able to authorize an offline assessment and provide governed specifications and workflows."},"partner_access_is_necessary":{"status":"YES","reason":"Resolving the central uncertainties requires access to policy-owner-approved signpost semantics, at least two current representations, organizational migration-review practices, and staff effort records. Public research or a purely synthetic exercise cannot establish actual divergence prevalence, workflow fit, adopter pull, or incremental advantage over the authority's baseline."},"safe_authorized_first_step":{"status":"YES","reason":"A named authority can authorize a fully offline study using synthetic observations and copied, non-live specifications. It leaves thresholds, authoritative histories, production integrations, notifications, spending, and policy decisions unchanged and includes explicit halt and rollback conditions."},"bounded_decisive_empirical_design":{"status":"YES","reason":"The proposed test fixes two signposts, about 30 event histories, at least 12 seeded semantic mutants, two independently implemented representations, and a schema-validation-plus-manual-review comparator. Mutation detection, divergences, leakage, false rejection, expressibility, and staff hours yield a finite decision record with strong falsifiers."},"no_material_negative_gate":{"status":"YES","reason":"No verified gate is materially NO: adopter credibility, testability, boundedness, safety, and cost scope pass. The problem gate is uncertain because direct field evidence is missing, which is precisely the partner-resolvable uncertainty rather than a demonstrated failure."},"not_merely_more_research":{"status":"YES","reason":"The next step is an operationally specified, comparator-based offline pilot with frozen semantics, implementations, seeded defects, metrics, and stopping thresholds—not an open-ended request for additional literature review."}},"uncertainty_types":["PROBLEM_PREVALENCE","ADOPTER_PULL","INCREMENTAL_EFFECT","WORKFLOW_FIT","DATA_ACCESS"],"partner_profile":"A coastal city, regional flood authority, or comparable public agency that already governs an adaptive-pathway monitoring program and has a policy owner, resilience monitoring lead, data/governance owner, spreadsheet or dashboard maintainers, and authority to approve an isolated offline pilot.","required_access":"Written offline-pilot authorization; two policy-owner-approved non-live signpost specifications; copies or isolated replicas of at least two existing representations; documentation or staff explanation of current migration and spot-check procedures; approved semantics for time, missingness, revisions, persistence, acknowledgment, suspension, and supersession; and bounded staff participation and effort logging. No production sensor, notification, or decision-system access is required.","bounded_empirical_test":"Freeze two approved synthetic signposts and roughly 30 histories covering unit conversion, missingness, duplicates, arrival order, corrections, retractions, persistence, acknowledgment, suspension, supersession, and replay. Seed at least 12 decision-relevant semantic mutants. Have separate people implement an event-ledger model and spreadsheet adapter, then compare the black-box contract suite with schema validation plus the partner's current manual spot-check procedure on mutation detection, governed-output agreement, leakage, harmless-difference rejection, expressibility, and staff hours.","success_condition":"The contract suite detects every predeclared decision-relevant mutant, the independent implementations agree on every governed output, approved semantics are expressible without provider- or storage-specific leakage, harmless representation differences are not rejected, all alerts remain offline, and the suite shows materially better defect detection than the current comparator at acceptable effort.","falsification_condition":"Do not advance if the contract suite misses any predeclared decision-relevant mutant; conforming implementations disagree on a governed state, alert, error, or audit event; approved semantics require provider-specific or storage-specific internals; contextual judgment prevents stable contract expression; notification side effects cannot be isolated; or schema validation plus existing manual review achieves equivalent detection at materially lower effort.","rationale":"This is a narrow empirical-partner case: adjacent prior art leaves a differentiated domain claim, credible monitoring stakes, and a safe decisive test, but the decisive evidence depends on a real authority's governed semantics, existing representations, and baseline workflow. Partner access can determine whether the proposed contract solves an actual migration problem and adds measurable value; further public web research cannot."}