{"schema_version":1,"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp07_retrospective_selector60_20260803","cell_code":"E7C006","selector_replication":1,"assessments":[{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_A","problem_reality_importance":88,"causal_archetype_fit":91,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":73,"operational_specificity":92,"falsifiability_test_quality":88,"adopter_partner_path":86,"deployability_complexity":70,"authority_safety_reversibility":91,"strict_potential":84,"empirical_partner_potential":88,"scrutiny_priority":86,"biggest_visible_risk":"Splitting shots across vendors may add enough pipeline, supervision, and visual-consistency cost to erase the benefits of preserved rivalry and portability.","rationale":"The proposal targets consequential lowballing, dependency, and cost externalization in an unmistakably rivalrous procurement setting. Its production-controlled asset floor, viable multi-awards, reopening cadence, and paid non-critical pilot form a specific and falsifiable causal package. Scrutiny should focus on how much is already standard procurement practice and whether splitting work remains economically viable after integration costs."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_B","problem_reality_importance":83,"causal_archetype_fit":86,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":57,"operational_specificity":88,"falsifiability_test_quality":78,"adopter_partner_path":89,"deployability_complexity":80,"authority_safety_reversibility":94,"strict_potential":76,"empirical_partner_potential":84,"scrutiny_priority":79,"biggest_visible_risk":"The disclosed portfolio criteria may preserve broad curatorial discretion and become procedural cover for the same favoritism the intervention is meant to constrain.","rationale":"Scarce festival slots and unequal campaign access create a credible rivalry problem, and the shadow pilot is unusually safe and adoptable. Random double review, workload caps, conflict records, and procedural appeals are concrete, but much of the package resembles familiar selection governance. The proposed test establishes operability more readily than it establishes improved slate quality or reduced hidden influence."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_C","problem_reality_importance":90,"causal_archetype_fit":94,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":65,"operational_specificity":94,"falsifiability_test_quality":87,"adopter_partner_path":82,"deployability_complexity":76,"authority_safety_reversibility":90,"strict_potential":88,"empirical_partner_potential":84,"scrutiny_priority":89,"biggest_visible_risk":"The auction may select an aggressively overbidding distributor whose formal compliance and secured milestones still fail to produce meaningful release or audience reach.","rationale":"This has the cleanest causal fit: a genuinely scarce exclusive license, strategic bidders, an explicit price rule, and winner power that can impede later entry. Capability gates, secured obligations, automatic reversion, preserved assets, and a narrow real-world pilot tightly connect award mechanics to accountable exploitation. Its main scrutiny vulnerability is that auctions with performance covenants and reversion may prove standard-looking, while milestones can reward nominal availability rather than effective distribution."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_D","problem_reality_importance":66,"causal_archetype_fit":74,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":62,"operational_specificity":88,"falsifiability_test_quality":85,"adopter_partner_path":81,"deployability_complexity":79,"authority_safety_reversibility":93,"strict_potential":67,"empirical_partner_potential":78,"scrutiny_priority":70,"biggest_visible_risk":"The intervention may manufacture an unnecessary contest and duplicate sensitive creative labor where sequential or collaborative editing would yield better information with less harm.","rationale":"The paid, reversible dry run is specific, safe, and capable of testing reviewer stability, hidden labor, and feasibility. However, the proposal provides weaker evidence that competing assemblies for one final-cut assignment are a common consequential problem rather than an optional production method. Rivalry is therefore less clearly causally essential, and the bounded contest may merely formalize a conventional paid edit test while worsening trust and duplication."}],"rank_order":["CANDIDATE_C","CANDIDATE_A","CANDIDATE_B","CANDIDATE_D"],"top_choice":"CANDIDATE_C","portfolio_observation":"C and A offer the strongest strict opportunities because rivalry, lock-in, and downstream performance are tightly coupled to concrete commercial awards. B is the safest and easiest partner study but faces substantial standard-practice and discretionary-curation vulnerability. D has a good operability experiment, yet scrutiny should first test whether its underlying rivalry problem is sufficiently real and important.","confidence":"HIGH"}