{"schema_version":1,"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp07_retrospective_selector60_20260803","cell_code":"E7C010","selector_replication":1,"assessments":[{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_A","problem_reality_importance":84,"causal_archetype_fit":88,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":72,"operational_specificity":87,"falsifiability_test_quality":86,"adopter_partner_path":78,"deployability_complexity":69,"authority_safety_reversibility":93,"strict_potential":78,"empirical_partner_potential":84,"scrutiny_priority":81,"biggest_visible_risk":"A candidate-independent measurand and representative reference panel may be impossible to define without suppressing legitimate differences among nanoparticle size concepts.","rationale":"The scarce default designation creates genuine strategic rivalry, and independent coded interlaboratory execution makes the contest architecture causally important. The shadow league is unusually safe and falsifiable, with explicit stopping conditions and ranking-stability tests. Its main weaknesses are substantial governance and data-harmonization complexity and vulnerability to looking like an elaborated interlaboratory comparison plus familiar standards safeguards."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_B","problem_reality_importance":86,"causal_archetype_fit":91,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":78,"operational_specificity":92,"falsifiability_test_quality":90,"adopter_partner_path":91,"deployability_complexity":82,"authority_safety_reversibility":95,"strict_potential":86,"empirical_partner_potential":94,"scrutiny_priority":91,"biggest_visible_risk":"Common wafers and the frozen rubric may systematically favor particular process families rather than predict compatibility with the actual integration bay.","rationale":"The single integration slot is concrete, consequential, and inherently rivalrous. Common-condition replication, complete attempt accounting, equal facility resources, safety gates, spillover measurement, and leader audits directly address the stated selection failure. A facility is an identifiable empowered partner, and the archived-wafer shadow test is bounded, reversible, and capable of changing whether a prospective trial proceeds."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_C","problem_reality_importance":80,"causal_archetype_fit":88,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":70,"operational_specificity":86,"falsifiability_test_quality":84,"adopter_partner_path":79,"deployability_complexity":67,"authority_safety_reversibility":92,"strict_potential":74,"empirical_partner_potential":82,"scrutiny_priority":77,"biggest_visible_risk":"Auditing comprehensive resource caps across institutions is likely to be arbitrary or porous, potentially making the central competitive constraint both burdensome and gameable.","rationale":"The proposal credibly redirects a scarce demonstration award from peak-result signaling toward independently tested endurance and reproducibility. Hidden sequences, preparation histories, safety gates, and retrospective time-series testing provide meaningful falsifiers. However, prize challenges, leaderboards, and independent catalyst validation look comparatively standard, while cross-institution resource accounting and catalyst comparability create major deployment dependencies."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_D","problem_reality_importance":94,"causal_archetype_fit":89,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":68,"operational_specificity":93,"falsifiability_test_quality":89,"adopter_partner_path":92,"deployability_complexity":79,"authority_safety_reversibility":94,"strict_potential":83,"empirical_partner_potential":93,"scrutiny_priority":89,"biggest_visible_risk":"The proposal may collapse under scrutiny into a conventional best-value procurement combining standardized testing, lifecycle costing, bonding, and open-interface requirements.","rationale":"The procurement problem has direct health, worker, waste, cost, and lock-in consequences, with a utility that has clear authority and usable records. Standardized assays, non-compensable safety gates, lifecycle obligations, a reserve lot, and a reversible shadow tender form a strong partner study. Its principal weakness is prior-art vulnerability: most components resemble established procurement and performance-contracting controls, leaving the integrated contrastive claim potentially narrow."}],"rank_order":["CANDIDATE_B","CANDIDATE_D","CANDIDATE_A","CANDIDATE_C"],"top_choice":"CANDIDATE_B","portfolio_observation":"All four proposals are unusually complete and safe, but they differ most in partner tractability and prior-art vulnerability. B offers the cleanest bounded partner experiment with a causally necessary contest design; D has the highest-consequence problem but the most conventional-looking control bundle; A is rigorous but hinges on measurand comparability; C is weakened by difficult resource accounting.","confidence":"HIGH"}