{"schema_version":1,"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp07_retrospective_selector60_20260803","cell_code":"E7C014","selector_replication":3,"assessments":[{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_A","problem_reality_importance":83,"causal_archetype_fit":91,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":42,"operational_specificity":93,"falsifiability_test_quality":92,"adopter_partner_path":86,"deployability_complexity":82,"authority_safety_reversibility":94,"strict_potential":79,"empirical_partner_potential":90,"scrutiny_priority":83,"biggest_visible_risk":"The cassette may be only a reusable packaging refinement of familiar boundary-layer tripping methods, leaving little meaningful contrastive claim after prior-art scrutiny.","rationale":"The proposal targets a concrete experimental failure mode and makes localized barrier reduction, repeated turnover, attachment selectivity, and regeneration causally central. Its low-energy probe has strong controls, specimen replication, measurable failure criteria, and straightforward facility authority. The main weakness is that roughness-triggered transition is known-looking from the text, so the claimed contribution may collapse to cassette retention, inspection, and reuse."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_B","problem_reality_importance":87,"causal_archetype_fit":78,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":34,"operational_specificity":91,"falsifiability_test_quality":90,"adopter_partner_path":92,"deployability_complexity":80,"authority_safety_reversibility":96,"strict_potential":68,"empirical_partner_potential":91,"scrutiny_priority":76,"biggest_visible_risk":"The intervention resembles standard configuration-management automation, rules-based conformity checking, and exception routing, making its distinctiveness highly vulnerable.","rationale":"Aircraft downtime from fragmented conformity evidence is consequential, and the shadow study is unusually safe, authorized, bounded, and capable of revealing cycle-time reduction, work transfer, or false-ready outputs. A fleet partner could resolve the key empirical uncertainty quickly. However, the reusable-facilitator framing is less causally essential than in the physical proposals, and the intervention may reduce to familiar workflow standardization and automation."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_C","problem_reality_importance":82,"causal_archetype_fit":75,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":50,"operational_specificity":87,"falsifiability_test_quality":78,"adopter_partner_path":69,"deployability_complexity":51,"authority_safety_reversibility":93,"strict_potential":63,"empirical_partner_potential":76,"scrutiny_priority":67,"biggest_visible_risk":"A tabletop study may demonstrate communication efficiency without resolving whether a multi-party broker remains accurate, trusted, and non-displacing under live time pressure, outages, and simultaneous operational demands.","rationale":"The repeated cross-organizational coordination barrier is plausible and the proposal carefully protects pilot, air-traffic, airport, and emergency authority. Its synthetic first step is reversible and tests several failure modes. Yet adoption requires durable multi-party governance, authenticated live interfaces, neutrality, and concurrent capacity; these are central rather than incidental complexities, while the proposed experiment cannot decisively validate them."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_D","problem_reality_importance":89,"causal_archetype_fit":97,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":48,"operational_specificity":94,"falsifiability_test_quality":95,"adopter_partner_path":84,"deployability_complexity":75,"authority_safety_reversibility":95,"strict_potential":86,"empirical_partner_potential":91,"scrutiny_priority":90,"biggest_visible_risk":"Ozone-decomposition catalyst beds for aircraft air systems may be a crowded, known-looking solution class, with regeneration and cartridge details insufficient to preserve a meaningful contrastive claim.","rationale":"This is the cleanest causal fit: a retained material accelerates a feasible chemical transformation across repeated air volumes, with explicit selectivity, poisoning, turnover, regeneration, and side-path constraints. The non-flight duct-rig study uses blank and inert controls, replicated specimens, operating-envelope challenges, and decision-changing falsifiers. Pressure loss, byproducts, containment, and aircraft-specific interferents remain substantial integration risks, but the decisive early uncertainties are experimentally accessible."}],"rank_order":["CANDIDATE_D","CANDIDATE_A","CANDIDATE_B","CANDIDATE_C"],"top_choice":"CANDIDATE_D","portfolio_observation":"D and A offer the strongest strict tests because the archetype is physically causal and the first experiments directly separate useful turnover from artifacts and unsafe side paths. B is the strongest operational-partner study but is especially exposed to standard-practice prior art. C addresses an important coordination problem, yet its multi-party institutional dependencies and tabletop-to-live validity gap make scrutiny less efficient.","confidence":"HIGH"}