{"schema_version":1,"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp07_retrospective_selector60_20260803","cell_code":"E7C017","selector_replication":1,"assessments":[{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_A","problem_reality_importance":81,"causal_archetype_fit":86,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":62,"operational_specificity":91,"falsifiability_test_quality":86,"adopter_partner_path":72,"deployability_complexity":61,"authority_safety_reversibility":92,"strict_potential":68,"empirical_partner_potential":83,"scrutiny_priority":78,"biggest_visible_risk":"The standing broker may reproduce familiar interagency incident-coordination practice, leaving little contrastive claim beyond better preparation and administration.","rationale":"The proposal identifies a consequential transient-window coordination failure and makes reusable relationships, contracts, templates, selective admission, and regeneration causally central. Its voluntary pilot is safe and measurable, although matched natural cases may be scarce and deployment requires sustained cooperation across many independent actors."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_B","problem_reality_importance":70,"causal_archetype_fit":79,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":35,"operational_specificity":92,"falsifiability_test_quality":93,"adopter_partner_path":88,"deployability_complexity":86,"authority_safety_reversibility":94,"strict_potential":48,"empirical_partner_potential":79,"scrutiny_priority":67,"biggest_visible_risk":"The intervention looks like conventional assay standardization and laboratory automation applied to a setup bottleneck whose material importance has not yet been demonstrated.","rationale":"This is the easiest proposal to authorize and test: split homogenized samples support a strong comparison under identical acceptance criteria. However, the problem may be dominated by biological residence time or downstream interpretation, and the causal contribution may reduce to ordinary workflow automation with limited residual contrastiveness."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_C","problem_reality_importance":89,"causal_archetype_fit":94,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":43,"operational_specificity":95,"falsifiability_test_quality":94,"adopter_partner_path":79,"deployability_complexity":72,"authority_safety_reversibility":91,"strict_potential":61,"empirical_partner_potential":91,"scrutiny_priority":84,"biggest_visible_risk":"Regeneration may merely move phosphorus and co-contaminants into a difficult eluate while consuming chemicals, water, or media in proportion to recovered phosphorus.","rationale":"The bounded dilute-stream separation problem is important, and repeated binding, elution, capacity recovery, mass balance, and complement accounting make the archetype essential rather than decorative. A contained bench study can decisively test selectivity and multi-cycle leverage, although the fixed sorbent-bed concept is visibly vulnerable to close prior art and downstream eluate disposition may govern viability."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_D","problem_reality_importance":91,"causal_archetype_fit":93,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":32,"operational_specificity":93,"falsifiability_test_quality":91,"adopter_partner_path":70,"deployability_complexity":52,"authority_safety_reversibility":88,"strict_potential":52,"empirical_partner_potential":85,"scrutiny_priority":74,"biggest_visible_risk":"A methanotrophic bed for residual methane strongly resembles established biological gas-treatment configurations while introducing substantial flammability, pressure, containment, and long-term biofilm-stability burdens.","rationale":"Residual methane is consequential, and the proposal supplies a credible catalytic mechanism, inactive-support control, carbon balance, fallback route, and reversible slipstream study. It remains a strong partner experiment, but operating-envelope uncertainty, full greenhouse-gas accounting, process safety, and high prior-art vulnerability reduce strict and near-term deployment potential."}],"rank_order":["CANDIDATE_C","CANDIDATE_A","CANDIDATE_D","CANDIDATE_B"],"top_choice":"CANDIDATE_C","portfolio_observation":"All four proposals are unusually testable and safety-conscious, but three are physical or biological platform concepts visibly vulnerable to standard-practice prior art. Candidate C leads because its decisive uncertainties can be resolved most directly through a contained multi-cycle partner assay; Candidate A offers the strongest potentially durable organizational contrast but requires more actors and less controllable field evidence.","confidence":"MODERATE"}