{"schema_version":1,"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp07_retrospective_selector60_20260803","cell_code":"E7C029","selector_replication":2,"assessments":[{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_A","problem_reality_importance":91,"causal_archetype_fit":94,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":76,"operational_specificity":94,"falsifiability_test_quality":95,"adopter_partner_path":88,"deployability_complexity":69,"authority_safety_reversibility":96,"strict_potential":89,"empirical_partner_potential":94,"scrutiny_priority":92,"biggest_visible_risk":"A command-conditioned model could over-cancel a consequential external event coincident with a release, especially under uncertain travel times or changing river dynamics.","rationale":"The attention problem is consequential, and the efference-copy mechanism is causally indispensable rather than decorative. Commands, measured actuation, protected bypasses, reconstruction, fallback, and a bounded replay-to-shadow test are unusually concrete. The main liabilities are modeling burden and vulnerability to existing command-conditioned forecasting or residual-monitoring approaches, but the governed attention-channel claim remains meaningfully contrastive from the text."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_B","problem_reality_importance":78,"causal_archetype_fit":90,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":61,"operational_specificity":93,"falsifiability_test_quality":94,"adopter_partner_path":89,"deployability_complexity":82,"authority_safety_reversibility":95,"strict_potential":79,"empirical_partner_potential":92,"scrutiny_priority":84,"biggest_visible_risk":"The claimed constraint may disappear under measurement, leaving a predictive codec whose synchronization, audit, and fallback overhead costs more than complete transmission.","rationale":"This is a tightly bounded sender-receiver residual system with measurable bandwidth, energy, fidelity, and failure-handling outcomes. A one-station partner can resolve the decisive uncertainty without operational control. Its strict potential is reduced because predictive coding, edge anomaly reporting, and adaptive telemetry are close-looking rivals, and the proposal's need depends strongly on communications and energy actually being binding."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_C","problem_reality_importance":84,"causal_archetype_fit":75,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":64,"operational_specificity":89,"falsifiability_test_quality":88,"adopter_partner_path":72,"deployability_complexity":57,"authority_safety_reversibility":95,"strict_potential":70,"empirical_partner_potential":81,"scrutiny_priority":75,"biggest_visible_risk":"Anchoring review on the prior approved dossier could perpetuate baseline errors or suppress consequential context that is not representable as a field-level change.","rationale":"The regulatory attention problem is credible, and the retrospective shadow study is safe, authorized, and capable of exposing missed protected changes or excess burden. However, the mechanism can collapse toward document differencing, completeness checks, and risk-based triage, while semantic comparison and legal review requirements make deployment complex. A partner study is valuable, but obtaining a regulator-owned baseline and representative reviewers may be harder than the proposal implies."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_D","problem_reality_importance":86,"causal_archetype_fit":82,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":60,"operational_specificity":88,"falsifiability_test_quality":91,"adopter_partner_path":87,"deployability_complexity":63,"authority_safety_reversibility":94,"strict_potential":72,"empirical_partner_potential":89,"scrutiny_priority":79,"biggest_visible_risk":"The hierarchy may encode existing scientific assumptions and explain away cross-scale process failures while adding substantial machinery to familiar residual diagnostics.","rationale":"The review-capacity problem is real, and a climate-model team could run the proposed frozen retrospective study with low external risk. Scripted structured errors, raw-panel audits, and comparison with complete-field review make the study decision-relevant. Strict potential is limited because residual analysis, regional aggregation, diagnostic scorecards, and hierarchical evaluation look close to standard scientific workflows; the proposal must show that its governed propagation contracts yield distinct diagnoses or material review savings."}],"rank_order":["CANDIDATE_A","CANDIDATE_B","CANDIDATE_D","CANDIDATE_C"],"top_choice":"CANDIDATE_A","portfolio_observation":"All four proposals are unusually strong on provenance, fallback, raw-channel preservation, and bounded shadow testing. The main discriminator is not safety but whether residualization is causally necessary and contrastive: A has the clearest self-action cancellation mechanism, B has the cleanest measurable partner test but high predictive-codec prior-art vulnerability, while C and D risk formalizing familiar review and diagnostic practices with substantial overhead.","confidence":"HIGH"}