{"schema_version":1,"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp07_retrospective_selector60_20260803","cell_code":"E7C038","selector_replication":1,"assessments":[{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_A","problem_reality_importance":88,"causal_archetype_fit":92,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":76,"operational_specificity":89,"falsifiability_test_quality":87,"adopter_partner_path":82,"deployability_complexity":72,"authority_safety_reversibility":94,"strict_potential":84,"empirical_partner_potential":86,"scrutiny_priority":84,"biggest_visible_risk":"The time-indexed containment abstraction may collapse consequential differences among probabilistic, intent-based, and bounded-error predictions, making apparent substitutability unsafe or unattainable.","rationale":"The proposal identifies a consequential representation-leakage pathway and makes the archetype causally central through opacity, semantic mappings, and a shared oracle. Its offline wrapper study is bounded, reversible, and seeded with defects. The main uncertainty is whether one containment relation and practical tolerances can faithfully cover genuinely different predictor semantics without either exposing representation or admitting material divergence."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_B","problem_reality_importance":95,"causal_archetype_fit":91,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":70,"operational_specificity":91,"falsifiability_test_quality":88,"adopter_partner_path":81,"deployability_complexity":64,"authority_safety_reversibility":96,"strict_potential":82,"empirical_partner_potential":87,"scrutiny_priority":83,"biggest_visible_risk":"A public mode abstraction may omit transient or coupled states that are essential to coherent crew understanding, while a sufficiently complete contract may simply reproduce the incumbent state machine.","rationale":"The crew-facing consequence is highly important, the causal chain is concrete, and the disconnected trace harness offers a strong falsifiable first study with explicit authority limits. Scrutiny vulnerability is higher because coherent mode-state contracts, interface mappings, and model-based trace testing look close to established avionics engineering practice, and the safe abstraction boundary may be difficult to separate from aircraft-specific human-factors semantics."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_C","problem_reality_importance":93,"causal_archetype_fit":94,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":80,"operational_specificity":94,"falsifiability_test_quality":93,"adopter_partner_path":94,"deployability_complexity":83,"authority_safety_reversibility":97,"strict_potential":90,"empirical_partner_potential":95,"scrutiny_priority":93,"biggest_visible_risk":"Maintenance status may depend on program, jurisdiction, configuration, and evidence-authority context omitted from the abstract ledger, causing the test to mistake incomplete semantics for backend divergence.","rationale":"This is the strongest scrutiny target because direct-table coupling, divergent credit logic, corrections, and replay ordering form a credible problem that the opaque state-machine archetype directly addresses. The proposed single-obligation shadow replay is unusually bounded and decision-relevant: seeded duplicate, ordering, deletion, conflict, and installation defects can clearly accept or falsify the intervention. An authorized records partner can resolve the decisive semantic disagreements without touching official records or release decisions."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_D","problem_reality_importance":89,"causal_archetype_fit":95,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":82,"operational_specificity":95,"falsifiability_test_quality":95,"adopter_partner_path":88,"deployability_complexity":86,"authority_safety_reversibility":96,"strict_potential":93,"empirical_partner_potential":91,"scrutiny_priority":92,"biggest_visible_risk":"Numerical equivalence tolerances may either exclude valid alternate encodings or admit response errors consequential to downstream analyses.","rationale":"The proposal offers the cleanest strict opportunity: the released model, bounded domain, transformations, errors, tolerances, and seeded faults create a precise behavioral substitution claim whose tests can change a decision. The archetype is essential because clients currently consume concrete tables and interpolation behavior. Its isolated non-flight-release evaluation is deployable and reversible, although scrutiny must determine whether similar semantic evaluator contracts already cover the contrast and whether tolerances can be justified independently of downstream use."}],"rank_order":["CANDIDATE_C","CANDIDATE_D","CANDIDATE_A","CANDIDATE_B"],"top_choice":"CANDIDATE_C","portfolio_observation":"All four proposals are structurally strong and safely staged, but they split into two leading lanes: C has the clearest authorized empirical-partner study, while D has the sharpest strict, implementation-independent conformance claim. A carries greater abstraction-validity uncertainty, and B combines the highest consequence with the greatest aircraft-specific semantic complexity and prior-art vulnerability.","confidence":"MODERATE"}