{"schema_version":1,"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp07_retrospective_selector60_20260803","cell_code":"E7C038","selector_replication":2,"assessments":[{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_A","problem_reality_importance":89,"causal_archetype_fit":94,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":63,"operational_specificity":97,"falsifiability_test_quality":96,"adopter_partner_path":88,"deployability_complexity":84,"authority_safety_reversibility":98,"strict_potential":91,"empirical_partner_potential":89,"scrutiny_priority":92,"biggest_visible_risk":"The equivalence tolerances and abstract input state may either omit materially history-dependent aerodynamic behavior or become broad enough to admit consequential response differences.","rationale":"This is the cleanest bounded substitutability problem: concrete table dependencies are observable, the abstract partial mapping is causally essential, and the proposed offline comparison includes independent and seeded-fault implementations. It is unusually specific, reversible, and deployable. Its main scrutiny vulnerability is that wrapping aerodynamic evaluators behind semantic query contracts may look close to established interface and model-validation practice, leaving the strength of the contrastive claim dependent on demonstrated representation leakage and discriminating tolerances."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_B","problem_reality_importance":93,"causal_archetype_fit":93,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":68,"operational_specificity":95,"falsifiability_test_quality":95,"adopter_partner_path":92,"deployability_complexity":72,"authority_safety_reversibility":98,"strict_potential":88,"empirical_partner_potential":95,"scrutiny_priority":93,"biggest_visible_risk":"The abstract ledger may be unable to encode the full jurisdictional, program, configuration, and evidence-authority context without becoming a maintenance rules system rather than a representation-independent storage contract.","rationale":"The proposal addresses a consequential and directly observable source of inconsistent maintenance status, and the state-machine archetype is central rather than decorative. Shadow replay of bounded histories gives a willing operator a decisive, safe test of idempotence, correction, conflict, ordering, and traceability. Complexity and prior-art vulnerability are higher because event sourcing, append-only correction, and centralized maintenance rules are familiar-looking ingredients, but the explicit indeterminate-state semantics and shared sequence oracle preserve a credible partner opportunity."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_C","problem_reality_importance":91,"causal_archetype_fit":89,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":71,"operational_specificity":91,"falsifiability_test_quality":90,"adopter_partner_path":86,"deployability_complexity":70,"authority_safety_reversibility":98,"strict_potential":78,"empirical_partner_potential":89,"scrutiny_priority":85,"biggest_visible_risk":"A single time-indexed containment relation may erase decisive differences among probabilistic, bounded-error, intent-based, and reachable-set predictions, making nominal conformance either unsafe or impossible to define.","rationale":"The client-coupling problem is important, the offline replay is well bounded, and representation leakage is testable. However, the proposed abstract value is less clearly adequate than the other candidates' state models: predictor uncertainty meaning is itself central to conflict behavior, so sampled, probabilistic, and set-based implementations may not admit one useful equivalence relation. A partner could resolve this uncertainty, but the abstraction may fail before the conformance machinery becomes informative."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_D","problem_reality_importance":94,"causal_archetype_fit":95,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":66,"operational_specificity":96,"falsifiability_test_quality":95,"adopter_partner_path":91,"deployability_complexity":74,"authority_safety_reversibility":98,"strict_potential":91,"empirical_partner_potential":94,"scrutiny_priority":94,"biggest_visible_risk":"The public mode abstraction may either omit a transient crew-relevant distinction or reproduce the incumbent private state machine under new names, defeating safe representation independence.","rationale":"Contradictory automation annunciation is highly consequential, and the proposal tightly connects it to representation-shaped mode states and event sequences. Atomic snapshots, authority and target invariants, explicit reversion semantics, and seeded faulty mappers produce decision-relevant laboratory tests without touching operational systems. Although public flight-guidance state contracts and state-machine verification are prior-art-vulnerable areas, the proposal retains a narrow, falsifiable contrast around crew-observable semantics rather than claiming control-law equivalence."}],"rank_order":["CANDIDATE_D","CANDIDATE_B","CANDIDATE_A","CANDIDATE_C"],"top_choice":"CANDIDATE_D","portfolio_observation":"All four are strong, unusually complete applications of an opaque behavioral-contract archetype, so selection turns mainly on abstraction adequacy and partner-resolvable uncertainty. D best combines consequence, causal fit, precise laboratory falsification, and retained authority; B is the strongest empirical-partner study; A is the cleanest deployable strict case but has a narrower and more prior-art-vulnerable contrast; C has the most serious risk that its proposed abstract object suppresses domain-essential uncertainty semantics.","confidence":"HIGH"}