{"schema_version":1,"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp07_retrospective_selector60_20260803","cell_code":"E7C041","selector_replication":1,"assessments":[{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_A","problem_reality_importance":91,"causal_archetype_fit":95,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":82,"operational_specificity":94,"falsifiability_test_quality":94,"adopter_partner_path":84,"deployability_complexity":82,"authority_safety_reversibility":96,"strict_potential":92,"empirical_partner_potential":89,"scrutiny_priority":93,"biggest_visible_risk":"The abstract state may omit scientifically necessary layer-dependent behavior, causing materially different snow formulations to appear substitutable.","rationale":"The proposal identifies a consequential and directly observable representation-coupling problem, makes the abstraction boundary causally essential, and supplies an unusually precise contract, oracle, falsifiers, authority structure, and reversible benchmark. Its strongest research question is whether totals, fluxes, and declared diagnostics can preserve every host-relevant scientific meaning without freezing incumbent numerical behavior."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_B","problem_reality_importance":90,"causal_archetype_fit":86,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":76,"operational_specificity":87,"falsifiability_test_quality":87,"adopter_partner_path":71,"deployability_complexity":63,"authority_safety_reversibility":93,"strict_potential":78,"empirical_partner_potential":82,"scrutiny_priority":79,"biggest_visible_risk":"A safe site-specific contract may need to prescribe so many construction and environmental details that meaningful representation independence largely disappears.","rationale":"The physical-service framing is credible and consequential, with strong fault, maintenance, overflow, and authority boundaries. However, conventional performance specifications and commissioning regimes look like close textual rivals, and transfer across sites is constrained by hydraulic, structural, ecological, measurement, and permitting dependencies. The isolated simulation or rig is falsifiable but substantially harder to establish with a willing partner."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_C","problem_reality_importance":86,"causal_archetype_fit":91,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":72,"operational_specificity":92,"falsifiability_test_quality":91,"adopter_partner_path":90,"deployability_complexity":88,"authority_safety_reversibility":95,"strict_potential":84,"empirical_partner_potential":91,"scrutiny_priority":86,"biggest_visible_risk":"The proposal may amount to a domain-specific combination of established ledger, provenance, schema, and conformance practices, leaving little contrastive claim after scrutiny.","rationale":"Storage-coupled scientific workflows are plausible, and the lineage, quality-decision, coverage, aggregation, and snapshot semantics are concrete and testable through a read-only replay. The partner path is excellent because decisive evidence can be produced from one completed project without operational mutation. Its principal weakness is that the intervention looks comparatively standard and may formalize an incumbent scientific convention rather than reveal a distinctive mechanism."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_D","problem_reality_importance":92,"causal_archetype_fit":93,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":78,"operational_specificity":94,"falsifiability_test_quality":95,"adopter_partner_path":89,"deployability_complexity":87,"authority_safety_reversibility":97,"strict_potential":89,"empirical_partner_potential":93,"scrutiny_priority":91,"biggest_visible_risk":"The contract-drafting exercise may be unable to distinguish approved drought policy from accidental spreadsheet behavior, turning implementation quirks into authoritative rules.","rationale":"This is a consequential decision-support problem with a tight causal link between representation leakage and changed recommendations. The bounded differential study can decisively test boundaries, missingness, hysteresis, corrections, and receipts while preserving human authority and preventing operational effects. Although rule-engine conformance is a recognizable pattern, the explicit separation of policy version, stateful transition semantics, and official declaration authority leaves a meaningful claim worth scrutinizing."}],"rank_order":["CANDIDATE_A","CANDIDATE_D","CANDIDATE_C","CANDIDATE_B"],"top_choice":"CANDIDATE_A","portfolio_observation":"A and D are the strongest strict opportunities because their abstraction boundaries are causally indispensable and their proposed studies can expose contract omissions or semantic incompatibility. C is the clearest low-friction empirical-partner opportunity but appears more vulnerable to standard-practice prior art. B addresses a serious physical problem, yet site specificity, regulatory coupling, and test-rig complexity reduce the chance of a clean substitutability result.","confidence":"HIGH"}