{"schema_version":1,"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp07_retrospective_selector60_20260803","cell_code":"E7C041","selector_replication":2,"assessments":[{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_A","problem_reality_importance":91,"causal_archetype_fit":95,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":78,"operational_specificity":96,"falsifiability_test_quality":95,"adopter_partner_path":88,"deployability_complexity":79,"authority_safety_reversibility":96,"strict_potential":88,"empirical_partner_potential":92,"scrutiny_priority":92,"biggest_visible_risk":"Total water and energy do not uniquely capture vertical snow state, so implementations could share the proposed abstract state yet produce materially different future fluxes.","rationale":"The proposal identifies consequential representation coupling and makes the abstraction boundary causally essential. Its operations, invariants, tolerances, shadow trial, discrepancy taxonomy, and rollback are unusually concrete. The central scientific-state sufficiency question is serious but directly testable with an incumbent adapter and independent implementation, making this strong in both lanes."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_B","problem_reality_importance":88,"causal_archetype_fit":92,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":65,"operational_specificity":95,"falsifiability_test_quality":94,"adopter_partner_path":92,"deployability_complexity":85,"authority_safety_reversibility":97,"strict_potential":80,"empirical_partner_potential":93,"scrutiny_priority":85,"biggest_visible_risk":"The contract may canonize undocumented spreadsheet behavior as policy when the real ambiguity requires an authorized policy decision rather than software conformance.","rationale":"This is a credible, decision-relevant migration problem with excellent separation between advisory computation and official authority. Frozen packets, independent decision tables, generated histories, and non-authoritative shadowing provide a strong partner study. Its contrast is more vulnerable because versioned rules engines, decision tables, receipts, and regression testing resemble established policy-software practice."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_C","problem_reality_importance":92,"causal_archetype_fit":89,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":75,"operational_specificity":91,"falsifiability_test_quality":88,"adopter_partner_path":84,"deployability_complexity":63,"authority_safety_reversibility":95,"strict_potential":81,"empirical_partner_potential":90,"scrutiny_priority":87,"biggest_visible_risk":"A bounded hydraulic service contract may falsely equate designs that differ in site-specific structural, water-quality, ecological, debris, freeze, or lifecycle behavior outside the commissioning envelope.","rationale":"The physical-component realization is consequential and more contrastive than a software-only abstraction, with clear envelopes, fault modes, maintenance transitions, and retained inspection authority. An isolated rig or simulation offers a falsifiable partner path. However, physical testing, measurement uncertainty, site dependence, and overlap with performance-based procurement weaken immediate deployability and strict survival."},{"blind_id":"CANDIDATE_D","problem_reality_importance":84,"causal_archetype_fit":92,"distinctiveness_prior_art_resilience":60,"operational_specificity":96,"falsifiability_test_quality":95,"adopter_partner_path":93,"deployability_complexity":89,"authority_safety_reversibility":96,"strict_potential":77,"empirical_partner_potential":92,"scrutiny_priority":82,"biggest_visible_risk":"The proposal may largely repackage familiar event-sourced data governance, provenance, schema abstraction, and reproducible-query practices, leaving little meaningful contrast after prior-art scrutiny.","rationale":"The ledger is coherent, bounded, safe, and readily testable on an authorized read-only copy. Lineage, quality reversals, coverage, units, snapshots, and state-preserving errors are specified well. Its problem is somewhat less consequential than the leading candidates, and the intervention appears especially vulnerable to standard data-platform and scientific-provenance practice despite its strong empirical feasibility."}],"rank_order":["CANDIDATE_A","CANDIDATE_C","CANDIDATE_B","CANDIDATE_D"],"top_choice":"CANDIDATE_A","portfolio_observation":"All four proposals fit the representation-independence archetype and offer unusually safe bounded studies. A has the strongest combination of causal necessity and decisive testing; C offers the most interesting physical transfer but carries larger envelope and validation burdens. B and D are highly partner-ready yet more exposed to established-looking rules-engine and data-ledger practice.","confidence":"HIGH"}