{"schema_version":1,"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp09_archetype_breadth150_20260804","research_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp09_light_prior_art_20260804","cell_id":"activation_decay_measurement__chemistry_materials","search_lanes":{"direct_problem_and_intervention":{"queries":["glovebox pre-brief decay delayed readiness checkpoint mock task","moisture-sensitive precursor loading briefing expiry","glovebox training competency assessment loading air sensitive chemicals"],"source_ids":["SRC1","SRC2"],"no_result_note":null},"synonyms_and_historical_terms":{"queries":["procedural skill decay retention interval simulation refresher training study","task interruption resumption procedural sequence omission errors","skill fade skill degradation predictive refresher training"],"source_ids":["SRC2","SRC3","SRC4"],"no_result_note":null},"products_practices_and_standards":{"queries":["glovebox SOP oxygen moisture training checklist air sensitive materials","adaptive refresher training skill decay model performance threshold","competency expiry performance-based refresher training predictive model"],"source_ids":["SRC1","SRC3","SRC4"],"no_result_note":null},"component_combination":{"queries":["decay curve performance threshold personalized refresher scheduling simulation","delayed procedural performance probe threshold reactivation safety-critical task","predictive skill decay model task steps error criterion refresher interval"],"source_ids":["SRC2","SRC3","SRC4"],"no_result_note":null}},"sources":[{"source_id":"SRC1","title":"Glovebox Safety","publisher":"Stony Brook University Environmental Health and Safety","url":"https://ehs.stonybrook.edu/programs/_archive_july_2025/chemical-safety/glovebox-safety","source_type":"OFFICIAL_GUIDANCE","claims_supported":["Glovebox users must be trained and understand atmospheric, pressure, ventilation, and contamination controls.","Glovebox pressure and integrity checks are required before use, and even small leaks can admit contaminants.","A breach can endanger users, damage equipment, spread contaminants, and admit oxygen and moisture; off-normal alarms require established procedures and stopping work until safety is restored."]},{"source_id":"SRC2","title":"Effects of Interruption Length on Procedural Errors","publisher":"American Psychological Association, Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/28150961/","source_type":"PRIMARY_RESEARCH","claims_supported":["Interruption length affected loss-of-place sequence errors when participants resumed a procedural task.","The observed effect was specific to sequence errors rather than incorrect execution of the correct step, supporting a memory-based interruption mechanism."]},{"source_id":"SRC3","title":"Personalized Training Schedules for Retention and Sustainment of Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation Skills","publisher":"Society for Simulation in Healthcare / Wolters Kluwer","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34009911/","source_type":"PRIMARY_RESEARCH","claims_supported":["A longitudinal randomized study used measured simulator performance and a cognitive learning-and-decay model to prescribe personalized refresher intervals.","The model predicted when performance would reach a minimum proficiency threshold and scheduled refresher training at that boundary.","Personalized scheduling improved some outcomes relative to a fixed six-month interval and reduced final compression-score variability."]},{"source_id":"SRC4","title":"Predicting Skill Decay: A Practical Application of the Skill Decay Analysis Tool","publisher":"SAGE Publications / Human Factors and Ergonomics Society","url":"https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/10648046241236519","source_type":"TRADE_PROFESSIONAL","claims_supported":["A skill-decay prediction method was applied to a safety-critical rail task to generate step-specific decay curves and required practice intervals.","The method decomposed an approved task, defined errors as skipped, added, misordered, incorrect, or late steps, applied an error criterion, and used predicted decay to guide refresher training.","The application specifically included conducting a pre-work brief among the analyzed task steps, although it modeled the worker's competence to conduct that brief rather than expiry of information delivered by the brief."]}],"problem_evidence":{"status":"PARTLY_SUPPORTED","finding":"Official glovebox guidance makes the consequence pathway visible: trained operation, contemporaneous integrity checks, oxygen and moisture control, and stop-work responses are important because breaches can harm personnel, equipment, and containment. Experimental interruption research also shows that longer interruptions can increase procedural sequence errors. No retained source directly demonstrates that an intra-shift queue delay makes a batch-specific glovebox pre-brief stale, so the facility-specific activation-decay premise remains unverified.","source_ids":["SRC1","SRC2"]},"closest_prior_art":[{"name":"Predictive Performance Optimizer for personalized CPR refreshers","source_ids":["SRC3"],"overlap":"It measures simulator performance, models individual learning and forgetting, predicts out-of-sample performance, defines a minimum proficiency threshold, and schedules a refresher when predicted performance reaches that boundary.","remaining_difference":"It maintains general CPR competence over days to months; it does not test a short-lived batch-specific pre-brief over intra-shift delays or prohibit reliance on an old briefing record before a particular glovebox loading."},{"name":"User Decision Aid-derived Skill Decay Analysis for rail-safety work","source_ids":["SRC4"],"overlap":"It decomposes a safety-critical procedure into steps, predicts step-specific decay curves, applies an error criterion covering omissions, ordering, correctness, and time, and derives practice or refresher intervals. Its analyzed procedure includes a pre-work brief.","remaining_difference":"Its curves are primarily task-characteristic predictions over weeks, not empirical delayed probes of information imparted by a particular briefing over minutes or hours; it also lacks the proposed fresh/uncertain/expired classification and briefing-reliance stop rule."},{"name":"Glovebox training, pre-use checks, documentation, and stop-work practice","source_ids":["SRC1"],"overlap":"It requires trained operators, contemporaneous checks, documentation, alarm procedures, and stopping work when safe conditions are uncertain.","remaining_difference":"It does not measure memory for batch-specific checkpoints, fit a cue-decay profile, or vary reminder burden according to a measured expiry boundary."}],"prior_art_disposition":"SUBSTANTIAL_COLLISION","contrastive_claim_remaining":"Within already-qualified glovebox users and realistic intra-shift delays, an empirically fitted model of retention for one batch-specific pre-brief will predict performance on a held-back, context-matched mock loading better than briefing completion, interruption history alone, a fixed cutoff, or a contemporaneous checklist; reactivation after the predicted boundary will restore performance, and barring reliance on the old briefing will add useful protection without replacing qualification or live-process controls.","contrastive_claim_falsifier":"The contrast fails if immediate briefing does not improve the defined checkpoint proxy; delay and context changes do not predict held-back mock performance after workload, experience, and interruptions are considered; a checklist or fixed cutoff predicts equally well; reactivation does not restore performance; or expiry enforcement adds no decision value beyond existing contemporaneous checks.","gates":{"adequate_source_search":{"status":"PASS","rationale":"The bounded search covered the direct glovebox problem, interruption and prospective-memory terminology, skill-fade terminology, official glovebox practice, predictive refresher systems, thresholds, simulations, and combined decay-model components. Four opened sources from four publishing organizations include official guidance and primary research.","source_ids":["SRC1","SRC2","SRC3","SRC4"]},"supported_problem":{"status":"PASS","rationale":"The exact glovebox briefing-expiry phenomenon is not established, but the containment consequences and interruption-related procedural sequence-error mechanism are directly supported, satisfying a partly-supported problem gate suitable for a local mock test.","source_ids":["SRC1","SRC2"]},"distinct_testable_claim":{"status":"PASS","rationale":"Although the general decay-model, threshold, and refresher architecture substantially collides with established work, the short-horizon batch-specific construct, comparison baselines, held-back prediction, reactivation recovery, and briefing-reliance stop rule form a narrow falsifiable claim.","source_ids":["SRC1","SRC2","SRC3","SRC4"]},"bounded_next_test":{"status":"PASS","rationale":"The proposed study of up to 24 consenting, qualified users with inert props, representative delays, prospective scoring, covariate recording, and a held-back equivalent mock is limited, reversible, and capable of rejecting the narrow claim without changing live permissions.","source_ids":["SRC1","SRC2","SRC3"]},"no_obvious_safety_or_authority_stop":{"status":"PASS","rationale":"A voluntary non-live pilot can preserve approved SOPs, qualification, PPE, engineering controls, supervision, alarm response, and stop-work authority. Identifiable performance data and confusion between cue freshness and authorization require governance and halt rules but do not create an obvious categorical stop.","source_ids":["SRC1"]}},"screen_survival":false,"world_novelty_boundary":"This four-source screen found substantial prior art for decay curves, procedural-error criteria, proficiency thresholds, predictive refresher timing, simulation-based measurement, and safety-critical task decomposition. It did not find the exact short-horizon batch-specific glovebox briefing-expiry implementation. That bounded phrase-and-concept search cannot establish world novelty, patentability, market size, expert acceptance, or realized value."}