{"schema_version":1,"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp11_mechanism_context_external20_20260804","cell_id":"deadweight_loss_reduction__art_aesthetics","judge_id":"J1","item_assessments":[{"opaque_id":"deadweight_loss_reduction__art_aesthetics__A","supported_problem":4,"external_distinctiveness":2,"testability":4,"researchability":4,"evidence_quality":5,"fatal_issue":null},{"opaque_id":"deadweight_loss_reduction__art_aesthetics__B","supported_problem":4,"external_distinctiveness":2,"testability":5,"researchability":4,"evidence_quality":5,"fatal_issue":null},{"opaque_id":"deadweight_loss_reduction__art_aesthetics__C","supported_problem":3,"external_distinctiveness":4,"testability":4,"researchability":4,"evidence_quality":4,"fatal_issue":null}],"pairwise_comparisons":[{"pair_id":"A_vs_B","left_id":"deadweight_loss_reduction__art_aesthetics__A","right_id":"deadweight_loss_reduction__art_aesthetics__B","preference":"RIGHT","confidence":"MODERATE","rationale":"Both address a partly supported problem with a core intervention already established at major museums. B has the sharper incremental study: matched-cluster randomization or phased assignment, direct measurement of applicant abandonment, explicit distributional incidence, and multiple preregistered thresholds. A is similarly bounded and well evidenced, but its matched-image comparison is less clearly assigned and may rely more heavily on imperfect observable reuse proxies."},{"pair_id":"A_vs_C","left_id":"deadweight_loss_reduction__art_aesthetics__A","right_id":"deadweight_loss_reduction__art_aesthetics__C","preference":"RIGHT","confidence":"MODERATE","rationale":"A has stronger evidence for feasibility and a safer intervention, but its segmented open-reuse path is closely reproduced by several collection-scale programs. C also rests on established proportional loan practice, yet its audit-first test of failed matches followed by randomized evaluation, full burden accounting, and longer noninferiority follow-up is a more distinctive unresolved research contribution. C's physical-risk and power limitations reduce confidence but are not fatal because the first step is records-based and professional vetoes remain."},{"pair_id":"B_vs_C","left_id":"deadweight_loss_reduction__art_aesthetics__B","right_id":"deadweight_loss_reduction__art_aesthetics__C","preference":"RIGHT","confidence":"LOW","rationale":"B is more immediately feasible and has excellent evidence, but it evaluates a mature open-access practice whose remaining contribution is primarily a local causal estimate. C targets a less-settled empirical question: whether allegedly proportionate loan reforms actually recover qualified failed matches without shifting costs, risks, or access toward advantaged venues. Its preregistered audit can falsify the problem before exposing objects, making the weaker baseline evidence manageable. The choice is close because a forty-request trial cannot estimate rare serious harms reliably."}],"overall_top_choice":"deadweight_loss_reduction__art_aesthetics__C","overall_rationale":"C is the most externally distinctive worthwhile candidate after scrutiny. Its substantive lever is not novel, but the retained evidence exposes genuine uncertainty about whether existing risk-managed lending principles increase loans, and no close analogue combines a causal failed-match audit, gated randomization, incidence accounting, twelve-month noninferiority tests, and automatic rollback. The audit provides a bounded, low-risk first evidence step and a strong problem falsifier. B is the strongest alternative on execution and measurement quality; A follows closely but offers a slightly less discriminating evaluation of essentially the same established open-access practice.","blinding_limitations":"Assessment used only the supplied preserved proposals and external-evaluation records. Source claims and search completeness could not be independently verified, and heterogeneous institutional contexts limit comparisons across museum image access and physical-loan programs. Integer ratings use a 1–5 ordinal scale."}