{"schema_version":1,"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp11_mechanism_context_external20_20260804","cell_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__biology_ecology","judge_id":"J2","item_assessments":[{"opaque_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__biology_ecology__A","supported_problem":4,"external_distinctiveness":5,"testability":5,"researchability":4,"evidence_quality":5,"fatal_issue":null},{"opaque_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__biology_ecology__B","supported_problem":4,"external_distinctiveness":4,"testability":4,"researchability":4,"evidence_quality":4,"fatal_issue":null},{"opaque_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__biology_ecology__C","supported_problem":5,"external_distinctiveness":3,"testability":4,"researchability":4,"evidence_quality":4,"fatal_issue":null}],"pairwise_comparisons":[{"pair_id":"A_vs_B","left_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__biology_ecology__A","right_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__biology_ecology__B","preference":"LEFT","confidence":"MODERATE","rationale":"Both retain a distinct modal-intervention increment over adjacent prior art, but A specifies a sharper causal contrast, quantitative falsifiers, locked rivals, power and progression gates, and explicit dose and safety bounds. B addresses an important hidden-resilience problem, yet its projection-matched treatment and mediation design remain less operationally defined and face stronger compositional, rare-species, and nonlinear-reef interpretation risks."},{"pair_id":"A_vs_C","left_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__biology_ecology__A","right_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__biology_ecology__C","preference":"LEFT","confidence":"HIGH","rationale":"C targets the best-supported immediate hazard, but close prior art already spans prospective warning-triggered nutrient cessation, ecological dynamical-eigenvalue methods, DMD with inputs, and operational coupled chlorophyll–oxygen forecasting. A's randomized control-to-mode identification and disturbance-matched comparison against coordinate-wise and nonlinear controllers leave a more distinctive contrastive claim, with materially stronger confirmatory specifications."},{"pair_id":"B_vs_C","left_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__biology_ecology__B","right_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__biology_ecology__C","preference":"LEFT","confidence":"MODERATE","rationale":"B's combination of a hidden coral-resilience problem with mode-projection-matched randomized perturbations and gain-linked recovery remains more externally distinctive. C is highly worthwhile and readily falsifiable, but its warning and intervention concept is more crowded by close dynamical-eigenvalue, controlled-DMD, prospective lake-intervention, and operational forecasting precedents."}],"overall_top_choice":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__biology_ecology__A","overall_rationale":"A offers the strongest combined research case after scrutiny: the underlying coupled-transition problem is supported but unresolved, the remaining claim is explicitly contrastive, and both the modal interpretation and intervention advantage can fail under preregistered quantitative criteria. Its enclosed, approval-gated design has a credible authority path and unusually concrete comparators, stopping rules, and progression conditions. Its scale and mode-estimation feasibility remain meaningful risks, but they are exposed by the staged design rather than left implicit.","blinding_limitations":"Assessment used only the supplied preserved records and bounded public-web evaluations. I did not infer treatment identity or treat the stated prior-art dispositions or remaining-value labels as authoritative. The searches are not systematic reviews and may omit unpublished, proprietary, regional, or differently named work; the 1–5 integer scores are comparative judgments within this three-item cell."}