{"schema_version":1,"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp11_mechanism_context_external20_20260804","cell_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__economics_finance","judge_id":"J3","item_assessments":[{"opaque_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__economics_finance__A","supported_problem":3,"external_distinctiveness":3,"testability":4,"researchability":4,"evidence_quality":4,"fatal_issue":null},{"opaque_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__economics_finance__B","supported_problem":3,"external_distinctiveness":3,"testability":4,"researchability":3,"evidence_quality":4,"fatal_issue":null},{"opaque_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__economics_finance__C","supported_problem":4,"external_distinctiveness":2,"testability":4,"researchability":4,"evidence_quality":4,"fatal_issue":null}],"pairwise_comparisons":[{"pair_id":"A_vs_B","left_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__economics_finance__A","right_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__economics_finance__B","preference":"LEFT","confidence":"MODERATE","rationale":"A retains a meaningful institution-level contrast against adjacent spectral and integrated stress-testing art, with a bounded retrospective first step and a defensible path to action-specific shadow analysis. B has sharper quantitative tests, but very close public DMD and eigenvalue-systemic-risk precedents narrow its distinctiveness, while its real-dealer randomized intervention faces substantially greater legal, interference, consent, and operational feasibility burdens."},{"pair_id":"A_vs_C","left_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__economics_finance__A","right_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__economics_finance__C","preference":"LEFT","confidence":"MODERATE","rationale":"Both are researchable and safely begin with shadow studies, but A's institution-level detection plus separately identified or bounded worst-case damping claim is less directly occupied by the retained prior art. C's underlying problem is better established, yet spectral fire-sale stability analysis, eigenvector monitoring, repeated propagation models, and risk-reducing portfolio reallocation already cover much of its proposed problem-lever combination."},{"pair_id":"B_vs_C","left_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__economics_finance__B","right_id":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__economics_finance__C","preference":"RIGHT","confidence":"MODERATE","rationale":"B's randomized modal-control package is more contrastive on paper, but its key intervention stage is unusually difficult to authorize and identify in a strategic, networked dealer setting, and close DMD systemic-risk work already occupies the detection lever. C has closer mechanism-level prior art and therefore lower novelty, but the supported problem, accessible portfolio authority path, cost-matched falsifier, and bounded frozen-snapshot pilot make it the more credible worthwhile research candidate of the two."}],"overall_top_choice":"invariant_mode_decomposition_design__economics_finance__A","overall_rationale":"A offers the best balance after scrutiny: the coupled balance-sheet problem is externally supported, concrete institutional adopters and authorities exist, the surviving contrastive claim is narrower than a novelty claim but still distinguishable from the located spectral and stress-testing analogues, and the preregistered no-action study can decisively reject the detector before any live intervention. Its action claim remains difficult because sparse episodes, reflexivity, and regime drift may defeat identification, but those limitations are explicitly separated from detection and bounded by robust-response, residual, drift, and incidence gates.","blinding_limitations":"Assessment used only the supplied preserved proposals and external-evaluation records. The searches were bounded and cannot exclude confidential supervisory models, proprietary bank or fund systems, patents, or differently described implementations. Evidence quality scores reflect the relevance and diversity of the retained public sources, not independent verification of every source claim or empirical replication."}