{"closest_prior_art":[{"name":"PlayersLab baseball player-development platform","overlap":"First-party product records every session; imports bullpen, release-height, command, workload, recovery, and wearable data; measures pitching biomechanics; compares changes with prior reviews; tracks athlete-specific trends and readiness; issues red-flag/workload alerts; preserves film; and provides actionable coach dashboards and player histories.","remaining_difference":"The public description does not disclose a disaggregated five-indicator condition panel, three-session healthy reference distributions, two-session or cross-indicator persistence rules, acceleration criteria, named coach-versus-clinician escalation, or post-response threshold recalibration.","source_ids":["SRC2"]},{"name":"Season-long fatigue-related pitching-kinematics monitoring","overlap":"Repeated high-speed measurements found within-game and season-scale kinematic changes associated with fatigue while fastball velocity remained stable; the authors specifically favored individualized kinematic markers over pitch-count limits and called for coaches to watch for those markers.","remaining_difference":"This observational study did not implement recurring bullpen reference bands, corroborated alert rules, an accountable response pathway, or post-response follow-up.","source_ids":["SRC1"]},{"name":"Longitudinal Motus workload and subjective arm-health monitoring","overlap":"A three-year study continuously recorded throwing exposure with wearable sensors, paired it with subjective arm-health measures, and related the longitudinal measures to throwing injury.","remaining_difference":"It focused on workload and arm-health associations rather than detecting athlete-specific deterioration in mechanics, command, exertion, and next-day status with persistence-triggered action.","source_ids":["SRC3"]},{"name":"MLB pitcher-injury research and prevention program","overlap":"MLB documents increasing pitcher injuries, expert concern about maximum-effort pitching and mechanics changes, and an explicit research need around biomechanics and measuring pitcher fatigue.","remaining_difference":"The report supplies problem visibility and research priorities, not the proposed operational monitoring loop or its individualized thresholds and escalation rules.","source_ids":["SRC4"]}],"contrastive_claim_falsifier":"The remaining contrast is falsified if a public product, protocol, or study is found that already combines comparable-session pitcher-specific mechanical, command, exertion, and next-day arm-status trajectories with non-composite reference bands, persistence or corroboration rules, named coach/clinician escalation, reversible responses, and follow-up recalibration; it is also empirically undermined if the proposed alerts add no blinded-expert or decision value beyond PlayersLab-like trend review, workload monitoring, and symptom reporting.","contrastive_claim_remaining":"Relative to the retained art, the narrower testable remainder is a pre-registered, non-composite condition-control protocol: comparable healthy bullpen baselines for mechanics, command, exertion, and next-day arm status; alerts requiring persistence or independent corroboration; explicit coach/clinician ownership; and continued measurement to verify reversal and recalibrate thresholds.","experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp13_second_slot_policy60_20260806","gates":{"adequate_source_search":{"rationale":"Four search lanes covered direct wording, fatigue/mechanical-breakdown terminology, products and official practices, and combinations of individualized baselines, biomechanics, readiness, alerts, and coach action. Exactly four opened sources span four publishers and include two primary studies, one first-party product, and one official league source. The direct product collision prevents treating phrase-level misses as novelty evidence.","source_ids":["SRC1","SRC2","SRC3","SRC4"],"status":"PASS"},"bounded_next_test":{"rationale":"The proposed six-week, 6–10-pitcher shadow study uses already scheduled bullpens and can measure repeatability, burden, alert frequency, blinded-expert agreement, feasible action windows, false alarms, missed cases, and incremental information without changing throwing exposure or medical and selection decisions.","source_ids":["SRC1","SRC2","SRC3"],"status":"PASS"},"distinct_testable_claim":{"rationale":"Although much of the intervention collides with existing research and a current product, the exact disaggregated panel, athlete-specific bands, persistence/corroboration logic, authority transfer, and post-response verification form a falsifiable narrower claim.","source_ids":["SRC1","SRC2","SRC3"],"status":"PASS"},"no_obvious_safety_or_authority_stop":{"rationale":"Shadow mode, consent, no measurement-only high-intensity throws, pain and withdrawal stops, nonpunitive use, clinician control of diagnosis and clearance, and coach control of ordinary training decisions make the bounded feasibility test permissible in principle. PlayersLab likewise treats pain as a stop signal and disclaims medical advice.","source_ids":["SRC2","SRC4"],"status":"PASS"},"supported_problem":{"rationale":"Primary research directly observed fatigue-associated kinematic changes over innings, games, and a season while velocity remained stable, and found pitchers would not reliably self-limit. Longitudinal wearable research relates workload and subjective arm health to throwing injury, while MLB identifies pitcher injury and fatigue measurement as active problems.","source_ids":["SRC1","SRC3","SRC4"],"status":"PASS"}},"prior_art_disposition":"SUBSTANTIAL_COLLISION","problem_evidence":{"finding":"The central deterioration state is visible: pitching mechanics can change with accumulating fatigue even when fastball velocity is maintained, and subjective self-limitation may be unreliable. Longitudinal workload and arm-status measures are also associated with throwing injury. Evidence is only partial for the proposal's specific release-point, command, pelvis-to-trunk sequencing, and two-session warning construct and for the claim that its alerts create a useful intervention window.","source_ids":["SRC1","SRC3","SRC4"],"status":"PARTLY_SUPPORTED"},"research_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp13_light_screen_20260806","schema_version":1,"screen_id":"E13P017","screen_survival":false,"search_lanes":{"component_combination":{"no_result_note":null,"queries":["baseball pitcher monitoring system individualized thresholds biomechanics alerts coach intervention","sports athlete monitoring individual baseline longitudinal trends warning thresholds consensus statement","pitcher bullpen video biomechanics trend alert readiness product coach dashboard"],"source_ids":["SRC1","SRC2","SRC3"]},"direct_problem_and_intervention":{"no_result_note":null,"queries":["baseball pitcher longitudinal biomechanics monitoring individualized baseline release point arm health bullpen repeated sessions","pitching mechanics deterioration monitoring repeated biomechanical assessment workload injury prevention athlete specific"],"source_ids":["SRC1","SRC2","SRC3"]},"products_practices_and_standards":{"no_result_note":null,"queries":["baseball pitching wearable sensor longitudinal biomechanics product motus sleeve workload arm health","site:mlb.com pitcher biomechanics monitoring fatigue workload report 2024 official","baseball Pitch Smart guidelines fatigue signs official pitch limits pain stop"],"source_ids":["SRC2","SRC3","SRC4"]},"synonyms_and_historical_terms":{"no_result_note":null,"queries":["pitcher fatigue mechanical breakdown individualized monitoring arm slot older study","pitching kinematics fatigue release point variability repeated innings study biomechanics longitudinal","pitcher readiness monitoring release point consistency perceived exertion arm soreness daily longitudinal"],"source_ids":["SRC1","SRC3"]}},"sources":[{"claims_supported":["Fatigue and pitch count were associated with altered collegiate pitching kinematics across innings, games, and a season.","Pitchers maintained fastball velocity despite increased fatigue and did not reliably self-limit.","The authors proposed individualized kinematic markers as potentially more informative than standardized pitch or inning limits."],"publisher":"Orthopaedic Journal of Sports Medicine / PubMed","source_id":"SRC1","source_type":"PRIMARY_RESEARCH","title":"The Impact of Fatigue on the Kinematics of Collegiate Baseball Pitchers","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/26535338/"},{"claims_supported":["A commercial baseball platform records bullpen sessions, biomechanics, film, workload, recovery, and daily check-ins as longitudinal player histories.","It compares mechanics with prior reviews, trains trends, generates red-flag and workload alerts, and routes information to coaches through individual and roster dashboards.","Its public safety statement treats pain as a stop sign and disclaims medical advice."],"publisher":"PlayersLab LLC","source_id":"SRC2","source_type":"FIRST_PARTY_PRODUCT","title":"PlayersLab — Player Development Technology for Baseball","url":"https://playerslab.io/"},{"claims_supported":["A three-year retrospective study used Motus sensors during all throwing activities and paired chronic workload with subjective arm-health information.","Higher chronic load and subjective arm health were significantly related to throwing-related injury, supporting longitudinal multisource monitoring while leaving causal and threshold questions unresolved."],"publisher":"Sports Health / PubMed","source_id":"SRC3","source_type":"PRIMARY_RESEARCH","title":"Chronic Workload, Subjective Arm Health, and Throwing Injury in High School Baseball Players: 3-Year Retrospective Pilot Study","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34781777/"},{"claims_supported":["MLB reports a long-term rise in pitcher injuries and expert concern about velocity, pitch design, and maximum-effort pitching.","The official report identifies pitching biomechanics and measurement of pitcher fatigue as areas requiring additional research.","MLB characterizes the report as a starting point rather than proof of causal solutions."],"publisher":"Major League Baseball","source_id":"SRC4","source_type":"OFFICIAL_GUIDANCE","title":"MLB releases report on injuries to pitchers","url":"https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-releases-report-on-pitcher-injuries-2024"}],"world_novelty_boundary":"This bounded public-web screen found a substantial product and research collision but did not search patents, proprietary club systems, nonpublic protocols, every language, or historical archives comprehensively. It cannot establish world novelty, patentability, market size, expert acceptance, or realized value."}