{"abstention_reason":null,"arm":"SUBSTRATE_DIVERSE_P2","candidate_id":"agency_structure_attribution_balance__library_information_science__SUBSTRATE_DIVERSE_P2","cell_id":"agency_structure_attribution_balance__library_information_science","decision":"PROPOSAL","experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp13_second_slot_policy60_20260806","proposal":{"actors":["Library preservation officer commissioning the attribution study","Exhibitions conservator publicly blamed for damage observed after a rare-book exhibition","Collections conservators who assess condition and construct mounts","Exhibition preparators and registrars who pack, transport, install, inspect, and return objects","Facilities and HVAC staff responsible for gallery and storage environments","Exhibition curator who selected objects, duration, case layout, and interpretive lighting requirements","Security and reading-room staff who supervise access and emergency responses","Transport contractor and case fabricator responsible for mechanical isolation and enclosure performance","Donors, researchers, and source communities with interests in preservation and access"],"affected_objective":"Determine whether recurring physical deterioration associated with rare-book exhibitions is driven by actor-specific handling choices, position-bound exhibition decisions, or structural exposure conditions, so conservation, casework, facilities, and access decisions address the mechanisms carrying damage without converting visibility into blame.","arm":"SUBSTRATE_DIVERSE_P2","authority_safety":{"authorized_first_step":"The preservation officer may bench-calibrate passive witness packets and run one four-stage pilot using expendable facsimiles through storage, packing, stationary transport simulation, and an empty display case. No collection object, occupied gallery, HVAC setting, or staff evaluation may be altered.","decision_authority":"The head of preservation decides whether instrumentation is safe for collection-adjacent use; the collection curator controls object access; facilities management controls HVAC changes; the exhibitions committee controls duration and case design. The analyst may classify exposure mechanisms but may not assign discipline, liability, blame, or compensation.","excluded_actions":["Do not attach adhesive, reactive media, or sensors directly to collection objects.","Do not expose originals to additional light, humidity, pressure, or vibration for experimental purposes.","Do not alter HVAC, lighting, transport, exhibition duration, or handling assignments during the initial pilot.","Do not identify a handler from a damage mark or exposure reading without independently supported process evidence.","Do not treat physical exposure as proof of negligence, intention, moral fault, or legal responsibility."],"halt_rollback":"Stop if any witness material sheds, off-gasses, leaks, warms, contacts an original, or exceeds conservation compatibility limits, or if the pilot would require an unapproved environmental change. Remove and quarantine the packets, return facsimiles and spaces to their prior state, retain baseline readings, and require preservation approval before redesign."},"baseline":"When pigment loss, cockling, or binding strain is noticed after an exhibition, the exhibitions conservator or last recorded handler becomes the focal cause because that person signed the condition report. Competing accounts invoke handling error, HVAC instability, display lighting, transport vibration, mount geometry, or prior material fragility, but ordinary paperwork supplies little stage-specific physical evidence capable of separating these roles.","candidate_id":"agency_structure_attribution_balance__library_information_science__SUBSTRATE_DIVERSE_P2","causal_chain":["A conservator constructs calibrated passive witness packets containing humidity-dose media, photochromic light-dose tabs, pressure-sensitive film, and mechanical-shock threshold indicators, with inert barriers suitable for placement beside—not on—collection objects.","Matched packets accompany expendable facsimiles through storage, packing, transport simulation, installation, case display, deinstallation, and return, while stationary control packets remain in reference locations.","The packet materials change physically in proportion to accumulated moisture, light, compression, or threshold shock, creating exposure evidence even if no workflow software, database, or narrative report exists.","Reading packets at stage boundaries identifies where exposure increments arise and whether they are localized to a handling event, shared across a case or route, or persistent across storage and gallery locations.","Condition imaging and material examination of the facsimiles test whether localized physical changes correspond to the type, location, and magnitude of recorded exposure rather than merely following the same chronology.","The attribution model separates actions such as packing, carrying, mounting, case opening, lighting selection, and emergency response from structural conditions such as enclosure design, HVAC zoning, route geometry, exhibition duration, staffing position, and inherited object fragility.","Replicated surrogate runs vary one bounded factor at a time—handler, mount, case, route, light dose, or humidity buffering—so actor-substitution and structural-relaxation claims are based on physically observed contrasts rather than imagined certainty.","A bounded synthesis states which exposures were actor-sensitive, position-enabled, structurally distributed, or unresolved, while keeping preservation decisions and responsibility judgments with their authorized owners."],"cell_id":"agency_structure_attribution_balance__library_information_science","consequence":"Person-centered blame can trigger training or discipline while leaving damaging case, route, light, or HVAC conditions intact; structural fatalism can conceal consequential handling, mounting, or response choices. Either error can expose further collections to preventable deterioration and distort responsibility.","diversity_from_prior_proposals":"Unlike the sealed P1, this opportunity addresses cumulative physical damage to exhibited rare materials rather than catalog discoverability, intervenes with passive material dosimetry and surrogate-object trials rather than a documentary attribution dossier, and traces exposure from physical media through exhibition stages to material change rather than tracing records through a metadata workflow.","experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp13_second_slot_policy60_20260806","intervention":"Deploy a Passive Exhibition Witness Packet beside expendable rare-book facsimiles and, only after compatibility approval, within collection enclosures without contacting originals. Each packet uses material-response elements to integrate humidity, light, compression, and shock exposure. Matched controls and stage-boundary readings localize accumulated doses across storage, packing, transport, installation, display, and return. Replicated surrogate runs then contrast handlers and structural conditions, allowing the library to attribute deterioration mechanisms without exposing originals or treating the last visible handler as the cause.","mechanism_mapping":[{"counterfactual_removal":"Without physically responsive witness media, the intervention loses its essential ability to detect and localize otherwise unobserved exposure; logs and recollections alone cannot reproduce that effect.","mechanism_slug":"actor_structure_evidence_matrix","role":"Cross-tabulates measured exposure increments and facsimile condition changes with actor actions, positions, case properties, environmental conditions, timing, and evidence quality."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without packets read at successive boundaries, an end-of-exhibition change cannot be localized among transport, installation, display, deinstallation, or storage stages.","mechanism_slug":"process_tracing_across_levels","role":"Traces physical dose from a local event or environmental condition through enclosure and object response to the collection-level preservation outcome."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without replicated surrogate runs using qualified alternate handlers under the same mount, route, case, and exposure conditions, person-specific handling effects remain conflated with the role and setting.","mechanism_slug":"counterfactual_actor_substitution_probe","role":"Compares physically measured exposure and facsimile response when a qualified substitute performs the same bounded handling task."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without runs that change case buffering, mount geometry, route isolation, lighting, or environmental stability while retaining the actor, structural dependence cannot be distinguished from personal technique.","mechanism_slug":"structural_constraint_relaxation_probe","role":"Tests whether the apparent actor effect persists when one material, spatial, mechanical, or energetic condition is changed."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without matched control packets and repeated routes, a vivid isolated reading could be overinterpreted as a turning point despite background drift or packet variability.","mechanism_slug":"paired_micro_macro_timeline","role":"Aligns stage-level dose increments and local facsimile changes with room-level conditions and repeated exhibition-cycle patterns."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without plural synthesis, the most legible sensor result could displace prior fragility, interacting exposures, undocumented events, or measurement uncertainty and become a new monocausal story.","mechanism_slug":"plural_causal_synthesis_review","role":"Preserves actor-sensitive, enclosure-led, environment-led, prior-condition, interaction, and unresolved models with uncertainty and responsibility limits."}],"nearest_rivals":["A condition-report audit documents when damage was noticed and who signed, but cannot directly measure cumulative physical exposures or localize them among exhibition stages.","A building environmental-monitoring program measures room temperature and relative humidity but may miss object-adjacent light, compression, shock, enclosure buffering, and handler-versus-structure contrasts.","A conservation treatment assessment determines how to stabilize an object but does not test whose actions or which structural conditions produced the exposure.","A personnel investigation evaluates compliance with authorized standards; physical attribution evidence alone cannot establish negligence, liability, or discipline."],"negative_tests":{"intervention_falsifier":"Reject the witness-packet intervention if calibrated packets cannot distinguish known exposure levels, matched packets disagree beyond preset tolerances, stage readings fail to localize imposed test exposures, or facsimile changes show no reproducible relationship to the recorded exposure dimensions.","problem_falsifier":"The attribution problem is absent if existing collection-safe evidence already localizes relevant physical doses by stage, distinguishes individual technique from position and exhibition conditions, accounts for prior fragility and distributed work, supports bounded substitutions, and preserves uncertainty separately from responsibility.","risks":["Witness media could shed, off-gas, or transfer reactive material if containment fails.","Surrogate materials may respond differently from historic pigments, parchment, paper, adhesives, or bindings.","Threshold indicators can reveal that an exposure occurred without identifying its exact timing or actor.","Multiple subthreshold exposures may interact and escape simple additive interpretation.","Staff may alter behavior when they know a route is instrumented.","Management may misuse exposure localization as proof of negligence despite the stated responsibility boundary."],"strongest_counterevidence":"The strongest counterevidence would be material analysis showing that observed deterioration is an internally progressing pre-exhibition failure, while calibrated packets and matched controls record no relevant stage-specific exposure difference and surrogate runs produce no corresponding damage under the implicated handling or structural conditions."},"next_evidence_step":"Bench-calibrate ten matched packet sets against controlled humidity-duration, light-dose, compression, and shock conditions, preregister tolerance and reading thresholds, and send three expendable facsimiles plus stationary controls through the authorized four-stage pilot. Report only calibration error, containment compatibility, stage-level readings, facsimile condition observations, and missing evidence; make no claim about any employee or past exhibition.","observable_state":"At each authorized stage boundary, passive packet elements have stable, photographable or instrument-readable physical states representing cumulative humidity, light, compression, and threshold shock exposure. Matched facsimiles have pre- and post-stage condition images and material observations, while controls reveal background drift and packet variability. Differences can therefore be compared across handlers, routes, mounts, cases, and environmental settings without relying on name frequency or retrospective memory.","prior_art_status":"UNSEARCHED","problem":"Rare books and manuscripts sometimes show pigment loss, planar distortion, binding strain, or surface abrasion after exhibition cycles. Because damage is usually recorded only at intake and return, the conservator who approved the exhibition or the last handler named on the condition report becomes the focal cause. The library cannot distinguish actor-specific handling from formal role authority, cumulative light or moisture dose, mount and case mechanics, transport shock, HVAC zoning, exhibition duration, inherited material weakness, or distributed installation work.","proposal_index":2,"remaining_contrastive_claim":"This proposal qualifies only if material-response packets and surrogate contrasts create stage-specific physical evidence that changes attribution among handler actions, positional decisions, inherited fragility, and exhibition structures. Adding sensors merely to document compliance, or reusing P1's record-analysis path, would not instantiate the opportunity.","revision_record":{"claim_changes":[],"conceptual_changes":[],"evidence_changes":[],"operational_changes":[],"parent_version":null,"progress_targets_addressed":["Create a second opportunity materially independent of the sealed discovery-workflow proposal.","Make measurement instrumentation and physical material response the essential causal substrate.","Preserve actor–structure attribution, bounded substitution, structural contrasts, uncertainty, and the separation of causation from responsibility.","Provide a reversible, collection-safe first step with explicit calibration and falsification criteria."]},"schema_version":1,"structural_mapping":[{"archetype_element":"Explanatory Target, Scope, and Use","domain_realization":"The target is stage-specific physical exposure associated with defined deterioration during a bounded exhibition cycle, used for preservation design rather than personnel judgment."},{"archetype_element":"Focal Actor and Collective Inventory","domain_realization":"The visible exhibitions conservator or last handler is separated from preparators, curators, registrars, facilities staff, contractors, security staff, and prior custodians."},{"archetype_element":"Structural Condition and Path Map","domain_realization":"Object composition, prior condition, mount geometry, enclosure buffering, route surfaces, HVAC zones, lighting, duration, access rules, and position-bound authority define exposure opportunities and constraints."},{"archetype_element":"Agency Contribution Trace","domain_realization":"Packing, lifting, mounting, case opening, lighting selection, inspection, and emergency responses are linked to stage-specific material-dose increments and facsimile changes."},{"archetype_element":"Causal Role and Timing Classification","domain_realization":"Actions and conditions are classified as initiating, exposing, buffering, accelerating, blocking, detecting, responding, or merely making an actor narratively focal."},{"archetype_element":"Evidence Provenance and Narrative Weighting Record","domain_realization":"Physical witness states, calibration results, facsimile condition evidence, room measurements, reports, and recollections remain distinct; signature visibility is not treated as causal weight."},{"archetype_element":"Counterfactual Actor Substitution Test","domain_realization":"Qualified handlers repeat the same surrogate task under fixed route, mount, case, and environmental conditions, with uncertainty bounded by replicated physical readings."},{"archetype_element":"Structural Counterfactual and Constraint Test","domain_realization":"Surrogate runs change one case, mount, route, buffering, lighting, or environmental condition while retaining the actor and task."},{"archetype_element":"Cross-Scale Actor–Structure Interaction Map","domain_realization":"Local handling forces and object-adjacent doses are connected through cases, routes, rooms, exhibition rules, and accumulated cycles to collection-level preservation outcomes."},{"archetype_element":"Attribution Uncertainty and Responsibility Boundary","domain_realization":"Measurement error, surrogate validity, interaction effects, prior fragility, alternative models, and unresolved stages remain explicit; causal exposure does not establish negligence or liability."}],"substrate_contract":{"counterfactual_independence":"Remove scheduling forms, databases, software, algorithms, dashboards, training, and reporting rules: calibrated humidity-, light-, pressure-, and shock-responsive materials still undergo and retain physical state changes beside the surrogate, preserving the intervention's essential exposure-detection effect. Those wrappers only label, read, compare, or govern use of the evidence.","forbidden_channel_audit":"No governance rule, staffing process, incentive, training program, software model, database, information-routing scheme, or digital controller produces the essential effect. Handoffs and analysis support localization, but the causal evidence originates in passive material response to moisture, photons, force, and acceleration. Physical nouns do not rename a compliance or computational intervention.","primary_allowed_process":"MEASUREMENT_INSTRUMENTATION"},"title":"Passive Exhibition Witness Packets for Damage Attribution","version":0},"schema_version":1}