{"actors":["National relay coach, focal because federation presentations link that coach's appointment and named exchange method to the result","Four-by-100-metre relay athletes whose pair-specific timing, communication, sprint velocity, and adaptations enact the exchanges","Assistant coaches who demonstrated cues, supervised repetitions, and led sessions when the focal coach was absent","Biomechanists and video analysts who measured approach velocities, handoff locations, and exchange timing","Selectors and team managers who determined relay membership, order, travel, and camp attendance","Strength-and-conditioning and individual-event coaches whose programs affected athlete availability and acceleration profiles","Competition officials and timing providers whose rules, zone markings, and measurements shaped the recorded episodes","Federation performance directors and athlete representatives who may use or be affected by the explanation"],"affected_objective":"Explain the conditional contribution of the national relay coach to the change in baton-exchange time loss across a predeclared set of four-by-100-metre races before and after one midseason relay camp, for coordination-system learning rather than selection, employment, reward, blame, or disciplinary decisions.","arm":"ORDINARY_DIVERSE_P2","authority_safety":{"authorized_first_step":"The federation's performance-research ethics lead may authorize a retrospective, de-identified reconstruction using already-held race video, timing, camp plans, attendance logs, and coaching records covered by existing permissions.","decision_authority":"An independent sport-science review panel owns the causal synthesis; athletes control participation in any new interviews, technical officials validate timing and zone-rule interpretations, and selectors, employers, and disciplinary bodies must use separate standards and evidence.","excluded_actions":["Changing relay selection, order, coaching assignments, or athlete technique from the retrospective review","Treating causal prominence as proof of coaching quality, athlete compliance, negligence, deservingness, or contractual liability","Collecting new biometric, employment, or testimonial data without consent and applicable review","Publishing identifiable athlete-level coordination errors or staff-performance records","Reporting actor-substitution or structural counterfactuals as observed race results"],"halt_rollback":"Halt if timing systems or exchange-zone definitions cannot be reconciled, footage cannot support reliable handoff coding, data authority or athlete consent is disputed, or provisional findings enter selection or employment deliberations; quarantine the synthesis, preserve source records unchanged, and revert communication to a descriptive exchange chronology."},"baseline":"The federation's operative account associates improved exchange execution with the relay coach's appointment, public demonstrations, and branded cueing method. It does not distinguish the coach's decisions from pair familiarity, assistant-led repetition, biomechanical feedback, selection continuity, camp access, athlete improvisation, rule interpretation, timing systems, or race conditions.","candidate_id":"agency_structure_attribution_balance__sport_science__ORDINARY_DIVERSE_P2","causal_chain":["Federation appointment authority, access to all relay athletes, control of camp agendas, and ownership of the public method place the relay coach at a coordination and narrative bottleneck.","The coach chooses relay order, exchange marks, verbal cues, practice progressions, and responses to failed handoffs; these dated choices can alter what each pair attempts without treating coaching style as a mechanism.","Assistant coaches and biomechanists translate those choices into demonstrations, measurements, corrections, and repeated drills, while athletes perceive cues, negotiate trust, adjust acceleration, and execute or depart from the prescribed exchange.","Selection continuity, individual-event priorities, athlete availability, camp attendance, travel budgets, takeover-zone rules, lane geometry, weather, surfaces, and timing technology enable or constrain the achievable coordination.","Pair-specific practice changes anticipation, outgoing-runner acceleration, incoming-runner approach management, hand presentation, and handoff location, producing the proposed pathway to exchange-zone time loss and valid completion.","Public clinics, federation media, and coach-authored plans make the focal coach more visible than athlete dyads, assistants, selectors, or inherited routines, while whole-race times can conceal exchange-level variation.","Substitution probes test whether a qualified alternate coach or an assistant using the same information, authority, athletes, and written plan could plausibly sustain the pathway; absence and delay probes test timing sensitivity.","Structural probes vary pairing continuity, shared camp access, analyst feedback, selection authority, and applicable zone constraints to determine whether the attributed coaching contribution depends on those conditions.","The synthesis assigns initiation, coordination, measurement, adaptation, execution, constraint, amplification, and symbolic roles with uncertainty, without turning causal contribution into authority over selection, reward, or blame."],"cell_id":"agency_structure_attribution_balance__sport_science","consequence":"Without the intervention, the federation may preserve or discard the wrong parts of its relay system, overlook athlete-pair learning and assistant or analyst contributions, mistake selection continuity or rule conditions for a personal coaching effect, and reuse an unbounded success story in staffing or athlete-selection decisions.","diversity_from_prior_proposals":"This opportunity concerns attribution of relay-skill acquisition and dyadic competition execution to a national relay coach. Its bounded outcome, actors, intervention records, structural conditions, and causal pathway through cueing, paired anticipation, sprint coordination, and rule-constrained handoff execution are distinct from clinical injury attribution or monitoring-protocol review.","experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp13_second_slot_policy60_20260806","intervention":"Conduct a Relay Exchange Contribution Reconstruction. Freeze the race set, exchange-zone definition, comparison around the specified camp, scale, and learning use. Reconstruct every eligible exchange from synchronized video and timing, linking coach instructions, assistant delivery, analyst feedback, practice exposure, pair composition, athlete adaptations, handoff location, completion validity, and exchange time loss. Inventory focal, distributed, opposing, and affected actors; map appointment authority, selection rules, camp access, athlete availability, individual-coach obligations, technology, competition rules, and inherited routines; classify evidenced actions by causal role and timing; align pair-level episodes with squad and race patterns; and audit why particular contributors dominate the record. Test bounded counterfactuals involving a qualified alternate coach, assistant delivery of the same plan, focal-coach absence or delayed correction, different pairing continuity, restricted camp access, unavailable video feedback, and changed selection or zone constraints. Publish a versioned synthesis of conditional contribution, replaceability, rival models, uncertainty, and responsibility limits.","mechanism_mapping":[{"counterfactual_removal":"Without the matrix, branded instructions, athlete execution, assistant delivery, and enabling conditions could be collapsed into a single coaching effect.","mechanism_slug":"actor_structure_evidence_matrix","role":"Cross-tabulates dated coaching actions, athlete-pair adaptations, implementation work, rules, resources, and observed exchange states with evidence and causal role."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without process tracing, a documented cue could be mistaken for a practiced adjustment, an executed handoff, or a demonstrated cause of the race-level pattern.","mechanism_slug":"process_tracing_across_levels","role":"Traces instructions through session delivery, repeated pair practice, perception and movement adjustments, exchange execution, and squad-level summaries."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without the position map, access created by appointment, selection influence, information brokerage, and assistant or analyst dependencies could be attributed wholly to personal expertise.","mechanism_slug":"network_and_institutional_position_map","role":"Separates the coach's choices from formal access, selection authority, information channels, athlete relationships, and federation resources."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without substitution probes, the review cannot distinguish an occupant-specific contribution from what another qualified coach or the assistant team could do with the same plan and authority.","mechanism_slug":"counterfactual_actor_substitution_probe","role":"Tests plausible alternate occupancy, assistant delivery, focal absence, and delayed intervention under declared competence, trust, information, and timing assumptions."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without structural probes, pair stability, camp attendance, analyst access, rules, or selection control could be misread as properties of the focal coach.","mechanism_slug":"structural_constraint_relaxation_probe","role":"Tests whether the proposed coaching pathway persists under bounded changes to pairing continuity, shared practice, feedback technology, selection authority, and exchange-zone constraints."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without aligned timelines, whole-race improvement could obscure inconsistent exchanges, and vivid practice episodes could be projected onto later competitions without temporal support.","mechanism_slug":"paired_micro_macro_timeline","role":"Aligns instructions and dyad-level practice episodes with athlete availability, relay orders, competition conditions, exchange outcomes, and race summaries."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without the opportunity analysis, a correction made before one consequential race could be overgeneralized, or a narrow window for shared practice could disappear from the explanation.","mechanism_slug":"turning_point_opportunity_analysis","role":"Examines whether camp timing, selection stabilization, or a specific correction created a bounded opportunity for the observed coordination pathway."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without the focal-actor audit, federation media and coach-authored materials may outweigh less visible athlete, assistant, selector, and analyst evidence.","mechanism_slug":"narrative_focal_actor_audit","role":"Compares source prominence and public credit with contemporaneous evidence of instruction, adaptation, measurement, execution, and omitted contributions."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without plural synthesis, a coaching-centered or structure-only explanation could close prematurely and leak into selection or employment judgments.","mechanism_slug":"plural_causal_synthesis_review","role":"Preserves rival causal models, conflicting episodes, sensitivity to coding and case inclusion, uncertainty, and the boundary between explanation and responsibility."}],"nearest_rivals":["A biomechanical exchange analysis that identifies kinematic inefficiencies without attributing how actors and institutional conditions produced or corrected them","A coaching performance appraisal that scores the relay coach against job expectations without tracing causal contribution to exchange execution","A relay-selection optimization model that chooses athlete order from sprint data without analyzing instruction, learning, or distributed implementation","A whole-race performance decomposition that assigns time to starts, sprinting, and exchanges but does not test actor substitution or structural conditions","A media or interview audit that examines personal credit without reconstructing the movement-learning mechanism","A before-and-after camp comparison that does not separate coaching choices from pairing continuity, attendance, rules, or measurement changes"],"negative_tests":{"intervention_falsifier":"The intervention is falsified as an attribution improvement if independent blinded coders cannot reproduce the instruction-to-practice-to-exchange links, or if removing actor identities, substitution probes, and structural probes leaves the causal synthesis substantively unchanged.","problem_falsifier":"The proposed problem is absent if the federation's operative account already fixes the same race set and exchange outcome, separates personal decisions from positional access and distributed execution, tests bounded actor and structural counterfactuals, retains alternative models, and prevents causal findings from determining selection or employment.","risks":["Race footage or timing resolution may be inadequate for consistent exchange coding.","Changes in timing providers, camera angles, zone rules, or measurement conventions may destabilize comparison.","Successful races may be preserved more completely than failed exchanges, withdrawals, or disqualifications.","Selection changes may confound coaching decisions with pair familiarity and athlete sprint capacity.","Coach-authored records may overrepresent intended technique relative to assistant delivery and athlete adaptation.","Athletes and staff may reconstruct practice decisions after knowing competition outcomes.","Counterfactual coaches may be assigned unrealistic trust, knowledge, authority, or access.","Weather, lane, surface, and opposition may affect observed exchange states despite the bounded outcome.","Identifiable errors could affect athlete selection, reputation, or staff employment.","A detailed plural account may imply false equivalence when the surviving evidence strongly supports one pathway."],"strongest_counterevidence":"Contemporaneous records may show that the exchange marks, cue system, pairings, and corrective routines were established before the focal coach's appointment, that assistants and athletes continued them without material alteration, or that the apparent change occurs only after selection stabilized or measurement rules changed, leaving no discriminable actor-specific pathway."},"next_evidence_step":"For one national relay squad, predeclare four sanctioned races before and four after the specified midseason camp and include every codable valid, failed, or penalized exchange. Have two blinded reviewers independently reconstruct coach and assistant instructions, pair composition, recorded practice exposure, handoff state, and relevant structural conditions from existing de-identified records. Then perform one qualified-coach substitution probe and one pairing-continuity or camp-access probe. Stop after assessing record completeness, coding agreement, temporal discriminability, and whether at least one actor-specific and one structure-specific link can be distinguished; do not change training or estimate an effect size.","observable_state":"A federation review presentation credits a named national relay coach and that coach's exchange method for a change in the squad's baton-exchange performance after a midseason camp. Available records include race and practice video, exchange timing, coaching plans, feedback notes, attendance, relay orders, selection decisions, competition conditions, and zone-rule information, but the presentation does not distinguish the coach's choices from athlete-pair learning, assistant delivery, biomechanical analysis, pairing continuity, camp access, inherited routines, or measurement conditions.","prior_art_status":"UNSEARCHED","problem":"A national athletics federation cannot tell whether a change in four-by-100-metre exchange performance should be attributed to the relay coach's specific instructional and coordination choices, to the authority and access attached to the position, to assistants, analysts, selectors, and athlete pairs who developed and executed the skill, or to pairing continuity, camp access, competition rules, and measurement conditions. Personal-credit and structure-only accounts therefore support unreliable relay-system learning and invite selection or employment overreach.","proposal_index":2,"remaining_contrastive_claim":"Compared with biomechanical diagnosis, coaching appraisal, relay-order optimization, race decomposition, narrative audit, and simple pre/post comparison, this reconstruction tests whether an evidenced coaching contribution to dyadic exchange learning remains plausible under both qualified-occupant substitution and bounded changes to pairing, practice access, feedback, selection authority, and competition constraints.","revision_record":{"claim_changes":[],"conceptual_changes":[],"evidence_changes":[],"operational_changes":[],"parent_version":null,"progress_targets_addressed":["Create an independent sport-science opportunity centered on relay motor learning and dyadic execution","Preserve focal-actor, distributed-actor, structural-condition, timing, source-asymmetry, and responsibility-boundary elements","Specify paired coach-substitution and coordination-structure counterfactuals","Separate causal explanation from athlete selection, staff appraisal, reward, and blame","Bound the first evidence step without novelty, prevalence, demand, or effect-size claims"]},"schema_version":1,"structural_mapping":[{"archetype_element":"Explanatory target, scope, and use","domain_realization":"Baton-exchange time loss across a predeclared race set before and after one relay camp, used only to learn how the coordination system operated."},{"archetype_element":"Focal actor and collective inventory","domain_realization":"The relay coach is focal because of appointment authority and branded public materials; athletes, assistants, biomechanists, selectors, individual coaches, managers, and officials remain explicit actors."},{"archetype_element":"Structural condition and path map","domain_realization":"Selection continuity, athlete availability, camp access, individual-event obligations, travel funding, technology, relay rules, lane conditions, and inherited routines define the feasible coordination process."},{"archetype_element":"Agency contribution trace","domain_realization":"Dated choices about order, marks, cues, progressions, feedback, and corrections are linked to assistant delivery, athlete adaptation, and exchange states."},{"archetype_element":"Opportunity, constraint, and selection map","domain_realization":"Appointment criteria, access to athletes, control of camp agendas, selection influence, analyst support, and federation resources explain why the coach could affect the relay."},{"archetype_element":"Causal role and timing classification","domain_realization":"Instruction, coordination, measurement, adaptation, repetition, execution, constraint, amplification, and symbolic ownership are classified separately around practices and races."},{"archetype_element":"Evidence provenance and narrative weighting","domain_realization":"Video, timing files, plans, feedback records, attendance logs, selection documents, and optional testimony are assessed by authorship, contemporaneity, completeness, and missing perspectives."},{"archetype_element":"Counterfactual actor substitution","domain_realization":"A qualified alternate coach, assistant delivery of the same plan, focal absence, and delayed correction are tested under explicit assumptions about authority, knowledge, trust, and timing."},{"archetype_element":"Structural counterfactual and constraint test","domain_realization":"Pairing continuity, shared camp exposure, video feedback, selection authority, and exchange-zone constraints are varied within bounded plausibility conditions."},{"archetype_element":"Cross-scale actor-structure interaction","domain_realization":"Individual perceptions and movement adjustments are linked through athlete dyads and staff sessions to exchange episodes and squad summaries without treating any scale as inherently decisive."},{"archetype_element":"Distributed and background actor register","domain_realization":"Athlete pairs, assistants, analysts, selectors, individual coaches, managers, and officials remain visible even when federation materials center the head coach."},{"archetype_element":"Attribution uncertainty and responsibility boundary","domain_realization":"The synthesis retains competing coaching, coordination, selection, measurement, and condition-based models and cannot itself authorize selection, appraisal, reward, blame, or discipline."},{"archetype_element":"Versioned synthesis and review rule","domain_realization":"New footage, corrected timing, changed zone interpretation, additional participant evidence, or proposed consequential use triggers review of the bounded attribution."}],"title":"Relay Exchange Contribution Reconstruction","version":0}