{"abstention_reason":null,"arm":"SUBSTRATE_DIVERSE_P2","candidate_id":"event_log_centered_modeling__literature_literary_theory__SUBSTRATE_DIVERSE_P2","cell_id":"event_log_centered_modeling__literature_literary_theory","decision":"PROPOSAL","experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp13_second_slot_policy60_20260806","proposal":{"actors":["Literary scholars studying material, nonlinear, and ergodic reading","Book artists and designers whose works require physical manipulation","Conservators approving study copies and handling conditions","Consenting readers participating in bounded sessions","Research assistants validating instrument traces and event boundaries"],"affected_objective":"Empirically reconstructible accounts of how readers physically traverse and manipulate materially sequenced literary works, without treating a final page position, retrospective report, or designed route as the reading event history.","arm":"SUBSTRATE_DIVERSE_P2","authority_safety":{"authorized_first_step":"A study lead may authorize construction and bench testing of one instrumented facsimile and cradle, followed by a maximum of ten consented reading sessions after conservation and participant-safety review.","decision_authority":"Conservators decide which objects may enter the apparatus; creators or rights holders authorize facsimiles where required; participants control consent and withdrawal; literary researchers define the bounded question but may not infer comprehension, preference, or psychological state from physical traces alone.","excluded_actions":["Attaching markers, adhesives, conductors, or sensors to rare, borrowed, or otherwise non-study copies","Covertly monitoring readers or collecting sessions without informed consent","Using physical interaction traces to infer cognition, disability, identity, intent, or literary competence","Treating the designed, most frequent, or instrument-detected route as the correct interpretation","Recording audio, video, eye movement, biometrics, or identifying data unless separately justified and authorized","Deploying the apparatus for evaluation, ranking, surveillance, or access control"],"halt_rollback":"Stop if the cradle changes ordinary manipulation materially, damages or marks the study copy, misidentifies more than the preregistered tolerance of leaf transitions, or participants cannot withdraw cleanly. Remove the facsimile and sensors, destroy participant-linked derived views, retain only authorized de-identified calibration records, and revert to the unchanged work and conventional observation protocol."},"baseline":"Studies of nonlinear codices, foldouts, movable books, concrete poetry, and other materially sequenced works commonly rely on the work's designed affordances, researcher observation, video, think-aloud reports, questionnaires, or a reader's final location. These sources can document a session but often leave page openings, reversals, simultaneous spreads, foldout operations, and uncertain transitions embedded in continuous media or retrospective summaries rather than a canonical, replayable event history.","candidate_id":"event_log_centered_modeling__literature_literary_theory__SUBSTRATE_DIVERSE_P2","causal_chain":["Opening, turning, reversing, unfolding, rotating, or revisiting a study copy physically changes leaf position, hinge angle, load distribution, or the state of a movable element.","Passive page markers and cradle-mounted optical, magnetic, angular, and force transducers convert those material changes into distinctive pulses on a continuously advancing, non-erasable time strip.","A preregistered event contract maps qualifying pulse transitions to bounded manipulation-event assertions while retaining ambiguous, overlapping, and below-threshold traces as uncertain observations rather than invented events.","The original strip position supplies event time, while later validation and correction dates supply record time; session-scoped identities prevent a bounce, retry, or duplicate transcription from becoming a second manipulation.","Validated events and linked corrections become the canonical session history, preserving reversals, concurrency, unresolved leaf identity, and earlier coding states without overwriting the physical trace.","Pinned projection rules replay the history into leaf-trajectory, spread-exposure, branch-choice, dwell-interval, and cross-reader route views rather than independently editing those summaries.","Rebuild-and-diff tests expose coding or projection drift, while coverage statements distinguish measured manipulation from unmeasured attention, comprehension, and interpretation."],"cell_id":"event_log_centered_modeling__literature_literary_theory","consequence":"A theorist may mistake the route implied by a book's design, the order recalled by a reader, or the final open page for the route actually enacted. Reversals, skipped branches, concurrent exposure of several textual surfaces, and manipulation of foldouts or movable elements then disappear, making claims about material narrative sequence difficult to reproduce or contest.","diversity_from_prior_proposals":"Unlike sealed P1, which addresses changing scholarly interpretations through publication, assertion, challenge, and correction records, this opportunity addresses embodied traversal of material literary objects. Its intervention is a physical measurement cradle and direct-writing event strip; its causal path runs from page mechanics through transduction to replayable reading-route projections, not from documents and citations to claim-state projections.","experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp13_second_slot_policy60_20260806","intervention":"Build a conservation-safe Material Reading Event Cradle for a purpose-made facsimile of one nonlinear or movable literary work. Each leaf or movable element carries a passive, non-adhesive study-copy marker with a distinct physical signature. Cradle-mounted leaf-transition detectors, hinge encoders, load cells, and element-position switches drive a continuously advancing direct-writing chart, producing a non-erasable synchronized trace without requiring video or behavioral inference. Under a preregistered contract, validators create events such as leaf opened, spread formed, leaf reversed, foldout extended, wheel rotated, branch revisited, and manipulation unresolved. Each event has session-scoped identity, participant and object roles, event and record times, physical-state delta, trace coordinates, provenance, and uncertainty. Corrections are appended and linked. Versioned projectors derive manipulation trajectories and comparative route views with explicit frontiers and coverage limits.","mechanism_mapping":[{"counterfactual_removal":"Without the transduced, time-aligned physical trace, the intervention falls back to recall or observer interpretation and cannot independently establish the order and overlap of manipulations.","mechanism_slug":"event_capture_template","role":"The marked facsimile, transducers, and direct-writing strip capture the minimum physical evidence for a bounded manipulation event: element identity, transition, time, context, and uncertainty."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without a durable sequential source, later summaries could replace reversals, ambiguous transitions, or earlier coding states and could not be checked against the measured session.","mechanism_slug":"append_only_event_store","role":"The tamper-evident chart and attached validation sheets form the canonical, non-erasable session record; corrections are linked additions rather than altered traces."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without stable source coordinates and idempotent acceptance, contact bounce, repeated transcription, or reinspection of one trace could multiply page-turn events.","mechanism_slug":"event_replay_deduplication","role":"Session identity, chart coordinates, sensor-channel signatures, and transition direction distinguish retries and detector bounce from separate manipulations."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without derived trajectories, researchers would independently redraw reading routes and lose their common relationship to the measured event history.","mechanism_slug":"entity_trajectory_projection","role":"Replays role-bearing manipulation events into leaf, spread, branch, and whole-session trajectories under a declared treatment of overlap and uncertainty."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without pinned replay and comparison, changed threshold or ordering rules could silently yield a different route from the same trace.","mechanism_slug":"deterministic_replay_protocol","role":"Reapplies the event contract and projection order to a frozen strip transcription and checks event counts, transition continuity, element states, and terminal-state invariants."}],"nearest_rivals":["Video ethnography preserves continuous behavior but does not inherently define canonical manipulation events, stable identities, correction lineage, partial ordering, or rebuildable route projections.","Eye tracking measures gaze rather than the material transformation of leaves and movable elements; it also cannot by itself establish the physical state presented to the reader.","Think-aloud protocols and post-session route diagrams capture narrated or remembered experience but can omit rapid reversals, overlaps, and unreported manipulations.","A digital interactive edition can log clicks, but substitutes screen actions for the mechanical affordances and spatial simultaneity of the physical literary object.","A manually coded observation sheet records selected actions but lacks an independent physical trace against which event boundaries, missed transitions, and replay disagreements can be tested."],"negative_tests":{"intervention_falsifier":"In blind calibration and consented sessions, the apparatus fails to distinguish preregistered leaf and movable-element transitions within the error tolerance, materially changes reading behavior, or independent validators cannot reconstruct the same bounded event sequence and terminal physical states from the frozen traces.","problem_falsifier":"For the selected work and research question, conventional observation or video already reconstructs all consequential manipulations, overlaps, reversals, uncertainties, and alternative route projections reproducibly without independently maintained summaries or equivalent event semantics.","risks":["Markers or cradle resistance may alter the reading behavior being measured.","Sensor signatures may confuse flutter, exploratory touch, and completed manipulation.","Physical traversal may be overinterpreted as attention, comprehension, preference, or interpretation.","A purpose-made facsimile may not reproduce the weight, friction, scale, or affordances of the original object.","Fine-grained session records could expose disability-related or identifying motor patterns.","Event boundaries may impose false discreteness on continuous handling and dwell.","The apparatus may privilege codex-like works and exclude other material literary forms."],"strongest_counterevidence":"The measurement apparatus may perturb precisely the embodied encounter it seeks to preserve, while continuous video plus careful human annotation may capture the relevant material sequence more faithfully and with less specialized instrumentation. Moreover, page manipulation is only a weak proxy for literary reading and may not justify canonical event treatment for many theoretical questions."},"next_evidence_step":"Construct one instrumented facsimile containing no more than 24 leaves and two movable elements. Bench-run 100 scripted manipulations, including bounce, partial turns, simultaneous spreads, reversals, and ambiguous transitions; preregister error tolerances and event rules. If calibration passes, conduct at most ten consented sessions, have two validators independently encode the frozen strips, and test event agreement, terminal-state reconstruction, duplicate suppression, two record-time states, and deterministic rebuild of three named route projections. Compare a subset with direct observation solely for validation and report perturbation, missing-event classes, and privacy concerns.","observable_state":"For a materially nonlinear work, an observer's notes, a reader's recalled route, and the object's final configuration disagree about at least one consequential opening, reversal, branch, overlap, or movable-element state, and none can regenerate the full session route under explicit uncertainty and ordering rules.","prior_art_status":"UNSEARCHED","problem":"Material and ergodic literary works make physical traversal part of textual presentation, yet literary analysis often represents a reading session as a chosen route, final position, or retrospective account. Static summaries cannot reliably reconstruct the enacted sequence of page states, reversals, simultaneous exposures, and manipulations, so competing claims about how the material work presented its text cannot be replayed from a common evidentiary substrate.","proposal_index":2,"remaining_contrastive_claim":"For literary works whose presentation changes through physical manipulation, a conservation-safe direct measurement trace made canonical as bounded manipulation events should support reproducible route and exposure projections that designed pathways, final-state inspection, retrospective reports, ordinary observation sheets, and unstructured recordings do not provide unless they acquire equivalent event identity, ordering, correction, frontier, and replay semantics.","revision_record":{"claim_changes":["Initial version; no claim of novelty, prevalence, psychological interpretation, or effect size is made."],"conceptual_changes":["Initial formulation treats physical manipulation events—not scholarly assertions or fictional story events—as the canonical historical substrate.","The proposal limits its claim to materially presented states and explicitly excludes attention, comprehension, and interpretation from the measured event delta."],"evidence_changes":["No repository inspection, external evidence, or prior-art search was performed; the proposal was derived closed-book from the supplied archetype, domain packet, and sealed P1."],"operational_changes":["The first test is restricted to a purpose-made facsimile, bench calibration, ten consented sessions, direct-writing traces, and three predefined projections.","Rare and non-study copies, covert observation, biometrics, and evaluative uses are excluded."],"parent_version":null,"progress_targets_addressed":["Materially independent problem, intervention, and causal path relative to P1","Measurement instrumentation as the essential causal substrate","Faithful event identity, dual-time, correction, projection, frontier, and replay semantics","Explicit distinction between physical traversal and cognitive interpretation","Bounded falsifiable pilot with conservation, consent, and rollback controls"]},"schema_version":1,"structural_mapping":[{"archetype_element":"Event Boundary and Type Contract","domain_realization":"A qualifying event is a physically evidenced transition such as completing a leaf turn, forming a spread, reversing a leaf, extending a foldout, or rotating a movable element; touch, flutter, partial motion, and unresolved overlap retain separate statuses."},{"archetype_element":"Canonical Event Record","domain_realization":"Each manipulation event records session identity, event type, reader and object roles, element identity, time, physical-state delta, chart coordinates, provenance, validity status, and uncertainty."},{"archetype_element":"Participant–Role Binding","domain_realization":"Typed roles distinguish consenting reader, manipulated leaf or element, literary work, facsimile, measuring transducer, validating observer, and session context."},{"archetype_element":"Event Time and Record Time","domain_realization":"Position on the constant-speed chart records when the manipulation occurred; transcription, validation, correction, and adjudication dates are recorded separately."},{"archetype_element":"Transformation Delta","domain_realization":"The delta identifies the material presentation change, such as leaf moved left-to-right, spread gained or lost a surface, foldout changed extension state, or wheel moved between indexed positions."},{"archetype_element":"Event Ordering and Concurrency Rule","domain_realization":"Chart order supplies source-local time, while overlapping sensor intervals preserve concurrency; arbitrary transcription order is labeled computational and does not erase simultaneous exposure."},{"archetype_element":"Correction and Supersession Rule","domain_realization":"A revised page identity, threshold decision, or event classification is appended with a link to the prior validation and the unchanged trace coordinates."},{"archetype_element":"Projection Definition","domain_realization":"Pinned rules derive leaf trajectories, spread-exposure intervals, branch choices, revisitation patterns, and cross-reader route comparisons from declared event types and uncertainty treatments."},{"archetype_element":"Projection Frontier and Completeness Statement","domain_realization":"Every view identifies its latest validated strip position, unreadable channels, unresolved transitions, instrumented elements, and the explicit absence of claims about gaze, comprehension, or interpretation."},{"archetype_element":"Replay and Reconciliation","domain_realization":"The event contract is reapplied to a frozen trace transcription and projected states are checked against transition continuity and the observed terminal configuration; drift triggers rebuild rather than direct route editing."},{"archetype_element":"Retention, Redaction, and Access Policy","domain_realization":"Session identifiers are pseudonymous, motor traces are purpose-limited, participant withdrawal propagates to projections, and no audio, video, gaze, biometric, or evaluative record is included by default."}],"substrate_contract":{"counterfactual_independence":"Remove databases, algorithms, dashboards, automated classifiers, training, incentives, and organizational workflow: the marked facsimile, transducers, constant-speed chart, and human-readable trace still measure and preserve the order, overlap, and physical delta of manipulation events, and the trajectory can be replayed manually from the strip. Those wrappers improve transcription and access but do not create the essential evidence.","forbidden_channel_audit":"No governance rule, software model, page-recognition algorithm, recommendation system, or digital controller determines which physical state occurred. Passive markers and transducers respond directly to leaf position, hinge angle, load, and movable-element state; the chart advances independently and records their outputs. Human rules only decide whether measured transitions satisfy declared event boundaries, and uncertain signals remain uncertain rather than being computationally completed.","primary_allowed_process":"MEASUREMENT_INSTRUMENTATION"},"title":"Material Reading Event Cradle","version":0},"schema_version":1}