{"abstention_reason":null,"arm":"SUBSTRATE_DIVERSE_P2","candidate_id":"multiple_testing_discipline__law_governance__SUBSTRATE_DIVERSE_P2","cell_id":"multiple_testing_discipline__law_governance","decision":"PROPOSAL","experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp13_second_slot_policy60_20260806","proposal":{"actors":["Municipal housing inspectors authorized to conduct field material surveys","Accredited laboratory technicians who perform confirmatory chemical assays","Property owners, occupants, and tenants affected by habitability decisions","Code-enforcement officials who decide whether to issue abatement or emergency orders","Administrative hearing officers who review contested inspection evidence","Radiation-safety and evidence-custody personnel responsible for lawful instrument use"],"affected_objective":"Prevent a chance high reading among many field measurements from being treated as confirmed evidence of a hazardous building material when officials consider abatement, occupancy, or emergency habitability orders.","arm":"SUBSTRATE_DIVERSE_P2","authority_safety":{"authorized_first_step":"The municipal laboratory director may bench-test the paired-port rail and mechanical witness cassette on inert reference panels, then reconstruct their output for a bounded sample of closed inspections without entering occupied property or changing any legal determination.","decision_authority":"Only officials already empowered by applicable housing law may order abatement, restrict occupancy, impose penalties, or decide an evidentiary objection; the apparatus supplies measurement evidence and does not create inspection authority or determine the legal consequence.","excluded_actions":["Entering or sampling property without existing legal authority, consent, or required process","Issuing an abatement, evacuation, occupancy, penalty, or public-notice decision automatically from the apparatus","Collecting destructive confirmation specimens before receiving any separately required authorization","Changing statutory hazard thresholds, burdens of proof, hearing rights, notice duties, or appeal periods","Operating radiation-emitting equipment outside applicable licensing and safety requirements","Using the pilot to reopen closed cases or alter prior findings"],"halt_rollback":"Stop the pilot if the trigger interlock can be bypassed without a visible trace, the rail damages surfaces unexpectedly, paired ports show unacceptable material heterogeneity, identifiers break evidence custody, radiation controls fail, or officials treat the device as an automatic legal decision-maker. Remove the accessory, retain pilot materials under existing evidence rules, and revert to the approved inspection instrument and ordinary adjudication process."},"baseline":"During a suspected hazardous-paint inspection, an operator can take handheld readings at numerous surfaces, locations, angles, and repeated passes. A high reading may be photographed or copied into the case file while the total number and spatial arrangement of attempted readings remain difficult for later reviewers to reconstruct. The selected maximum can consequently appear equivalent to a single planned measurement.","candidate_id":"multiple_testing_discipline__law_governance__SUBSTRATE_DIVERSE_P2","causal_chain":["A field operator can probe many physical locations and repeat marginal measurements, creating numerous opportunities for noise, substrate interference, calibration drift, or positioning error to produce an extreme reading.","If the unsuccessful measurements leave no durable physical trace, the case record can contain only the selected maximum and conceal the opportunity set that generated it.","A keyed sampling rail physically limits discovery measurements to indexed A-ports, while a non-resettable trigger-coupled cassette punches one sequential witness cell for every instrument firing.","The resulting punched pattern and rail capacity expose the complete measurement family and determine which conservative family-level cutoff is shown by a mechanical lookup dial.","An opaque barrier keeps the adjacent B-port from exposure or sampling during discovery, preserving a materially separate specimen at every indexed location.","When an A-port crosses the family-level discovery cutoff, an accredited laboratory receives the sealed corresponding B-port specimen and performs a targeted chemical assay without choosing among additional locations.","Only concordant field and fresh-specimen measurements receive confirmed-material status for consideration by the legally authorized official; isolated extremes remain exploratory evidence."],"cell_id":"multiple_testing_discipline__law_governance","consequence":"A measurement artifact or chance extreme can be mistaken for confirmed hazardous-material evidence, contributing to unnecessary destructive testing, remediation expense, displacement, penalties, reputational harm, or an emergency order unsupported by an evidentiary burden proportionate to the number of attempted measurements.","diversity_from_prior_proposals":"P1 addresses cross-program administrative data mining through a claim registry and independent review of enforcement referrals. This proposal instead addresses repeated physical measurements during a building-material inspection and intervenes through a keyed spatial fixture, mechanical firing witness, shielded paired specimen, and orthogonal chemical assay. Its problem, intervention, and causal path do not depend on P1's analytics warehouse, referral docket, or enforcement-screen confirmation workflow.","experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp13_second_slot_policy60_20260806","intervention":"Fit an approved handheld material analyzer with a removable keyed collar that enables measurement only when docked in a serialized paired-port sampling rail. Each rail contains a fixed lattice of discovery ports labeled A and adjacent confirmation ports labeled B. Docking and firing at an A-port mechanically advances a sealed, non-resettable cassette and punches a numbered witness cell, so unsuccessful and repeated firings remain physically countable. The B-port stays behind an opaque, tamper-evident shutter during discovery. After the rail's specified family is completed, the operator sets a purely mechanical lookup dial to the punched firing count; the dial displays the prevalidated conservative family-level discovery cutoff. Any A-port crossing that cutoff is labeled exploratory until an authorized collector opens the corresponding B-port, seals a fresh paint chip or other material specimen, and sends it for a targeted orthogonal chemical assay. A legal status label and custody record may support the apparatus, but neither software nor an automated decision system is required for the counting, family adjustment, specimen separation, or confirmation effect.","mechanism_mapping":[{"counterfactual_removal":"Without the keyed rail, the operator can move freely among favorable locations and the physical opportunity set is again undefined.","mechanism_slug":"claim_family","role":"The fixed lattice and keyed docking ports materially bound the locations and paired specimens belonging to one inspection family."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without the non-resettable trigger witness, null readings and repeated passes can disappear even if the selected reading is retained.","mechanism_slug":"multiplicity_inventory","role":"A trigger-coupled cassette creates one irreversible punched cell per firing, preserving the number and sequence of attempted looks independently of software logs."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without the count-indexed cutoff, a threshold validated for one reading remains unchanged after many opportunities for a false crossing.","mechanism_slug":"bonferroni_like_correction","role":"A prevalidated mechanical dial maps the physically recorded family size to a conservative per-reading discovery cutoff."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without the shielded adjacent specimen, the discovery measurement and purported confirmation can reuse the same exposed spot and the same instrumental failure mode.","mechanism_slug":"holdout_validation","role":"An opaque shutter physically reserves the paired B-port until an A-port has been selected, enabling a fresh material specimen to be tested by an orthogonal assay."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without the targeted second measurement, a selected field extreme can proceed directly to a consequential legal characterization.","mechanism_slug":"confirmatory_follow_up","role":"The corresponding B-port chemical assay supplies a narrow confirmation stage before the material finding receives confirmed status."}],"nearest_rivals":["Ordinary instrument calibration checks whether the analyzer is operating within specification but do not reveal how many locations or repetitions created opportunities for an extreme result.","A single-sample chain-of-custody protocol protects specimen identity and integrity but does not preserve the family of unsuccessful field measurements.","A reproducible inspection report may recreate the selected reading while omitting unreported firings and therefore does not alone control the look-elsewhere effect.","Representative sampling addresses whether inspected locations characterize the property, whereas this intervention addresses false-positive interpretation within the family of locations actually probed.","A substantive hazard or materiality threshold asks whether a confirmed concentration matters legally; it does not correct the credibility of a maximum selected from many measurements."],"negative_tests":{"intervention_falsifier":"The intervention fails if controlled panel trials show that firings can occur without corresponding witness punches, that the physical record cannot reconstruct the attempted-look count, that the dial does not bound the prespecified family-level false-crossing rate, or that B-port assays are not meaningfully independent because adjacent-port heterogeneity overwhelms measurement error.","problem_falsifier":"The target problem is absent if bounded observation and closed-file reconstruction show that inspectors consistently take one pre-specified reading per legal claim, retain every attempted measurement in a tamper-evident instrument record, and obtain an independently assayed specimen before any selected field result materially supports consequential action.","risks":["Adjacent A- and B-port material may differ enough to make discordance hard to interpret.","The keyed rail may be impractical on corners, trim, damaged surfaces, or irregular substrates.","Operators may conduct off-rail measurements unless bypass attempts leave an observable trace and are audited.","A conservative cutoff may miss localized hazards that should instead be handled under an explicitly exploratory follow-up pathway.","Destructive B-port sampling may damage property or require separate legal authority.","Mechanical witness cassettes and serialized rails may create custody, storage, and contamination burdens.","Officials may mistake a confirmed material measurement for proof that a particular statutory remedy is necessary.","Instrument accessories could affect calibration, radiation shielding, ergonomics, or manufacturer certification."],"strongest_counterevidence":"The strongest counterevidence would be a closed-file and instrument-log study showing that attempted field readings are already complete and tamper-evident, selected extremes are interpreted under a family-level rule, and consequential material findings consistently rest on fresh orthogonal laboratory assays rather than the selected handheld reading."},"next_evidence_step":"Using only inert laboratory panels containing known concentration gradients, compare 30 simulated inspections performed with the ordinary analyzer and 30 with a prototype rail, trigger witness, shuttered B-ports, and mechanical cutoff dial. Seed repeated firings and marginal readings. Measure unrecorded-look frequency, reconstruction accuracy, family-level false-crossing frequency, A/B assay agreement, bypass detectability, surface damage, and operating time. No property inspection or legal decision may rely on the trial.","observable_state":"A reviewer can physically inspect the serialized rail, its fixed A/B-port lattice, intact or opened B-port shutters, the sealed cassette with one irreversible sequential punch per firing, the count setting and cutoff displayed by the mechanical dial, sealed B-port specimen containers, orthogonal assay outputs, custody marks, and human-assigned exploratory, confirmed, discordant, or rejected status.","prior_art_status":"UNSEARCHED","problem":"Housing inspectors investigating suspected hazardous paint or similar regulated building material may take numerous handheld analyzer readings across rooms, surfaces, locations, orientations, and repeat passes, then rely on the largest observed value. When unsuccessful looks are not physically preserved, a measurement selected from a broad spatial search can be presented in an administrative case as though it were one planned and independently reliable finding.","proposal_index":2,"remaining_contrastive_claim":"The proposal's distinctive claim is limited to inspections in which a consequential material finding is selected from many field readings: a physical fixture can bound and expose the measurement family while preserving an untouched paired specimen for orthogonal confirmation. It does not establish representative property-wide prevalence, legal liability, hazard severity, causation, proportional remedy, or the validity of the governing statutory threshold.","revision_record":{"claim_changes":["Initial version; no claim is made about novelty, prevalence, legal adoption, accuracy improvement, or effect size."],"conceptual_changes":["Initial version maps multiple-testing discipline to selection among repeated physical building-material measurements rather than administrative data analysis."],"evidence_changes":["Prior art remains unsearched under the closed-book constraint; the first evidence step is a non-enforcement laboratory trial on inert panels."],"operational_changes":["Initial implementation is restricted to a removable keyed rail, mechanical trigger witness, passive cutoff dial, and shielded paired specimens used outside live legal decisions."],"parent_version":null,"progress_targets_addressed":["Materially independent problem and causal path from P1","Measurement-instrumentation primary substrate","Physical inventory of unsuccessful looks","Spatially isolated confirmation specimen","Bounded non-legal laboratory test","Explicit preservation of lawful decision authority"]},"schema_version":1,"structural_mapping":[{"archetype_element":"Define the claim family","domain_realization":"A serialized rail's fixed indexed lattice defines the A-port field readings and paired B-port specimens that constitute one material-survey family."},{"archetype_element":"Inventory attempted looks","domain_realization":"Every instrument firing mechanically advances a sealed cassette and irreversibly punches a sequential witness cell, including null readings and repeats."},{"archetype_element":"Set the error-risk policy","domain_realization":"The rail and dial are configured for a conservative family-level policy because a false confirmed material finding may contribute to displacement, remediation, or penalties."},{"archetype_element":"Apply a multiplicity-aware rule","domain_realization":"The mechanical dial converts the physically witnessed firing count into the prevalidated discovery cutoff applied to every A-port reading in that family."},{"archetype_element":"Label claim status","domain_realization":"A field crossing remains exploratory; the corresponding laboratory result changes it to confirmed, discordant, or rejected without determining the legal remedy."},{"archetype_element":"Confirm before costly action","domain_realization":"The opaque shutter preserves an adjacent B-port for a fresh specimen and orthogonal chemical assay before the selected material finding is treated as confirmed evidence."},{"archetype_element":"Preserve the discovery record","domain_realization":"The serialized rail, punched cassette, shutter state, specimen seal, assay output, and custody marks form a durable physical discovery and confirmation record."}],"substrate_contract":{"counterfactual_independence":"If registry software, databases, automated routing, training modules, and digital control are removed, the keyed collar still restricts measurement to indexed ports, the trigger still creates an irreversible count, the mechanical dial still supplies the count-dependent cutoff, and the opaque shutter still preserves a fresh paired specimen for orthogonal assay. Human officials can inspect these physical outputs and retain all legal discretion.","forbidden_channel_audit":"No governance rule, incentive, organizational process, algorithm, model, database, information-routing system, or digital controller supplies the essential effect. Such elements may document custody or legal status, but the intervention's essential effects arise from mechanical docking, irreversible physical counting, spatial isolation, material sampling, and independent measurement. The apparatus neither automates nor dictates a governmental decision.","primary_allowed_process":"MEASUREMENT_INSTRUMENTATION"},"title":"Paired-Port Measurement Rail for Multiplicity-Aware Housing Material Findings","version":0},"schema_version":1}