{"abstention_reason":null,"arm":"SUBSTRATE_DIVERSE_P2","candidate_id":"predictive_precommitment_correction__law_governance__SUBSTRATE_DIVERSE_P2","cell_id":"predictive_precommitment_correction__law_governance","decision":"PROPOSAL","experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp13_second_slot_policy60_20260806","proposal":{"actors":["Judicial facilities authority planning a new or renovated hearing room","Judges, clerks, court reporters, interpreters, and courtroom security personnel","Architects, acoustical engineers, accessibility specialists, and construction contractors","Jurors, witnesses, litigants, counsel, observers, and people using mobility or hearing accommodations","Independent commissioning and procedural-access reviewers"],"affected_objective":"Construct hearing rooms in which spoken proceedings are intelligible at every required position, confidential exchanges do not leak into public or opposing-party zones, and participants using designated accessible positions retain required auditory and visual access.","arm":"SUBSTRATE_DIVERSE_P2","authority_safety":{"authorized_first_step":"Assemble a temporary, non-operational full-scale mock hearing-room bay using movable partitions, representative surface samples, seating, and calibrated acoustic and sightline instruments; test it with standardized signals and consenting staff volunteers, without conducting a real proceeding or recording case information.","decision_authority":"The judicial facilities authority retains authority over design and procurement commitments, subject to applicable judicial, accessibility, building, and safety requirements; instrument operators may report failures and propose physical corrections but may not waive requirements or authorize construction.","excluded_actions":["Testing during live, sealed, juvenile, or otherwise confidential proceedings","Recording litigants, witnesses, jurors, or protected case information","Treating measured acoustic or sightline performance as a substitute for accessibility, fire, structural, security, or legal compliance review","Changing adjudicative procedure, party rights, courtroom access rules, or judicial authority through a facilities test","Using the mock-up to evaluate an individual participant's credibility, disability, language ability, or litigation performance"],"halt_rollback":"Stop testing if calibration checks fail, the mock-up materially diverges from the intended construction, standardized signals cannot represent relevant speech conditions, accessibility testing is unsafe, or confidential information enters the test. Disassemble or reset the temporary configuration, retain the measurements with invalidity annotations, and revert to ordinary design review until a valid test can be performed."},"baseline":"Commit the hearing-room design from drawings, code review, manufacturer specifications, and professional judgment, then discover speech-intelligibility, sound-leakage, or sightline defects during commissioning or live use after partitions, millwork, seating, and finishes are costly to alter.","candidate_id":"predictive_precommitment_correction__law_governance__SUBSTRATE_DIVERSE_P2","causal_chain":["Before construction documents and fixed-material orders become costly to change, the facilities authority specifies performance envelopes for speech intelligibility, confidential-speech isolation, visual access, and accessible participant positions.","A full-scale adjustable mock hearing room reproduces the proposed dimensions, representative wall and ceiling surfaces, barriers, seating, witness position, bench, jury box, and interpretation locations.","Calibrated loudspeakers emit standardized speech-spectrum signals from legally significant speaking positions while microphones measure intelligibility and leakage at required listener, public, corridor, and opposing-party locations; physical gauges and seated eye-point targets test unobstructed sightlines.","The measured spatial performance map predicts how the proposed geometry and materials will transmit, absorb, block, or obstruct courtroom signals after construction.","Measurements and instrument uncertainty are compared with the predefined envelopes before partitions, millwork, seating, and acoustic finishes are ordered.","An out-of-envelope result is translated into a reversible physical pre-correction such as moving a barrier or seat row, changing ceiling or wall absorption, increasing partition mass or seals, altering bench or witness-platform elevation, or relocating an interpretation position.","The corrected mock-up is measured again; design commitment proceeds only when the authorized facilities authority accepts the tested configuration or documents a lawful exception supported by independent review.","After construction, commissioning instruments repeat the same measurements in the completed room, and deviations between mock-up predictions and realized performance recalibrate future mock-up methods, tolerances, and material substitutions."],"cell_id":"predictive_precommitment_correction__law_governance","consequence":"Courtroom geometry and material assemblies are pre-adjusted before irreversible construction and procurement, reducing the chance that participants encounter inaudible proceedings, compromised confidential exchanges, or obstructed participation only after the room enters judicial service.","diversity_from_prior_proposals":"The sealed P1 forecasts the administrative and procedural consequences of a draft rule and changes rule parameters before promulgation. This proposal instead addresses latent physical defects in hearing-room construction, uses a full-scale material mock-up and calibrated instruments, and changes spatial geometry and building assemblies before procurement. Its problem, intervention, commitment point, controlled variables, and physical causal path are materially independent of P1.","experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp13_second_slot_policy60_20260806","intervention":"Insert a full-scale instrumented courtroom mock-up before final construction commitment. Standardized acoustic sources, calibrated microphones, physical sightline targets, representative materials, and adjustable spatial elements preview intelligibility, confidential-speech leakage, and visual access; measured gaps trigger changes to geometry or material assemblies before fixed components are procured or installed.","mechanism_mapping":[{"counterfactual_removal":"Without the full-scale material mock-up, drawings and nominal product specifications cannot expose the combined wave-propagation, reflection, absorption, barrier, and obstruction effects of the assembled room before construction.","mechanism_slug":"precommitment_what_if_simulation","role":"Realizes the proposed courtroom physically at adjustable full scale so alternative geometries and material assemblies can be tested before commitment."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without calibrated sources, microphones, and sightline targets, the mock-up yields impressions rather than repeatable predictions that can be compared with explicit performance envelopes.","mechanism_slug":"leading_indicator_trigger_rule","role":"Converts measured intelligibility, leakage, and visibility values into an upstream signal that identifies configurations likely to fail after construction."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without the commitment gate, failed measurements may be noted while procurement and installation proceed unchanged, leaving correction until defects are embedded in the finished room.","mechanism_slug":"staged_commitment_gate","role":"Holds fixed-material orders and final construction release until the authority disposes of measured gaps and retests adopted corrections."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without matched commissioning measurements after construction, the authority cannot determine whether the mock-up reliably predicted completed-room performance or whether substitutions and field conditions invalidated it.","mechanism_slug":"forecast_error_backtest","role":"Compares frozen mock-up measurements with measurements from the completed room to recalibrate the physical preview method."}],"nearest_rivals":["Drawing and building-code review: verifies documented requirements but does not physically preview the combined acoustic and sightline behavior of the assembled design.","Computer acoustic or visibility modeling: may support configuration selection, but its computational prediction is not the essential mechanism here; the proposal remains operative through full-scale material realization and direct measurement.","Post-construction acoustic commissioning: measures the finished room only after many surfaces, partitions, and fixtures are expensive to replace.","Sound reinforcement installation: amplifies speech after construction but may worsen leakage, does not correct obstructed sightlines, and is not a pre-commitment prediction-and-correction process.","Procedural accommodations during hearings: may help particular participants but do not remove predictable room-wide physical barriers before the facility enters service."],"negative_tests":{"intervention_falsifier":"The intervention fails if blinded, repeated measurements show that corrected mock-up configurations do not predict completed-room intelligibility, leakage, and sightline performance better than ordinary drawing-and-specification review, or if the proposed physical corrections do not improve the prespecified measurements beyond instrument uncertainty.","problem_falsifier":"The problem is absent if representative completed rooms consistently satisfy the performance envelopes without mock-up-based correction, if relevant defects can be repaired after construction at negligible cost and disruption, or if no adjustable geometry or material assembly remains before the commitment point.","risks":["The temporary mock-up may omit joints, doors, furnishings, occupancy, mechanical noise, or workmanship effects present in the completed room.","Standardized signals may not represent quiet speakers, interpreters, overlapping speech, assistive devices, or diverse hearing needs.","Optimizing intelligibility may increase confidential-speech leakage, while stronger isolation or absorption may impair audibility elsewhere.","Material substitutions or field installation tolerances may invalidate a successful mock-up result.","A nominally compliant measurement may conceal poor performance at an unmeasured seat, body position, or frequency range.","Mock-up construction and repeated testing may add capital cost or delay procurement.","Facilities officials may treat instrument thresholds as permission to disregard qualitative accessibility evidence from affected participants.","Movable mock-up elements, elevated platforms, test signals, or temporary wiring may create physical safety hazards."],"strongest_counterevidence":"The strongest counterevidence would be a prospective series showing that ordinary design review predicts completed-room performance as accurately as the instrumented mock-up, while mock-up-approved rooms still exhibit material access or confidentiality failures under representative proceedings."},"next_evidence_step":"Pre-register a non-live validation using one planned hearing-room configuration and at least two deliberately varied physical configurations. Build a temporary full-scale bay, freeze the performance envelopes and measurement locations, calibrate instruments, measure standardized speech intelligibility, sound leakage, and seated sightlines, apply only prespecified physical corrections, and repeat the measurements. If a comparable room is later built, repeat the protocol during commissioning and compare frozen mock-up predictions with realized measurements before considering routine use.","observable_state":"Immediately before construction release, the record contains the versioned room geometry, representative material assemblies, required participant and observer positions, acoustic-source locations, microphone and eye-point measurement locations, calibration records, performance envelopes, uncertainty bounds, spatial measurement maps, failed thresholds, physical corrections, retest results, and the facilities authority's disposition. After construction, a matched commissioning trace records realized performance and deviations from the mock-up prediction.","prior_art_status":"UNSEARCHED","problem":"Courts often commit to hearing-room geometry, partitions, seating, millwork, and finishes before anyone can observe how the assembled space will transmit speech, leak confidential exchanges, or obstruct sightlines from required participant positions. Defects may become evident only during commissioning or proceedings, when correction requires demolition, disrupts court schedules, and may impair meaningful participation or confidentiality in the interim.","proposal_index":2,"remaining_contrastive_claim":"The load-bearing intervention is not an additional facilities committee, digital model, or courtroom conduct rule. It is upstream physical realization and calibrated measurement of the proposed room, followed by material or spatial pre-correction before fixed construction commitment; governance supplies only the authorization and safety boundary.","revision_record":{"claim_changes":[],"conceptual_changes":[],"evidence_changes":[],"operational_changes":[],"parent_version":null,"progress_targets_addressed":["Initial P2 changes the affected problem from rule consequences to latent physical hearing-room access and confidentiality defects.","Initial P2 makes full-scale material realization, acoustic propagation, calibrated measurement, and spatial reconfiguration the essential causal substrate.","Initial P2 defines a non-live first test, explicit falsifiers, bounded facilities authority, physical safety limits, and post-construction calibration."]},"schema_version":1,"structural_mapping":[{"archetype_element":"Commitment point after which correction becomes expensive or disruptive","domain_realization":"Release of final construction documents and orders for fixed partitions, millwork, seating, platforms, doors, and acoustic finishes."},{"archetype_element":"Intended action","domain_realization":"Construct the hearing room using the proposed geometry and material assemblies."},{"archetype_element":"Target state and tolerance envelope","domain_realization":"Approved bounds for speech intelligibility at required positions, confidential-speech leakage outside protected zones, and unobstructed sightlines from participant locations, including accessible positions."},{"archetype_element":"Predictive consequence model or preview channel","domain_realization":"A full-scale physical mock-up whose representative surfaces and geometry generate measurable acoustic and visual consequences before final construction."},{"archetype_element":"Context-state input","domain_realization":"Room dimensions, surface samples, barrier locations, seating and platform geometry, standardized source positions, background-noise conditions, and representative seated eye points."},{"archetype_element":"Adjustable control variables","domain_realization":"Partition placement and mass, seals, absorptive and reflective surfaces, ceiling treatment, barrier height, row spacing, platform elevation, and participant-position location."},{"archetype_element":"Predicted gap signal","domain_realization":"A calibrated measurement and uncertainty interval showing that intelligibility, leakage, or sightline performance falls outside its approved envelope."},{"archetype_element":"Pre-correction rule","domain_realization":"A prespecified mapping from the location and type of measured failure to a bounded geometry or material change followed by retesting."},{"archetype_element":"Staged commitment gate","domain_realization":"Construction release is withheld until failed measurements are corrected and retested or expressly resolved by the authorized facilities authority under applicable requirements."},{"archetype_element":"Post-action calibration trace","domain_realization":"Matched measurements from the completed hearing room compared with the frozen mock-up predictions and documented material substitutions."},{"archetype_element":"Model-validity and fallback safeguards","domain_realization":"Instrument calibration, repeated measurements, representative configurations, uncertainty disclosure, independent commissioning, invalidity annotations, and reversion to ordinary review when physical equivalence is inadequate."}],"substrate_contract":{"counterfactual_independence":"Remove software, algorithms, databases, information routing, training, incentives, and workflow automation: a temporary full-scale room, standardized physical sound source, calibrated meters, sightline targets, representative materials, manual threshold comparison, and movable assemblies still expose the predicted defects and permit the essential pre-correction.","forbidden_channel_audit":"Governance appears only in defining requirements, authorizing construction, and enforcing test safety. No committee rule, staffing process, training program, digital model, database, or automated controller creates the core effect. The effect arises from acoustic energy propagating through representative materials and geometry, direct instrumental measurement, and physical alteration of those materials or spatial relationships.","primary_allowed_process":"MEASUREMENT_INSTRUMENTATION"},"title":"Instrumented Full-Scale Courtroom Mock-Up Before Construction Commitment","version":0},"schema_version":1}