{"actors":["Executive secretariat or clerk responsible for emergency instruments","Agency general counsels and waiver-program owners","Officials exercising delegated emergency authority","Legislative oversight committee and nonpartisan counsel","Regulated persons and beneficiaries affected by temporary provisions","Courts or review bodies with jurisdiction over the instruments"],"affected_objective":"Keep the stock and age distribution of operative temporary emergency provisions within a reviewable governance band while preserving lawful rapid response, continuity of essential protections, and the authority of designated institutions to issue, amend, or terminate provisions.","arm":"ORDINARY_DIVERSE_P2","authority_safety":{"authorized_first_step":"The executive clerk and oversight counsel may authorize a four-week, read-only reconstruction of active temporary provisions from existing orders, waiver registers, delegation logs, and termination notices, using aggregate reporting and making no change to legal effect.","decision_authority":"Only the constitutionally or statutorily designated issuing authority, legislature, or court may amend, rescind, replace, or invalidate a provision. Ledger custodians may identify thresholds and request review but may not alter legal effect.","excluded_actions":["Automatically terminating a provision solely because a numerical threshold is crossed","Treating absence from the ledger as proof that an otherwise lawful provision has expired","Restricting judicial review, legislative oversight, notice rights, or legally required consultation","Publishing protected operational, personal, security, or confidential information","Counting renewal, renaming, consolidation, or transfer as clearance while substantially equivalent authority remains operative","Allowing analysts or automated systems to decide whether emergency conditions legally exist"],"halt_rollback":"Halt any live pilot if a threshold response threatens continuity of essential services, eliminates a required protection without authorized substantive review, misstates an instrument's legal status, or shifts operative authority into untracked guidance or subdelegations. Restore the prior renewal workflow, preserve every instrument's lawful effect unless the competent authority acts, correct the ledger, and retain an auditable record."},"baseline":"The jurisdiction maintains publication and expiration calendars for emergency instruments, while individual agencies track their own waivers and subdelegations. Issuances, renewals, and expirations are handled instrument by instrument without a provision-level opening-stock balance, common aging measure, lineage tracking, review-capacity band, or check for authority displaced into another legal form.","candidate_id":"stock_flow_accumulation_control__law_governance__ORDINARY_DIVERSE_P2","causal_chain":["Emergency orders, waivers, suspensions, and subdelegations add operative provisions to the jurisdiction's temporary-authority stock.","Each provision persists until lawful expiration, rescission, invalidation, or conversion into ordinary authority; renewal or renaming can preserve the same operative authority.","Separate reports of instruments issued and expired can appear balanced even while surviving provisions, renewed lineages, and provision-days accumulate.","A larger and older stock can increase review load, fragment the legal basis for government action, and create reliance interests that complicate later termination or conversion.","A weekly provision-level balance reconciles opening stock, additions, reactivations, lawful clearances, conversions, transfers, and residuals against the observed active register.","Capacity-normalized and age thresholds prompt the competent authority to review necessity, consolidate duplicative instruments, allocate legal-review capacity, or pursue ordinary legislation or rulemaking without causing automatic termination.","Lineage and coupled-stock monitoring test whether apparent clearance actually moved authority into successor orders, guidance, contracts, or agency subdelegations.","Controls can be retired or retuned after the active stock, aging distribution, and review turnover remain within the adopted band for a specified period."],"cell_id":"stock_flow_accumulation_control__law_governance","consequence":"Temporary legal authorities can persist and accumulate without a system-level view, increasing the chance of overdue review, inconsistent obligations, obscured lines of accountability, and abrupt later termination that disrupts protected or regulated parties.","diversity_from_prior_proposals":"This opportunity concerns the accumulated stock of operative temporary legal authority rather than unresolved adjudicative cases. Its intervention is a provision-lineage ledger and renewal-review control, and its causal path runs from issuance and persistence through legal fragmentation and reliance formation rather than from case receipts through adjudicative delay. No proposals other than the supplied sealed P1 were inspected.","experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp13_second_slot_policy60_20260806","intervention":"Establish a Temporary-Authority Stock Ledger and Renewal Review Rule. Assign a stable lineage identifier to every operative provision in emergency orders, waivers, statutory suspensions, and delegated suborders from legal activation through lawful cessation. Each week, reconcile active provisions and age buckets from opening stock plus new or reactivated provisions, minus expirations, rescissions, judicial invalidations, and conversions into ordinary authority, with transfers, consolidations, and unexplained residuals recorded separately. Renewal, renaming, or transfer does not reset age or count as clearance when equivalent authority persists. Use a provisional target band of zero to four weeks of the oversight unit's verified review capacity, a warning above six weeks, and a separate warning for any provision older than two scheduled review cycles without a current necessity and alternatives finding. A warning triggers documented review by the competent authority, which may add review capacity, consolidate instruments, narrow or rescind provisions, or initiate ordinary legislation or rulemaking. Thresholds do not themselves alter legal effect. Monitor successor orders, guidance, contracts, and subdelegations, and retire enhanced controls after eight consecutive weeks within band with no overdue-review stock.","mechanism_mapping":[{"counterfactual_removal":"Without reconciliation, renewals, partial expirations, and subdelegations could make issuance and termination reports disagree with the authority that remains operative.","mechanism_slug":"stock_flow_balance_reconciliation","role":"Reconstructs the weekly active stock from enumerated legal inflows, clearances, conversions, transfers, and residuals."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without a level- and age-based warning, review could remain tied to individual calendar dates even when the aggregate stock exceeds available oversight capacity.","mechanism_slug":"accumulation_threshold_alert","role":"Compares the accumulated provision stock and aging distribution with review capacity and scheduled-review ceilings."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without lineage-preserving review rules, repeated renewal could reset clocks while leaving long-lived authority substantively unchanged.","mechanism_slug":"clearance_turnover_tuning","role":"Treats lawful cessation or ordinary-law conversion as clearance and makes sustained renewal subject to competent-authority review."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without coupled-form tracking, apparent rescission could conceal equivalent authority in guidance, contracts, successor orders, or agency subdelegations.","mechanism_slug":"hidden_accumulation_probe","role":"Tracks legal-form changes and successor instruments as coupled stocks rather than assuming that publication-layer removal ends operative authority."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without accounting for drafting, consultation, legislative, and implementation lags, authorities might be terminated before lawful replacements or safeguards are ready.","mechanism_slug":"delay_compensated_control","role":"Separates threshold-triggered review from legal termination and records replacement lead times before authorized changes take effect."},{"counterfactual_removal":"Without a choice among inflow, clearance, conversion, and capacity levers, the response could become a one-time inventory cleanup while the same accumulation pattern continues.","mechanism_slug":"net_flow_lever_adjustment","role":"Links warnings to consolidation, review capacity, authorized rescission, and conversion through ordinary legal processes."}],"nearest_rivals":["A publication index listing emergency orders without provision-level stock reconciliation","Independent sunset clauses applied instrument by instrument without aggregate aging or review-capacity control","A legal-validity audit that checks authority but does not govern accumulated levels or turnover","A one-time repeal or cleanup commission without continuing inflow and successor-authority monitoring","A regulatory-count reduction target that treats all provisions as interchangeable and permits automatic termination"],"negative_tests":{"intervention_falsifier":"In a preregistered retrospective replay, the intervention fails if provision-level lineage and thresholds identify no review event earlier or more accurately than existing calendars, cannot distinguish lawful clearance from renewal or displacement, or would chiefly generate reviews without changing projected overdue stock under authorized actions.","problem_falsifier":"The proposed problem is absent if reconstruction across the selected period shows no persistent carryover, every active provision has a current lawful basis and timely review, stock changes reconcile to recorded additions and lawful cessations, and successor forms contain no displaced temporary authority.","risks":["Provision counts may obscure large differences in legal scope or practical consequence.","A capacity-normalized band could legitimize an inadequately resourced review system.","Officials could split, bundle, rename, or reclassify provisions to manipulate the measured stock.","Premature narrowing or rescission could interrupt essential services or remove protections on which people rely.","Necessity findings could become formulaic and provide false assurance.","Public reporting could expose protected operational or personal information.","Ordinary legislation or rulemaking could formalize a temporary measure without adequate substantive scrutiny.","Uncertain legal status or incomplete agency records could produce misleading residuals and threshold activations."],"strongest_counterevidence":"If existing sunset calendars already produce complete, timely cessation or authorized conversion of temporary provisions, with no persistent aged stock or successor-form displacement, then an additional stock-control layer would add recordkeeping without addressing a distinct governance condition."},"next_evidence_step":"Select one completed emergency period and reconstruct, from existing legal records, a closed weekly series covering at most three source declarations or 300 operative provisions. Record opening and closing stock, new provisions, reactivations, renewals, partial expirations, rescissions, invalidations, ordinary-law conversions, transfers, lineage links, age buckets, review capacity, and residuals. Conduct a shadow replay of the proposed warnings, make no legal or operational change, and stop after four analyst-weeks or the record limit, whichever occurs first.","observable_state":"The controlled stock is every legally operative temporary provision within the selected jurisdiction and emergency boundary, measured in active provisions with stable lineage identifiers and supplemented by 0–30, 31–60, 61–90, 91–180, and over-180-day age buckets. The executive clerk owns the measurement register; source records are promulgated instruments, agency waiver and delegation logs, official termination notices, ordinary-law replacements, and court dispositions. Weekly closing stock equals opening stock plus new and reactivated provisions minus lawful expirations, rescissions, invalidations, and ordinary-authority conversions, adjusted for documented transfers and consolidations. Renewals preserve lineage and age. A residual captures disagreement with the observed active register. Coupled stocks include successor orders, guidance, contractual directives, and agency subdelegations. Review is weekly with a monthly aggregate oversight report.","prior_art_status":"UNSEARCHED","problem":"A jurisdiction manages temporary emergency powers through separate issuance, renewal, and expiration events but lacks a reconciled measure of how many operative provisions persist, how old they are, and whether equivalent authority has moved between legal forms. Renewals, partial expirations, successor orders, and subdelegations can therefore leave the active authority stock above available review capacity even when recent issuance has slowed, delaying necessity review and ordinary-law disposition.","proposal_index":2,"remaining_contrastive_claim":"Conditional on finding a persistent, reconcilable stock of operative temporary provisions, the candidate differs from publication indexes, individual sunset clauses, validity audits, and repeal drives by binding provision-level lineage, accumulated level, age, and review capacity to authorized renewal, conversion, clearance, and displacement checks without making thresholds self-executing.","revision_record":{"claim_changes":["Initial version makes no claim of novelty, prevalence, demand, or effect size.","Any benefit is conditional on reconstruction showing persistent carryover, overdue review, or successor-form displacement."],"conceptual_changes":["Initial version instantiates the archetype as operative temporary legal provisions.","Renewals and successor legal forms preserve lineage rather than automatically counting as clearance."],"evidence_changes":["No external evidence or prior-art search was used.","A bounded retrospective ledger reconstruction and shadow threshold replay are specified as the first evidence step."],"operational_changes":["The first step is limited to read-only legal-record reconstruction.","Thresholds trigger competent-authority review but never automatically change legal effect.","Decision authority, excluded actions, halt conditions, and rollback are specified before a live pilot."],"parent_version":null,"progress_targets_addressed":["Concrete stock, unit, boundary, owner, sources, and review cadence","Provision-level inflow, clearance, conversion, transfer, renewal, and residual paths","Capacity-normalized band and age warnings","Lineage-preserving turnover and hidden-authority checks","Legal-authority and continuity safeguards","Problem and intervention falsifiers","Bounded read-only first evidence step"]},"schema_version":1,"structural_mapping":[{"archetype_element":"Persistent accumulated stock distinct from flow rates","domain_realization":"The active and age-bucketed inventory of operative temporary legal provisions, distinct from weekly issuance or expiration counts."},{"archetype_element":"Stable accounting boundary and owner","domain_realization":"Temporary provisions activated under the selected jurisdiction and emergency boundary, measured by the executive clerk from activation through lawful cessation."},{"archetype_element":"Enumerated inflow, outflow, clearance, conversion, leakage, and transfer paths","domain_realization":"New provisions, reactivations, renewals, partial expirations, rescissions, judicial invalidations, ordinary-law conversions, consolidations, transfers, and unrecorded subdelegations."},{"archetype_element":"Net-flow reconciliation","domain_realization":"A weekly opening-stock equation is reconciled against the observed register of legally operative provisions, with unexplained differences retained as residuals."},{"archetype_element":"Target band and warning threshold","domain_realization":"A provisional zero-to-four-week review-capacity band, warning above six weeks, and an age warning after two review cycles without a current finding."},{"archetype_element":"Lever map","domain_realization":"Additional legal-review capacity, consolidation, authorized narrowing or rescission, and conversion through legislation or ordinary rulemaking."},{"archetype_element":"Clearance and turnover rule","domain_realization":"Only lawful cessation or ordinary-authority conversion clears the stock; renewal and renaming retain lineage and accumulated age."},{"archetype_element":"Delay-compensated feedback and retirement","domain_realization":"Warnings initiate review rather than automatic termination, replacement lead times remain visible, and enhanced controls retire after sustained in-band operation."},{"archetype_element":"Hidden-reservoir and coupled-stock check","domain_realization":"Successor orders, guidance, contractual directives, and agency subdelegations are monitored for displaced operative authority."}],"title":"Temporary-Authority Stock Ledger and Renewal Review Rule","version":0}