{"cases":[{"alternative_route_blocks":[],"case_id":"E14A010__DIRECT","case_type":"DIRECT_POSITIVE","domain":"Municipal coastal flood infrastructure","intended_route_id":"B1","omitted_condition_id":null,"remedy_leakage_audit":"The statement identifies conflicting time, valuation, and unit assumptions without recommending an analytical method or intervention.","route_evidence":[{"condition_id":"b068_a08_c1","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"Upfront construction is compared with maintenance and storm losses extending over 55 years and into the next generation."},{"condition_id":"b068_a08_c2","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"The immediate capital outlay is defended through future avoided flood damage and displacement."},{"condition_id":"b068_a08_c3","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"The ranking of temporary pumps and a permanent barrier reverses when the annual rate or evaluation horizon changes."},{"condition_id":"b068_a08_c4","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"Current nominal construction bids are combined with inflation-adjusted damage estimates and indexed maintenance figures."},{"condition_id":"b068_a08_c5","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"Compounding makes distant irreversible development exposure and burdens on future residents nearly disappear from the comparison."}],"scenario_text":"Harbor County must choose between renewing mobile pump contracts every five years and building a permanent surge barrier this year. The barrier requires a $430 million appropriation now, while its claimed benefits are lower emergency spending, fewer business closures, and avoided home losses during storms over the next 55 years. At the finance office’s usual 6 percent annual rate, the pump contracts appear cheaper; at 2 percent, or when analysts extend the review beyond 25 years, the barrier ranks ahead. The workbook combines nominal 2026 contractor bids with flood-damage estimates stated in inflation-adjusted 2020 dollars. Maintenance costs come from an index-linked engineering schedule, but no one has reconciled that basis with the other figures. Officials are especially concerned that repeated flooding would lock new development into vulnerable areas and eventually force neighborhoods to be abandoned. Yet losses after year 35 contribute almost nothing in the current spreadsheet, including damage likely to fall on residents who are now children. The county board cannot tell whether the apparent advantage of the short contract reflects the projects themselves or the timing and inconsistent measurement assumptions.","scenario_title":"Harbor County’s Pump-or-Barrier Decision","vocabulary_separation_audit":"Uses municipal budgeting, storm response, construction, and neighborhood exposure vocabulary; it does not use an archetype or framework label."},{"alternative_route_blocks":[],"case_id":"E14A010__TRANSFER","case_type":"TRANSFER_POSITIVE","domain":"Global crop-genetics preservation","intended_route_id":"B1","omitted_condition_id":null,"remedy_leakage_audit":"The statement presents the repository’s unresolved comparison without suggesting a calculation, policy, or corrective action.","route_evidence":[{"condition_id":"b068_a08_c1","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"Costs arise immediately and benefits or losses unfold through future regeneration cycles and generations of breeders."},{"condition_id":"b068_a08_c2","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"A current vault overhaul is justified by resilience and avoidance of permanent genetic loss."},{"condition_id":"b068_a08_c3","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"Continued outsourcing and a durable vault exchange rank when the annual rate and review window change."},{"condition_id":"b068_a08_c4","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"The dossier combines current euros, future nominal dollars, and a food-price-index-based benefit series."},{"condition_id":"b068_a08_c5","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"Compounding gives little weight to permanent variety loss and benefits inherited by future breeders."}],"scenario_text":"The Global Crop Heritage Trust is deciding whether to overhaul its aging cryogenic vault immediately or continue renting space from commercial laboratories and replace failing seed lots as problems appear. The overhaul would consume €78 million this year. Its payoff would arrive unevenly over six decades through fewer spoiled samples, less frequent regeneration work, and the continued availability of rare traits after droughts or new plant diseases. Using the endowment manager’s 7 percent annual rate and a 20-year review window favors continued rentals. A 60-year window or a lower rate favors the rebuilt vault, especially because some varieties cannot be recovered once their last viable samples die. The dossier lists the European construction quote in current euros, laboratory contracts in future nominal dollars, and projected agricultural losses in units tied to a global food-price index. Currency conversion uses today’s exchange rate, while the indexed losses continue escalating. Benefits inherited by breeders two or three generations from now become nearly invisible under the endowment assumption, even though the biological loss would be permanent. Trustees disagree about whether the rental option is genuinely less costly or merely benefits from how distant outcomes and unlike figures enter the dossier.","scenario_title":"The Crop Trust’s Aging Vault","vocabulary_separation_audit":"The transfer case shifts from public flood infrastructure to biological archives, using seed viability, laboratories, breeding, and endowment vocabulary distinct from the direct case."},{"alternative_route_blocks":[],"case_id":"E14A010__NEAR_MISS","case_type":"ONE_LITERAL_NEAR_MISS","domain":"National seed repository modernization","intended_route_id":"B1","omitted_condition_id":"b068_a08_c4","remedy_leakage_audit":"The statement supplies diagnostic facts, including the explicit absence of a unit-basis conflict, without proposing any remedy or framework.","route_evidence":[{"condition_id":"b068_a08_c1","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"The repository compares immediate modernization expense with costs and preservation benefits spanning 70 years."},{"condition_id":"b068_a08_c2","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"Current construction spending is justified by reduced failures and protection against future crop threats."},{"condition_id":"b068_a08_c3","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"Repair-as-needed and modernization reverse order under different annual rates and horizons."},{"condition_id":"b068_a08_c4","intended_status":"CONTRADICTED","scenario_evidence":"The statement explicitly says every monetary figure uses constant 2026 euros, with inflation, exchange rates, and indexes already removed."},{"condition_id":"b068_a08_c5","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"Ordinary compounding suppresses permanent genetic losses and benefits accruing to later generations."}],"scenario_text":"A national seed repository must choose between repairing refrigeration units as they fail and constructing a sealed low-energy storage wing now. Construction would cost €64 million immediately, while fewer equipment failures, lower operating expense, and protection of irreplaceable samples would accrue across the wing’s expected 70-year life. The repair plan leads under a 6.5 percent annual rate and a 25-year review. The new wing leads when the review covers its full life or when analysts use 2 percent. Several wild crop relatives exist nowhere else, so a prolonged cooling failure could erase traits that future breeders might need against diseases not yet known. Under the higher rate, consequences after year 40 barely affect the ranking, including permanent losses borne by later generations. Unlike an earlier draft, however, the current dossier contains no mismatch in monetary bases: every construction, energy, repair, and loss estimate has been converted to constant 2026 euros. Inflation, exchange-rate movements, and commodity indexes have all been removed, and auditors verified the conversions. The governing council’s uncertainty therefore concerns the treatment of timing and distant irreversible consequences, not inconsistent units or price bases.","scenario_title":"The Repository’s Seventy-Year Storage Choice","vocabulary_separation_audit":"Retains the transfer case’s biological-preservation difficulty while using a national repository and refrigeration decision; it explicitly separates consistent valuation units from the remaining timing issues."}],"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp14_applicability_retrieval40_20260813","sample_id":"E14A010","schema_version":1}