{"cases":[{"alternative_route_blocks":[],"case_id":"E15A006__DIRECT","case_type":"DIRECT_POSITIVE","domain":"Blood-bank donor recruitment","intended_route_id":"B1","omitted_condition_id":null,"remedy_leakage_audit":"The statement presents an unresolved continuation decision without proposing a cutoff, decision rule, intervention, or other remedy.","route_evidence":[{"condition_id":"b039_a12_c1","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"Management is considering a specifically defined seventh purchase block of 20,000 messages in an ongoing series."},{"condition_id":"b039_a12_c2","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"Expected donation units, vendor charges, screening workload, and complaints are forecast for that same block."},{"condition_id":"b039_a12_c4","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"The director relies on campaign-wide appointments and average acquisition cost from all six completed blocks to support buying another."}],"scenario_text":"A regional blood bank purchases donor-recruitment text messages in blocks of 20,000. Six blocks have been sent during the current shortage, producing 3,800 appointments overall and helping the bank avoid several emergency transfers. The vendor is now asking whether to release a seventh block to the remaining eligible numbers. Using response decay across the earlier sends, analysts can forecast the donation units attributable to that block. They can also express its vendor fee, expected screening workload, and likely opt-out complaints for the same 20,000-message batch. The first two blocks performed strongly, but response rates have fallen with each subsequent send, and many high-propensity donors have already been contacted. At the budget review, the recruitment director points to the campaign’s total appointments and its favorable average acquisition cost as the main reasons to approve another block. Finance is concerned that those campaign-wide figures may obscure what the seventh purchase itself is likely to contribute and consume.","scenario_title":"The Seventh Donor-Message Block","vocabulary_separation_audit":"Uses donor messaging, appointments, screening workload, and opt-out language; it does not reuse the drilling, seabed, borehole, or lease-area vocabulary of the transfer case."},{"alternative_route_blocks":[],"case_id":"E15A006__TRANSFER","case_type":"TRANSFER_POSITIVE","domain":"Offshore wind seabed investigation","intended_route_id":"B1","omitted_condition_id":null,"remedy_leakage_audit":"The statement contains no recommendation, stopping criterion, governance mechanism, or named problem-solving method.","route_evidence":[{"condition_id":"b039_a12_c1","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"The pending choice is one additional standardized borehole at a nominated turbine location."},{"condition_id":"b039_a12_c2","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"Engineers estimate the chance of changing the foundation design and quantify drilling, vessel, laboratory, and delay exposure for that borehole."},{"condition_id":"b039_a12_c4","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"Sponsors cite discoveries and design changes accumulated across the full completed drilling program to justify the extra hole."}],"scenario_text":"An offshore wind developer has completed 42 standardized geotechnical boreholes across a proposed lease area. The campaign has identified two buried channels, prompted redesigns at eleven turbine locations, and prevented several costly foundation assumptions from reaching procurement. With the survey vessel still mobilized, the project board is considering one more borehole at a nominated turbine position. Engineers can estimate the probability that this hole will alter the foundation design, based on nearby seismic data and the declining frequency of consequential findings in the latest holes. They have also priced the drilling time, vessel fuel, laboratory work, and weather-delay exposure associated with that single hole. Recent locations have mostly confirmed conditions already inferred from neighboring samples. Nevertheless, the exploration lead argues for the additional drilling by emphasizing all eleven redesigns and both buried channels found during the campaign, along with the program’s favorable average cost per useful finding. Several board members question whether the accomplishments of the complete survey say enough about this particular borehole.","scenario_title":"One More Seabed Borehole","vocabulary_separation_audit":"Uses marine construction, seismic interpretation, foundation design, vessel operations, and borehole terminology, substantially separated from the donor-recruitment vocabulary of the direct case."},{"alternative_route_blocks":[],"case_id":"E15A006__NEAR_MISS","case_type":"ONE_LITERAL_NEAR_MISS","domain":"Geothermal exploratory drilling","intended_route_id":"B1","omitted_condition_id":"b039_a12_c2","remedy_leakage_audit":"The statement only diagnoses uncertainty surrounding continued drilling; it offers no decision procedure, intervention, or solution-oriented language.","route_evidence":[{"condition_id":"b039_a12_c1","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"A further standardized 50-meter drilling interval is explicitly awaiting authorization."},{"condition_id":"b039_a12_c2","intended_status":"CONTRADICTED","scenario_evidence":"The fractured formation defeats estimates of discovery probability, drilling duration, bit loss, and fluid-control burden, so benefits and burdens cannot be assessed together for the interval."},{"condition_id":"b039_a12_c4","intended_status":"SATISFIED","scenario_evidence":"The chief geologist invokes cumulative productive fractures and overall thermal gain from all completed intervals as support for continuing."}],"scenario_text":"A geothermal consortium has advanced an exploratory well through eight standardized 50-meter drilling intervals. Across the completed intervals, the crew has intersected three productive fractures and recorded a substantial total increase in measured fluid temperature. Authorization is pending for a ninth 50-meter interval using the same rig and well path. The chief geologist supports continuing by citing the three fractures and the cumulative thermal gain from the drilling program as a whole. However, the well has just crossed an unmapped fault into a fractured formation that is not represented in the seismic model or nearby wells. The team cannot assign a defensible probability that the next interval will encounter usable flow. The same formation makes drilling duration, bit loss, and fluid-control demands unpredictable, so even a broad estimate of the interval’s operational burden cannot be placed alongside its possible geological payoff. The next segment is clearly specified, and the earlier campaign results remain favorable, but its own likely contribution and demands are presently not estimable on a common basis.","scenario_title":"Beyond the Unmapped Fault","vocabulary_separation_audit":"Retains the transfer case’s high-cost subsurface fieldwork difficulty while changing the setting to geothermal fault exploration and using thermal-flow, rig, and fluid-control vocabulary."}],"experiment_id":"eoa_inverse_innovation_exp15_route_aware_retrieval40_20260814","sample_id":"E15A006","schema_version":1}