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Proposal type × disposition analysis

Part of Inverse Innovation with the Encyclopedia of Abstractions · Proposal type × disposition analysis · Last revised August 2026

Status: complete, explicitly post hoc
Universe: 422 primary externally evaluated proposals from Experiments 3–6

Blinded coding reliability

Two fresh, outcome-blinded passes agreed on substrate for 399/422 (94.5%; κ = 0.9004) and on evidence dependency for 373/422 (88.4%; κ = 0.8284). A third blinded pass adjudicated all 68 rows with a disagreement on either axis.

Generated proposal mix

Axis Category Count Percent
Substrate GOVERNANCE_PROCESS 208 49.3%
Substrate COMPUTATIONAL_INFORMATION 189 44.8%
Substrate PHYSICAL_MATERIAL 19 4.5%
Substrate MEASUREMENT_INSTRUMENTATION 4 0.9%
Substrate HYBRID_OTHER 2 0.5%
Evidence PUBLIC_DOCUMENTARY 5 1.2%
Evidence PRIVATE_OPERATIONAL 112 26.5%
Evidence LAB_TECHNICAL 153 36.3%
Evidence FIELD_HUMAN_INSTITUTIONAL 145 34.4%
Evidence MIXED_OR_UNCLEAR 7 1.7%

Experiment-specific cross-tabs

E3 (n = 47)

Substrate n Differentiated prior art Strict
GOVERNANCE_PROCESS 29 1/29 1/29
COMPUTATIONAL_INFORMATION 15 5/15 1/15
PHYSICAL_MATERIAL 3 0/3 0/3
MEASUREMENT_INSTRUMENTATION 0 0/0 0/0
HYBRID_OTHER 0 0/0 0/0

E4_PROPOSAL_FIRST (n = 20)

Substrate n Differentiated prior art Strict
GOVERNANCE_PROCESS 10 2/10 1/10
COMPUTATIONAL_INFORMATION 9 7/9 3/9
PHYSICAL_MATERIAL 1 1/1 1/1
MEASUREMENT_INSTRUMENTATION 0 0/0 0/0
HYBRID_OTHER 0 0/0 0/0

E4_RETRIEVAL_FIRST (n = 15)

Substrate n Differentiated prior art Strict
GOVERNANCE_PROCESS 8
COMPUTATIONAL_INFORMATION 6 0/6
PHYSICAL_MATERIAL 1 0/1 0/1
MEASUREMENT_INSTRUMENTATION 0 0/0 0/0
HYBRID_OTHER 0 0/0 0/0

E5 (n = 100)

Substrate n Differentiated prior art Strict
GOVERNANCE_PROCESS 46 9/46 2/46
COMPUTATIONAL_INFORMATION 46 25/46 2/46
PHYSICAL_MATERIAL 6 0/6
MEASUREMENT_INSTRUMENTATION 1 0/1 0/1
HYBRID_OTHER 1 1/1 0/1

E6 (n = 240)

Substrate n Differentiated prior art Strict Partner lane
GOVERNANCE_PROCESS 115 45/115 8/115 17/115
COMPUTATIONAL_INFORMATION 113 34/113 7/113 15/113
PHYSICAL_MATERIAL 8 2/8 0/8 0/8
MEASUREMENT_INSTRUMENTATION 3 0/3 0/3 0/3
HYBRID_OTHER 1 0/1 0/1 0/1

Interpretation

Governance/process proposals comprised 208/422 of the generated universe. In Experiment 6, the exploratory governance-versus-other partner-lane table was [[17, 98], [15, 110]] (odds ratio 1.2721; two-sided Fisher p = 0.571924). This is descriptive: the partner lane was defined partly by unavailable operational evidence, so the association cannot establish that governance transfers are intrinsically better or worse.

The main value of the analysis is diagnostic. It separates a proposal-generation mix from conditional survival within that mix and makes visible where the pipeline repeatedly encounters private operational, laboratory, or field evidence requirements. Small strict counts, purposive domains, and post-hoc coding do not support a universal proposal-type ranking.

Reproducibility