Version history — Foreseeing (Prediction)¶
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Current edition: v3 · 2026-08-30 · prime abstraction
Corrections¶
Checking this entry found 4 errors, now corrected: against its sources, or where it contradicted itself or its arithmetic did not hold. Each is listed here so a reader can see what changed. How references were checked.
- 2026-06-21 · Citation corrected. Cited Morgan and Henrion's Uncertainty (1990) for concept drift; the sentence now cites Gama et al., 'A survey on concept drift adaptation' (2014).
- 2026-06-21 · Citation corrected. Cited Granger (1969), which defines Granger causality, for distributional shift; the sentence now cites Quiñonero-Candela et al., Dataset Shift in Machine Learning (2009).
- 2026-06-21 · Citation corrected. Cited Makridakis, Spiliotis and Assimakopoulos (2018), on time-series forecasting competitions, for forecasters' Brier scores; the sentence now cites Mellers et al. (2014), 'Psychological strategies for winning a geopolitical forecasting tournament'.
- 2026-06-21 · Citation corrected. A cited work's details were corrected.
Editions¶
| Version | Date | Change | What changed |
|---|---|---|---|
| v3 | 2026-08-30 | Collapsed 1 footnote key that was defined more than once in this file; the renderer and the reference extractor both keep only the last definition, so the earlier copies were unreachable. 1 reference on this page now carries the link that was sitting shadowed in the file. 1 key carried two different annotations; they were merged by two independent readers and an arbitrator, so no observation about a source was dropped. | prose — detailed body (prose edited) |
| v2 | 2026-08-30 | internal-notes separation: a wholly internal Notes section relabelled Internal notes | prose — detailed body (prose edited) |
| v1 | 2026-08-24 | First published edition. | first published edition |
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