Bayesian Data Analysis¶
Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., Dunson, D. B., Vehtari, A., & Rubin, D. B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis. CRC Press.
Cited by¶
4 citations across 4 artifacts.
Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.
Primes¶
- Bayesian Updating
- The iterative update structure across observations
This sourceCanonical Bayesian reference: develops sequential/iterative updating (posterior becomes prior for the next datum), credible intervals, hierarchical models, and Bayesian adaptive designs (dose-finding, interim analysis, early stopping). SUPPORTS markers 005 (iterative update structure), 008 (adaptive Bayesian trial designs), and 012 (credible intervals + sequential evidence integration as operational decision support).
- The iterative update structure across observations
- Measurement Uncertainty and Observational Noise
- Interpreting results requires Bayesian reasoning: the measured value (e.g., a positive test) depends on both the true state (disease present or absent) and the test's noise characteristics (false positive and false negative rates), a posterior-update logic Gelman et al. (2013) develop systematically in their canonical Bayesian Data Analysis treatment.
This sourceCanonical Bayesian reference: develops posterior inference (including diagnostic-test interpretation) that combines prior probability of true state with likelihood under known measurement noise characteristics (sensitivity, specificity).
- Interpreting results requires Bayesian reasoning: the measured value (e.g., a positive test) depends on both the true state (disease present or absent) and the test's noise characteristics (false positive and false negative rates), a posterior-update logic Gelman et al. (2013) develop systematically in their canonical Bayesian Data Analysis treatment.
- Precision Weighting
- In Bayesian inference, Gaussian posterior beliefs combine prior and likelihood by precision.
This sourceDerives the Gaussian posterior mean as the precision-weighted average of prior and likelihood, with precisions adding.
- In Bayesian inference, Gaussian posterior beliefs combine prior and likelihood by precision.
Domain-specific¶
Verification¶
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