Futures under Glass

Robinson, J. B. (1990). Futures under Glass: A Recipe for People Who Hate to Predict. Futures, 22(8), 820-842.

Type

Journal article

Intellectual base

Primary research

Year

1990

Volume

22

Issue

8

Pages

820-842

ISSN

0016-3287

DOI

10.1016/0016-3287(90)90018-d

DOI registrant

Elsevier

Link

https://doi.org/10.1016/0016-3287(90)90018-D

Cited from

futurism_foresight

Cited by

2 citations across 2 artifacts.

Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.

Primes

• Backcasting
  • The term was formally introduced in energy-policy research by Robinson (1990) and has since expanded across disciplines—from climate-policy scenario planning and corporate strategy to software release engineering, retirement savings optimization, and project-management work-back schedules.

Mechanisms

• Backcasting from Purpose
  • Its strength is escaping trend-extrapolation: it produces a route anchored in the purpose rather than in what this year's budget happens to allow — the discipline John Robinson named backcasting

    This sourcePresents backcasting as an alternative to trend prediction that works backward from a desired future.

Verification

Does it exist? Confirmed. This work's DOI resolves to a registered record, which fixes its identity. That is all it fixes.

Does it back the claim? Not recorded. Neither this nor any other of the 2 citations of this work carries a recorded support check.

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Registry ID ref:1e1a871e32ad · see in the full table