What is the probability your vote will make a difference?

Gelman, A., Silver, Nate, & Edlin, A. (2008). What is the probability your vote will make a difference?. Economic Inquiry.

Type

Journal article

Intellectual base

Primary research

Year

2008

Link

no authoritative link yet

Cited by

1 citation across 1 artifact.

Domain-specific

• Paradox of Voting (Downs Paradox)
  • For a US presidential election, estimates of the probability p that a single vote is decisive average about one in sixty million, rising to roughly one in ten million in the most pivotal states

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