When Absence of Evidence Is Evidence of Absence¶
Hsu, A. S., Horng, A., Griffiths, T. L., & Chater, N. (2017). When Absence of Evidence Is Evidence of Absence: Rational Inferences From Absent Data. Cognitive Science, 41, 1155-1167.
Cited by¶
1 citation across 1 artifact.
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Primes¶
- Absence as Information
- That diagnostic vocabulary lets practitioners across domains transfer the move — a surveillance epidemiologist, an on-call engineer, and an intelligence analyst are all doing the same structural reasoning when they ask "what should have shown up that didn't?"
This sourceBayesian account showing people rationally treat the non-occurrence of an expected event as a positive, domain-general signal whose informativeness scales with how expected the event was — the shared inferential move underlying "what should have shown up that didn't?" across reasoning contexts.
- That diagnostic vocabulary lets practitioners across domains transfer the move — a surveillance epidemiologist, an on-call engineer, and an intelligence analyst are all doing the same structural reasoning when they ask "what should have shown up that didn't?"
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