Tornadoes, Social Science, and the False Alarm Effect.¶
Trainor, J. E., Nagele, D., Philips, B., & Scott, B. (2015). Tornadoes, Social Science, and the False Alarm Effect. Weather, Climate, and Society, 7(4), 333-352.
Cited by¶
1 citation across 1 artifact.
Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.
Primes¶
- Signal Inflation
- In severe-weather warning it is the cry-wolf effect: communities that have experienced repeated false warnings show measurably reduced sheltering on subsequent ones.
This sourceLarge-scale survey study showing the false-alarm ratio of prior tornado warnings is significantly associated with reduced subsequent sheltering/response (the cry-wolf effect).
Supported in partVerified against the publisher's abstract
The abstract reports that actual county false-alarm rates predict behavioural response to tornado warnings, the study-side half of the cry-wolf claim.
“actual county FAR rates do predict behavioral response”
- In severe-weather warning it is the cry-wolf effect: communities that have experienced repeated false warnings show measurably reduced sheltering on subsequent ones.
Verification¶
Does it exist? Confirmed. This work's DOI resolves to a registered record, which fixes its identity. That is all it fixes.
Does it back the claim? Read against the text for 1 of 1 citation: 1 supported in part. Each verdict is shown under its citation below, with what in the work backs the sentence.
Support is checked per citation rather than per work — the same source can be cited soundly in one article and wrongly in another. Per-citation recording began recently, so a citation with no recorded check is a gap in the record rather than evidence it went unchecked.
See how references were verified.
Registry ID ref:2753fe651dfe · see in the full table