On the conjunction fallacy in probability judgment: New experimental evidence regarding Linda¶
Charness, Karni, & Levin. (2010). On the conjunction fallacy in probability judgment: New experimental evidence regarding Linda: New experimental evidence regarding Linda. Games and Economic Behavior.
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Domain-specific¶
- Conjunction Fallacy
- … out reading "and" as "or", though with those phrasings and no filler items it disappeared, and the collaborators disagreed about what that shows), nor of carelessness (it persists in trained researchers judging within their domain, and paying for correct answers lowers the share of violators without eliminating it
This sourceWith a mild monetary reward for the correct answer, the share of individuals violating the conjunction rule in the Linda problem fell well below the rate Tversky and Kahneman reported but did not vanish (58.1% without and 33.0% with incentives, in the working-paper version's Table 1), and fell further when pairs or trios answered together.
- … out reading "and" as "or", though with those phrasings and no filler items it disappeared, and the collaborators disagreed about what that shows), nor of carelessness (it persists in trained researchers judging within their domain, and paying for correct answers lowers the share of violators without eliminating it
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