What Is a Good Forecast? An Essay on the Nature of Goodness in Weather Forecasting.

Murphy, A. H. (1993). What Is a Good Forecast? An Essay on the Nature of Goodness in Weather Forecasting. Weather and Forecasting, 8(2), 281-293.

Type

Journal article

Intellectual base

Primary research

Year

1993

DOI

10.1175/1520-0434(1993)008

Link

https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0434(1993)008<0281:WIAGFA>2.0.CO;2

Cited from

statistics_experimental_design

Cited by

1 citation across 1 artifact.

Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.

Primes

• Confidence Annotation
  • The claim is a future event ("measurable rain tomorrow"); the graded marker is a probability \(p \in [0,1]\) attached to it.

    This sourceFrames probabilistic forecasts, calibration, and the quality dimensions of a forecast attaching probabilities to events.

Verification

This reference passed the adversarial substantiation pipeline: it was checked to exist and to support the claim it is attached to. See how references were verified.

Registry ID ref:3e7304d238cc · see in the full table