What Is a Good Forecast? An Essay on the Nature of Goodness in Weather Forecasting.

Murphy, A. H. (1993). What Is a Good Forecast? An Essay on the Nature of Goodness in Weather Forecasting. Weather and Forecasting, 8(2), 281-293.

Type

Journal article

Intellectual base

Primary research

Year

1993

Volume

8

Issue

2

Pages

281-293

ISSN

1520-0434

DOI

10.1175/1520-0434(1993)008 did not resolve

DOI registrant

American Meteorological Society

Link

https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0434(1993)008<0281:WIAGFA>2.0.CO;2

Cited from

statistics_experimental_design

Cited by

1 citation across 1 artifact.

Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.

Primes

• Confidence Annotation
  • The claim is a future event ("measurable rain tomorrow"); the graded marker is a probability \(p \in [0,1]\) attached to it.

    This sourceFrames probabilistic forecasts, calibration, and the quality dimensions of a forecast attaching probabilities to events.

Verification

Does it exist? Not confirmed. The DOI recorded for this work did not resolve when it was last checked, so it is shown above but not linked. The citation may still be sound; the recorded identifier is not. Flagged for repair.

Does it back the claim? Not recorded. The single citation of this work carries no recorded support check.

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