The Rise and Fall of Strategic Planning¶
Mintzberg, H. (1994). The Rise and Fall of Strategic Planning. Free Press.
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Primes¶
- Scenario Planning
- Well-executed scenario work resolves this by identifying "robust strategies" (those that succeed across most scenarios), "contingency points" (moments to reassess and adjust), and "leading indicators" (early signals of which scenario is unfolding) that enable staged commitment rather than bet-the-company decisions made with inadequate information — a balance Mintzberg (1994) saw as the antidote to the planning-as-prediction failure he documented in The Rise and Fall of Strategic Planning.
This sourceCritique of strategic planning as prediction; argues that planning's value lies in disciplined reflection and contingency identification rather than forecast-driven commitment, providing the diagnostic frame for scenario planning's robust-strategy/contingency-point/leading-indicator logic.
- Well-executed scenario work resolves this by identifying "robust strategies" (those that succeed across most scenarios), "contingency points" (moments to reassess and adjust), and "leading indicators" (early signals of which scenario is unfolding) that enable staged commitment rather than bet-the-company decisions made with inadequate information — a balance Mintzberg (1994) saw as the antidote to the planning-as-prediction failure he documented in The Rise and Fall of Strategic Planning.
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