The trouble with overconfidence

Moore, D. A., & Healy, P. J. (2008). The trouble with overconfidence. Psychological Review, 115(2), 502-517.

Type

Journal article

Intellectual base

Primary research

Year

2008

Volume

115

Issue

2

Pages

502-517

ISSN

0033-295X

DOI

10.1037/0033-295x.115.2.502

DOI registrant

American Psychological Association

Link

https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-295x.115.2.502

Cited from

psychology

Cited by

3 citations across 2 artifacts.

Primes

• Optimism Bias
  • Individuals whose optimism bias is suppressed (depressed or anxious populations) often make more calibrated probability estimates but experience reduced motivation and wellbeing

Domain-specific

• Overconfidence effect
  • The entry records a descriptive analytical identity; practical use requires the governing domain's evidence, standards, and safety obligations.
  • … that the overconfidence subtype, elicitation method, scoring rule, difficulty, reference class, and objective outcome measure are declared before comparing confidence with performance. to An applied instance preserves the same invariant under a changed notation, scale, implementation, or empirical setting..

Verification

Does it exist? Confirmed. This work's DOI resolves to a registered record, which fixes its identity. That is all it fixes.

Does it back the claim? Not recorded. Neither this nor any other of the 3 citations of this work carries a recorded support check.

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Registry ID ref:41bc105ba3a7 · see in the full table