Report 3

Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team. (2020). Report 3: Transmissibility of 2019-nCoV. New England Journal of Medicine.

Type

Report

Intellectual base

Grey literature

Year

2020

DOI

10.25561/77482

Link

https://doi.org/10.25561/77482

Cited from

futurism_foresight, synthesized

Cited by

2 citations across 2 artifacts.

Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.

Primes

• Blockage Release Dynamics
  • In epidemiology, suppression of transmission during intervention periods lets the susceptible population accumulate, and lifting the intervention before susceptibility decays produces a rebound wave larger than the original.

    This sourceModels how suppression of transmission lets the susceptible pool accumulate, so lifting interventions before susceptibility decays produces a rebound wave — storage-then-release in epidemiology.

• Weak Signals & Emerging Issues
  • They included early reproduction-number (R0) estimates from academic epidemiology groups (Imperial College, LSHTM, WHO Collaborating Centers) converging on values between 2.0 and 3.5 by late January 2020, consistent with sustained human-to-human transmission.

Verification

This reference passed the adversarial substantiation pipeline: it was checked to exist and to support the claim it is attached to. See how references were verified.

Registry ID ref:482a6addee7b · see in the full table