Delusions of Success¶
Lovallo, D., & Kahneman, D. (2003). Delusions of Success: How Optimism Undermines Executives' Decisions. Harvard Business Review, 81(7), 56-63.
Cited by¶
1 citation across 1 artifact.
Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.
Mechanisms¶
- Technology Impact Base-Rate Review
- The review's product is not a verdict but a disciplined anchor: "comparable categories reached this penetration in eight-to-fifteen years with a one-in-three failure rate; justify why this one is faster before you budget for it."
This sourceDescribes the outside view as using the outcome distribution of similar projects to position and forecast the current project.
- The review's product is not a verdict but a disciplined anchor: "comparable categories reached this penetration in eight-to-fifteen years with a one-in-three failure rate; justify why this one is faster before you budget for it."
Verification¶
Does it exist? Not checked yet. This entry carries no identifier to resolve. It was extracted from the citation as written in the article, normalized, and deduplicated against the rest of the registry.
Does it back the claim? Not recorded. The single citation of this work carries no recorded support check.
Support is checked per citation rather than per work — the same source can be cited soundly in one article and wrongly in another. Per-citation recording began recently, so a citation with no recorded check is a gap in the record rather than evidence it went unchecked.
See how references were verified.
Registry ID ref:486c03bf2a5c · see in the full table