Experts in Uncertainty¶
Cooke, R. M. (1991). Experts in Uncertainty: Opinion and Subjective Probability in Science. Oxford University Press.
Cited by¶
2 citations across 2 artifacts.
Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.
Primes¶
- Delphi Method
- In intelligence analysis and risk assessment, structured-expert-judgment methods derived from Delphi — including Cooke's classical model,
This sourceFoundational monograph on the classical model of structured expert judgment with performance-based weighting via calibration questions.
- In intelligence analysis and risk assessment, structured-expert-judgment methods derived from Delphi — including Cooke's classical model,
Mechanisms¶
- Expert Elicitation Protocol
- Before anyone is asked, the project writes an Expert Elicitation Protocol modeled on established structured-elicitation practice
This sourcePresents an established structured expert-judgment practice for eliciting and combining expert opinions.
- Before anyone is asked, the project writes an Expert Elicitation Protocol modeled on established structured-elicitation practice
Verification¶
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Does it back the claim? Not recorded. Neither this nor any other of the 2 citations of this work carries a recorded support check.
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Registry ID ref:814519c6d3be · see in the full table