Weather and Climate Extreme Events in a Changing Climate" (Chapter 11)¶
Seneviratne, S. I. (2021). Weather and Climate Extreme Events in a Changing Climate" (Chapter 11). Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis.
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1 citation across 1 artifact.
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Primes¶
- Aggregate-Marginal Divergence
- Ecology and climate. Total biomass holds steady while a keystone species crashes, and global mean temperature rises slowly while regional extreme-event frequency rises sharply.
This sourceDocuments that the frequency of rare regional extremes rises disproportionately (faster than Clausius-Clapeyron scaling) with comparatively small increments in global mean temperature — the aggregate (global mean) rising slowly while the marginal (regional extreme frequency) rises sharply.
Supported in partVerified against the work's full text
Documents the climate half: small warming increments produce nonlinear, much larger increases in the frequency of rare regional extremes. It says nothing on biomass or keystone species.
“the frequency of the present-day climate 100-year hottest daily temperature to increase by 200% and more than 700% at the 1.5°C and 2.0°C warming levels”
- Ecology and climate. Total biomass holds steady while a keystone species crashes, and global mean temperature rises slowly while regional extreme-event frequency rises sharply.
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