Pearl Harbor¶
Wohlstetter, R. (1962). Pearl Harbor: Warning and Decision. Stanford University Press.
Cited by¶
2 citations across 2 artifacts.
Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.
Primes¶
- Weak Signals & Emerging Issues
- Decision-bridge architecture — the temporal interface between detection and response — is the failure point Wohlstetter (1962) identified as decisive in her landmark analysis of Pearl Harbor: Warning and Decision, where signal detection succeeded but the bridge to action did not.
This sourceClassic study of intelligence failure: documents how relevant signals were collected but not synthesized because the analytical community lacked the imaginative frame to articulate the threat; foundational illustration of the nameability-discipline failure mode that wild-card methodology aims to mitigate.
- Decision-bridge architecture — the temporal interface between detection and response — is the failure point Wohlstetter (1962) identified as decisive in her landmark analysis of Pearl Harbor: Warning and Decision, where signal detection succeeded but the bridge to action did not.
- Wild Cards
- But the same requirement systematically excludes events whose mechanisms the analyst's community cannot articulate — events that would be wild cards for a better-informed analyst, or for an analyst outside the community's disciplinary frame, a failure mode Wohlstetter (1962) documents at length in Pearl Harbor: Warning and Decision.
This sourceClassic study of intelligence failure: documents how relevant signals were collected but not synthesized because the analytical community lacked the imaginative frame to articulate the threat; foundational illustration of the nameability-discipline failure mode that wild-card methodology aims to mitigate.
- But the same requirement systematically excludes events whose mechanisms the analyst's community cannot articulate — events that would be wild cards for a better-informed analyst, or for an analyst outside the community's disciplinary frame, a failure mode Wohlstetter (1962) documents at length in Pearl Harbor: Warning and Decision.
Verification¶
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