Communicating Uncertainty in Policy Analysis

Manski, C. F. (2019). Communicating Uncertainty in Policy Analysis. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 116(16), 7634-7641.

Type

Journal article

Intellectual base

Primary research

Year

2019

DOI

10.1073/pnas.1722389115

Link

https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1722389115

Cited from

cognitive_science

Cited by

1 citation across 1 artifact.

Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.

Primes

• Differential Decay
  • Measurement and uncertainty: a point estimate propagates in policy citation while its confidence interval fades, so "between 2 and 12" becomes "7."

    This sourcePoint predictions propagate in policy discourse while their interval/uncertainty bands are dropped, conveying false certainty.

Verification

This reference passed the adversarial substantiation pipeline: it was checked to exist and to support the claim it is attached to. See how references were verified.

Registry ID ref:874a6b25c028 · see in the full table