Making Decisions¶
Lindley, D. V. (1991). Making Decisions. Wiley.
Cited by¶
1 citation across 1 artifact.
Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.
Primes¶
- Cromwell's Rule
- The rule is named for Cromwell's 1650 plea — "think it possible that you may be mistaken" — but the underlying fact is a property of any learning system that updates by combining new information with prior commitments.
This sourceStates Cromwell's rule — never assign prior probability 0 or 1 to a contingent proposition, because by Bayes' theorem such a credence is unrevisable under any evidence — invoking Cromwell's 1650 plea ('leave a little probability for the moon being made of green cheese').
- The rule is named for Cromwell's 1650 plea — "think it possible that you may be mistaken" — but the underlying fact is a property of any learning system that updates by combining new information with prior commitments.
Verification¶
This reference passed the adversarial substantiation pipeline: it was checked to exist and to support the claim it is attached to. See how references were verified.
Registry ID ref:8e0d6684bca8 · see in the full table