Making Decisions¶
Lindley, D. V. (1991). Making Decisions. Wiley.
Cited by¶
1 citation across 1 artifact.
Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.
Primes¶
- Cromwell's Rule
- The rule is named for Cromwell's 1650 plea — "think it possible that you may be mistaken" — but the underlying fact is a property of any learning system that updates by combining new information with prior commitments.
This sourceStates Cromwell's rule — never assign prior probability 0 or 1 to a contingent proposition, because by Bayes' theorem such a credence is unrevisable under any evidence — invoking Cromwell's 1650 plea ('leave a little probability for the moon being made of green cheese').
- The rule is named for Cromwell's 1650 plea — "think it possible that you may be mistaken" — but the underlying fact is a property of any learning system that updates by combining new information with prior commitments.
Verification¶
Does it exist? Not checked yet. This entry carries no identifier to resolve. It was extracted from the citation as written in the article, normalized, and deduplicated against the rest of the registry.
Does it back the claim? Not recorded. The single citation of this work carries no recorded support check.
Support is checked per citation rather than per work — the same source can be cited soundly in one article and wrongly in another. Per-citation recording began recently, so a citation with no recorded check is a gap in the record rather than evidence it went unchecked.
See how references were verified.
Registry ID ref:8e0d6684bca8 · see in the full table