The current state of scenario development¶
Bishop, P., Hines, & Collins, T. (2007). The current state of scenario development: An overview of techniques. Foresight, 9(1), 5-25.
Cited by¶
1 citation across 1 artifact.
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Primes¶
- Scenario Planning
- The abstraction extends to evolutionary and complex-systems thinking: futures are path-dependent, adjacent-possible, and often emergent from interactions — properties that resist prediction but permit structural exploration, the kind of structural-foresight reasoning Bishop, Hines, and Collins (2007) classify within the broader typology of futures-development methods.
This sourceTypology classifying scenario-development methods (judgment, baseline/expected, elaboration of fixed scenarios, event sequences, backcasting, dimensions of uncertainty, cross-impact, modelling) and locating Knightian-uncertainty/robust-decision approaches within the broader futures-development landscape.
- The abstraction extends to evolutionary and complex-systems thinking: futures are path-dependent, adjacent-possible, and often emergent from interactions — properties that resist prediction but permit structural exploration, the kind of structural-foresight reasoning Bishop, Hines, and Collins (2007) classify within the broader typology of futures-development methods.
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Registry ID ref:95cf62e45345 · see in the full table