Belief in the Law of Small Numbers¶
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1971). Belief in the Law of Small Numbers. Psychological Bulletin, 76(2), 105-110.
Cited by¶
1 citation across 1 artifact.
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Primes¶
- Clustering Illusion
- The pattern is dual to the gambler's-fallacy misreading (which expects more alternation than randomness provides); the clustering illusion is the false-positive end of the same gap between actual and intuited randomness.
This sourceShows people expect small samples to be more representative (and more alternating) than chance produces — the misjudgment of randomness underlying both the clustering illusion and the gambler's fallacy.
- The pattern is dual to the gambler's-fallacy misreading (which expects more alternation than randomness provides); the clustering illusion is the false-positive end of the same gap between actual and intuited randomness.
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Registry ID ref:976798cda625 · see in the full table