Developments in Non-Expected Utility Theory¶
Starmer. (2000). Developments in Non-Expected Utility Theory: The Hunt for a Descriptive Theory of Choice under Risk. Journal of Economic Literature.
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Domain-specific¶
- Probability Weighting Function
- Lotteries and gambling: small chances of large gains can receive disproportionate decision weight. Insurance: small probabilities of severe loss can motivate premiums above expected loss. Medical decisions: rare side effects or treatment successes influence choice nonlinearly. Safety and public policy: low-probability catastrophic hazards compete with common moderate harms. Consumer warranties: a small failure probability can receive more choice weight than its frequency alone predicts. Experimental choice: common-ratio and common-consequence designs identify departures from linear probability weighting
This sourceStarmer's survey of non-expected-utility theory, which establishes these designs as the instruments producing systematic violations of expected utility; it assesses probability weighting alongside rival explanations rather than treating the designs as identifying weighting nonlinearity specifically.
- Lotteries and gambling: small chances of large gains can receive disproportionate decision weight. Insurance: small probabilities of severe loss can motivate premiums above expected loss. Medical decisions: rare side effects or treatment successes influence choice nonlinearly. Safety and public policy: low-probability catastrophic hazards compete with common moderate harms. Consumer warranties: a small failure probability can receive more choice weight than its frequency alone predicts. Experimental choice: common-ratio and common-consequence designs identify departures from linear probability weighting
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