The Signal and the Noise¶
Silver, N. (2012). The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - But Some Don't. Penguin Press.
Cited by¶
1 citation across 1 artifact.
Each citation links to the sentence it supports in the citing article.
Primes¶
- Foreseeing (Prediction)
- Silver's 2012 Signal and the Noise
This sourceDocuments Silver's Bayesian poll-aggregation forecasting methodology and calibration philosophy; the model called all 50 states (plus DC) correctly in 2012.
Supported in partVerified against the work's full text
The publisher's catalogue page confirms the book's title and author, but carries none of the work's text, so nothing about its method or calibration is shown.
“The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver: 9780143125082 | PenguinRandomHouse.com: Books”
- Silver's 2012 Signal and the Noise
Verification¶
Does it exist? Not checked yet. This entry carries no identifier to resolve. It was extracted from the citation as written in the article, normalized, and deduplicated against the rest of the registry.
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Support is checked per citation rather than per work — the same source can be cited soundly in one article and wrongly in another. Per-citation recording began recently, so a citation with no recorded check is a gap in the record rather than evidence it went unchecked.
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Registry ID ref:9f3116b6ce43 · see in the full table