Presidential Primaries and the Dynamics of Public Choice¶
Bartels, L. M. (1988). Presidential Primaries and the Dynamics of Public Choice. Princeton University Press.
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Primes¶
- Keynesian Beauty Contest
- From finance to electoral strategy, speculative-bubble logic ports to electability cascades: perceived electability raises donor support, which raises poll standing, which raises perceived electability — the same self-fulfilling recursion, with transparent polling acting as a fundamentals anchor and long primary calendars lengthening the horizon.
This sourceAnalyzes momentum and electability cascades in primaries — perceived viability driving expectations and subsequent results in a self-fulfilling loop.
- From finance to electoral strategy, speculative-bubble logic ports to electability cascades: perceived electability raises donor support, which raises poll standing, which raises perceived electability — the same self-fulfilling recursion, with transparent polling acting as a fundamentals anchor and long primary calendars lengthening the horizon.
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